USL ChampionshipFull time
Predictions gradedPre-match view
The market has overpriced Colorado Springs' home advantage: the home win (1.85) and double chance (1.25) both carry negative edges, and the draw-heavy H2H pattern (4 draws in last 5 league meetings) makes a stalemate a live possibility.
Goals markets also offer no value, with over 2.5 and both teams to score priced slightly above our estimates; monitor weather, as thunderstorms could further dampen scoring.
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
Other edges · 5
The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.
Colorado Springs SwitchbacksBetBugs 45% · Market 54%
Home side are W6-D2-L2 at Weidner Field while El Paso are W5-D2-L4 away, but the market price already reflects the home edge and leaves no cushion.
BetBugs 70% · Market 80%
Colorado Springs are unbeaten in 80% of home matches and the H2H is draw-heavy, but the odds already price that safety net.
BetBugs 55% · Market 58.8%
Both teams show attacking intent in home/away splits, but the edge is negative; no value at current odds.
How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.
High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.
Implied 54% leaves no cushion vs our 45% estimate; price already reflects the directional read.
Colorado Springs Switchbacks have fulfilled 4 of 6 Over 2.5 goals predictions. Their average estimated probability was 62.5%, with an expected 3.8 fulfilled predictions, so they slightly outperformed expectations. At home they fulfilled 3 of 5 such predictions, while the current probability of 55% sits below their historical range of 58-70%.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF-GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Colorado Springs Switchbacks | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 32-31 | 28 |
| 4 |  El Paso LocomotivePlay Offs: 1/8-finals | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 32-27 | 31 |
