Norrby IF vs Ostersund: result, stats and head-to-head

Result2 of 3 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Norrby's high draw tendency and the balanced nature of recent H2H, plus Ostersund's goalkeeper crisis reducing their win probability, point to a stalemate.
- Norrby home record: 2W-3D-2L, draw rate 43%.
- Ostersund away record: 3W-2D-3L, draw rate 25%.
- Last H2H meeting (Apr 2026) ended 1-1.
- Norrby overall draw rate: 8 of 15 (53%), highest in league.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonDrawEstimated chance35%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Structural home edge and Ostersund's weakened defense due to goalkeeper injury make Norrby unlikely to lose, with high motivation to avoid defeat.
- Norrby home: lost only 2 of 7 (29% loss rate).
- Ostersund away: won only 3 of 8 (38% win rate).
- Ostersund missing key goalkeeper Tyree Griffiths, a high-impact absence.
- Norrby's motivation: only 3 points above relegation playoff, must-win context at home.
BetBugs · Double ChancewonNorrby IF or DrawEstimated chance65%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have a high frequency of drawing at half-time, and the tactical matchup suggests a cautious start with neither side wanting to concede early.
- Norrby first-half record: 47% leading, 27% trailing, 26% drawing.
- Ostersund first-half record: 33% leading, 33% trailing, 33% drawing.
- H2H last 3: half-time results: D, D, D (0-0, 0-0, 1-0 but the 1-0 was a 1st half goal, actually check: 1-0 Norrby at HT in 2022, so one W, two D).
- Norrby last 5 first-half results: D, W, W, D, D (3 draws, 2 wins).
BetBugs · First Half WinnerlostDrawEstimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
A low-event match is expected, and if the first half ends level, the second half may also stay even given both teams' tendencies and Ostersund's defensive concerns.
- Norrby home: 3 draws in 7, with 2 of those being 0-0 at HT.
- Ostersund away: 2 draws in 8, but both were 0-0 at HT.
- H2H last meeting: 1-1 draw, with 0-0 at HT.
- Norrby overall draw rate 53%, Ostersund 27%.
BetBugs · Ht Ft Doublenot gradableDraw/DrawEstimated chance25%

Goals1 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
H2H psychology shows a clear low-scoring pattern, and both teams' recent form and away/home splits support a tight, low-event match.
- H2H last 3 meetings all under 2.5 goals (1-1, 1-0, 2-0).
- Norrby home matches this season: 7 games, avg total goals 2.86, but 4 of 7 under 2.5.
- Ostersund away matches: 8 games, avg total goals 2.5, 5 of 8 under 2.5.
- Norrby last 5 matches: 3 under 2.5 goals.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderlostUnder 2.5Estimated chance62%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
H2H trend and Norrby's inconsistent scoring at home, combined with Ostersund's goalkeeper absence potentially leading to a more cautious approach, make a clean sheet likely for one side.
- H2H last 3 meetings: both teams scored in only 1 of 3 (1-1, 1-0, 2-0).
- Norrby home: both teams scored in 3 of 7 (43%).
- Ostersund away: both teams scored in 4 of 8 (50%).
- Ostersund missing first-choice goalkeeper Tyree Griffiths (confirmed out after surgery) weakens their defense, but Norrby's attack is modest (1.4 goals/game overall).
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorelostNoEstimated chance58%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have low first-half scoring averages and H2H history shows a pattern of cagey starts, making a low-scoring first half highly probable.
- Norrby first-half goals: avg 0.7, conceded 0.5; 47% leading at HT, 27% trailing.
- Ostersund first-half goals: avg 0.6, conceded 0.5; 33% leading, 33% trailing.
- H2H last 3: first-half goals: 0, 0, 1 (only one match had a first-half goal).
- Norrby last 5 matches: 4 had 0 or 1 first-half goal.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalslostUnder 1.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance70%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
While first halves are tight, both teams tend to concede more after the break, and the goalkeeper injury could increase second-half scoring.
- Norrby overall goals: 1.4 per game, conceded 1.6; second-half goals likely account for majority.
- Ostersund overall goals: 1.6 per game, conceded 1.5.
- H2H last 3: second-half goals in all matches (1, 1, 2).
- Ostersund's goalkeeper absence may lead to more second-half goals as fatigue sets in.
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalfwonOver 1.5Estimated chance55%

Match stats2 of 2 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
With a predicted low-scoring, cautious match, corner counts are likely to be suppressed as both teams prioritize defensive solidity.
- Norrby avg corners: 4.1 per game, opponent corners: data limited but recent matches show low totals (e.g., 3, 7, 6, 4, 2).
- Ostersund avg corners: 6.1 per game, but away matches often lower (e.g., 4, 5, 8, 3).
- H2H corner data not available, but low-scoring matches typically have fewer corners.
- Norrby home possession avg 44.9%, Ostersund away possession ~49%, suggesting balanced play.
BetBugs · Corners Over/UnderwonUnder 9.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Neither team is overly aggressive, and the match context (relegation pressure vs. promotion chase) may lead to a tense but not dirty game, keeping cards low.
- Norrby avg yellow cards: 1.3 per game, red cards 0.
- Ostersund avg yellow cards: 2.1 per game, red cards 0.1.
- Recent H2H: no card data, but matches were not particularly feisty (1-1, 1-0, 2-0).
- Norrby home discipline: low fouls (avg 8), Ostersund away fouls: 11.3 avg.
BetBugs · Cards Over/UnderwonUnder 3.5Estimated chance55%

The percentage shows our estimated chance. Tap a row for the context and share card.18+ · predictions, not guarantees

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
12	Norrby IF	15	3	8	4	19-21	17	WWDLL
5	Ostersund	15	7	4	4	24-19	25	WWLDD

Norrby IF2Ostersund2

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Under 2.5

Under 1.5

Norrby IF or Draw

Draw

BetBugs probabilities

Result2 of 3 landed

Goals1 of 4 landed

Match stats2 of 2 landed

Head-to-Head

League Table

Recent Form

Norrby IF

Ostersund

Squad & Injuries

Norrby IF

Ostersund