FC Tulsa11 – 0El Paso Locomotive0

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

FC Tulsa's solid home form and recent H2H dominance (4-1 win in April) give them an edge, though El Paso's strong away record keeps it competitive.

• FC Tulsa home record: 3W-2D-2L, 9 goals scored, 6 conceded in 7 matches.
• El Paso away record: 4W-2D-2L, 15 scored, 8 conceded in 8 matches, but home form is poor (1W-2D-3L).
• Last H2H: FC Tulsa won 4-1 at El Paso on April 30, 2026.
• FC Tulsa's last 5 matches: 2W-1D-2L, including a 2-0 home win vs Monterey Bay.

BetBugs · Match WinnerwonFC TulsaEstimated chance42%

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

FC Tulsa's strong home unbeaten run and El Paso's inconsistent away form make a home win or draw highly likely, supported by recent H2H trends.

• FC Tulsa home: 5 unbeaten in 7 (3W-2D).
• El Paso away: 2 losses in 8, but 4 wins suggest vulnerability.
• Last 4 H2H league meetings: 3 draws or FC Tulsa wins (1-1, 1-1, 1-0 FC Tulsa, 4-1 FC Tulsa).
• El Paso's overall form: 2W-2D-1L in last 5, but only 1 win in last 5 away league games.

BetBugs · Double ChancewonFC Tulsa or DrawEstimated chance72%

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

A draw at half-time followed by a FC Tulsa win is a plausible scenario given Tulsa's second-half strength at home and El Paso's tendency to fade, but the specific combination is infrequent.

• FC Tulsa home half-time draws: 2 in 7 matches.
• FC Tulsa home full-time wins: 3 in 7 matches.
• El Paso away half-time draws: 3 in 8 matches.
• El Paso away full-time losses: 2 in 8 matches.
• Last H2H: FC Tulsa led at half-time and won full-time.

BetBugs · Ht Ft Doublenot gradableDraw / FC TulsaEstimated chance20%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Historical H2H matches are consistently low-scoring, and both teams have moderate scoring rates, making under 2.5 goals the most probable outcome.

• FC Tulsa home: 9 goals in 7 matches (1.29 per game), 6 conceded (0.86 per game).
• El Paso away: 15 goals in 8 matches (1.88 per game), but 8 conceded (1.00 per game).
• Last 4 H2H league meetings: 1-1, 1-1, 1-0, 1-0 (all under 2.5).
• FC Tulsa's last 5 home matches: 3 under 2.5 goals.

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams average well under 1.0 first-half goals scored and conceded, and H2H history shows a strong trend toward low-scoring first halves.

• FC Tulsa first-half goals: 0.5 per game overall, 0.57 at home.
• El Paso first-half goals: 0.6 per game overall, 0.75 away.
• FC Tulsa first-half goals conceded: 0.6 per game, 0.43 at home.
• El Paso first-half goals conceded: 0.7 per game, 0.63 away.
• Last 5 H2H: only 1 match had over 1.5 first-half goals (2-2 in 2023).

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

Without specific corner data, the league average suggests a neutral expectation, but confidence is low due to missing evidence.

• Corner data unavailable for both teams in recent matches.
• USL Championship average corners per game: approximately 9.5.
• No H2H corner data available.