Draw
Market 28.6% · BetBugs 35%
High-stakes direct playoff duel with both teams evenly matched on points and recent H2H history showing tight contests, including a 0-0 draw at this venue last season, supports a draw outcome.
SuperettanFull timeFeatured
Predictions gradedPre-match view
A direct playoff duel with both teams level on points, but Öster's unbeaten H2H record (W2 D2 in last 4) and Friberg's tactical confidence make them a live underdog.
The draw at 3.50 offers a small edge (35% vs. 29% implied), while short odds on home double chance and over 2.5 goals lack value given the cautious, low-scoring H2H trend.
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
Positive edges · 2
Market 28.6% · BetBugs 35%
High-stakes direct playoff duel with both teams evenly matched on points and recent H2H history showing tight contests, including a 0-0 draw at this venue last season, supports a draw outcome.
Market 41.7% · BetBugs 45%
Both teams have high draw percentages at half-time and similar first-half scoring profiles, making a drawn first half the most probable outcome.
Other edges · 4
The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.
BetBugs 65% · Market 76.9%
Ostersund's strong home form (only one loss) contrasts with Osters IF's poor away record, making a home win or draw the most likely double chance outcome.
How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.
High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.
Pre-match flagged 5 avoid-market areas; caution remains warranted in high-variance spots.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF-GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Ostersund | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 26-21 | 26 |
| 6 | Osters IF | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 27-25 | 26 |

