Toronto22 – 1New England Revolution1

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

Toronto's high draw rate at home and recent H2H stalemates suggest a draw is likely, especially with New England's mediocre away form.

• Toronto have drawn 8 of 18 league matches this season, including 5 of 9 at home.
• New England have drawn 3 of 18, but 2 of their last 5 away matches ended level.
• Last 2 H2H meetings (2026, 2025) both ended in draws (0-0, 1-1).
• Toronto's last 5 matches: D-L-D-D-L, with 3 draws.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

The high frequency of first-half draws for both teams, combined with recent H2H patterns, strongly supports a draw at halftime.

• Toronto have drawn 8 of 18 first halves this season.
• New England have drawn 6 of 18 first halves.
• Last 2 H2H first halves ended 0-0.
• Toronto's last 5 first halves: D-L-D-D-D.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

While not the most likely outcome, the pattern of draws in this fixture and Toronto's tendency to draw at home gives a reasonable chance of a stalemate at both intervals.

• Toronto have drawn 8 of 18 matches, with 5 draws at home.
• New England have drawn 3 of 18, but 2 of their last 5 away matches ended in draws.
• Last 2 H2H meetings were draws, with one being 0-0 at halftime.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams' recent low-scoring trends and the defensive nature of recent H2H encounters point to a low-scoring match.

• Toronto's home matches average 3.9 total goals, but 5 of 9 home games had under 2.5 goals.
• New England's away matches average 2.9 total goals, with 4 of 7 away games under 2.5.
• Last 2 H2H meetings produced 0 and 2 total goals.
• Toronto have scored 1 goal or fewer in 4 of their last 5 matches.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

While both teams have mixed scoring records, the recent H2H 0-0 and Toronto's attacking struggles tilt the probability slightly towards at least one team failing to score.

• Toronto failed to score in 2 of their last 5 matches.
• New England kept a clean sheet in 2 of their last 5 away matches.
• Last H2H meeting ended 0-0.
• Toronto have scored in 7 of 9 home matches, but New England have conceded in 6 of 7 away matches.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams tend to start slowly, with Toronto particularly poor in first halves, making a goalless first half highly probable.

• Toronto average 0.3 first-half goals per match this season.
• New England average 0.6 first-half goals per match, but only 0.3 in away matches.
• In the last 5 H2H meetings, 3 were 0-0 at halftime.
• Toronto have been leading at halftime in only 7% of matches, trailing in 40%.