Ostersund
Market 53.2% · BetBugs 65%
Ostersund's Superettan quality and superior recent form give them a clear edge, while Arlanda's home record is modest against stronger opposition.
Svenska CupenFull time
Predictions gradedPre-match view
Östersund to win in 90 minutes at 1.88 offers the best value (12-point edge), driven by their Superettan quality and Arlanda's lower-division status.
The double chance (Östersund or draw) at 1.25 is a safer alternative. Avoid BTTS and first-half over 0.5 goals, where the market overprices the likelihood.
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
Positive edges · 3
OstersundMarket 53.2% · BetBugs 65%
Ostersund's Superettan quality and superior recent form give them a clear edge, while Arlanda's home record is modest against stronger opposition.
Market 80% · BetBugs 85%
Ostersund's superior league level and consistent form make them unlikely to lose in regulation, while Arlanda's home advantage may force a draw.
Market 56.2% · BetBugs 60%
Both teams' recent matches average around 3 total goals and show defensive vulnerabilities, supporting Over 2.5.
How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.
High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.
Implied 29% leaves no cushion vs our 25% estimate; price already reflects the directional read.

