Supra Quebec1Cavalry FC1

HT 0–0Sun 9 Aug 2026, 00:00 Predictions graded

Predictions3–538%

Edges3–260%

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 6 Aug 2026, 10:47 · Europe/Bucharest

Cavalry FC are strong favorites to beat struggling Supra Quebec, with the away win at 1.80 offering a 9% value edge.

The best betting opportunities lie in the goal markets: under 2.5 goals at 2.15 (13.5% edge) and both teams to score 'no' at 2.00 (10% edge), backed by Cavalry's elite defense and low-scoring H2H history.

Context

Cavalry won 1-0 at Supra Quebec on May 3, 2026.
- Cavalry won 2-1 at home on July 29, 2026.
- Supra Quebec failed to score in the most recent away H2H.
Supra Quebec lost to Pacific FC, Cavalry FC, Vancouver FC, and Forge in their last five league matches.
- Their only win in that span was a 3-2 victory over HFX Wanderers.
- They have conceded 11 goals in those five games.
Cavalry average 0.53 goals conceded per game in the CPL.
- They have kept a clean sheet in 60% of their league matches.
- Away from home, they concede only 0.5 goals per game.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result1 of 4 landed

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Cavalry FC's superior league position, dominant H2H record, and strong defense make them clear favorites against a struggling Supra Quebec side.
- Cavalry FC are 2nd in the league with 33 points from 15 matches, while Supra Quebec are 6th with 17 points from 14 matches.
- Cavalry FC have won both H2H meetings this season (1-0 away, 2-1 home).
- Cavalry FC have the best defensive record in the league (8 goals conceded in 15 matches).
- Supra Quebec have lost 4 of their last 5 league matches.
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostCavalry FCEstimated chance65%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Cavalry FC's low loss rate and Supra Quebec's poor home form make a Cavalry win or draw highly likely.
- Cavalry FC have lost only 2 of 15 league matches this season.
- Supra Quebec have won only 2 of 7 home matches.
- Cavalry FC have won 5 of 8 away matches.
BetBugs · Double ChancewonDraw or Cavalry FCEstimated chance85%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Cavalry FC's tendency to start strong and Supra Quebec's vulnerability early in games give the visitors a slight edge at halftime.
- Cavalry FC lead at halftime in 33% of matches, while Supra Quebec lead in only 20%.
- Cavalry FC have never trailed at halftime this season (0% trailing).
- Supra Quebec have trailed at halftime in 33% of matches.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerlostCavalry FCEstimated chance40%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
A tight first half followed by a Cavalry FC breakthrough in the second half aligns with both teams' patterns.
- Cavalry FC have drawn at halftime in 67% of matches but won 67% overall.
- Supra Quebec have drawn at halftime in 40% of matches but lost 50% overall.
- Cavalry FC have a strong second-half record, often breaking deadlocks.
BetBugs · Ht Ft DoublelostDraw / Cavalry FCEstimated chance35%

Goals2 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Cavalry FC's elite defense and the low-scoring history between these teams suggest a tight match with few goals.
- Cavalry FC have conceded only 8 goals in 15 league matches (0.53 per game).
- Both H2H meetings this season had under 2.5 goals (1-0, 2-1).
- Supra Quebec have scored only 8 goals in 7 home matches (1.14 per game).
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderwonUnder 2.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Cavalry FC's defensive solidity and Supra Quebec's struggles to score against them make a clean sheet for the visitors likely.
- Cavalry FC have kept 9 clean sheets in 15 league matches.
- Supra Quebec failed to score in the most recent H2H meeting (0-1 loss).
- Cavalry FC have conceded only 4 goals in 8 away matches.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorelostNoEstimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Cavalry FC's strong defensive record and Supra Quebec's home scoring woes support a high chance of an away clean sheet.
- Cavalry FC have kept a clean sheet in 60% of their league matches (9/15).
- Supra Quebec have failed to score in 3 of their last 5 home matches.
- Cavalry FC have conceded only 0.5 goals per away game.
BetBugs · Team to ScorelostSupra Quebec not to scoreEstimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have low first-half scoring rates, and the H2H pattern of goalless first halves makes a 0-0 halftime scoreline likely.
- Cavalry FC average 0.7 first-half goals, while conceding only 0.1.
- Supra Quebec average 0.5 first-half goals and concede 0.7.
- Both H2H meetings were 0-0 at halftime.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalswonUnder 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance55%

Match stats0 of 0 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Cavalry FC's high corner count and Supra Quebec's tendency to concede corners could push the total over 9.5.
- Cavalry FC average 6.4 corners per game, while Supra Quebec average 4.3.
- In matches with available data, Cavalry FC have had 9+ corners in 3 of their last 5.
- Supra Quebec's home matches have seen an average of 9.3 total corners (limited data).
BetBugs · Corners Over/Undernot gradableOver 9.5Estimated chance45%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
The combined card averages of both teams point to a total above 3.5 cards, though confidence is low due to limited discipline data.
- Supra Quebec average 1.8 yellow cards per game, Cavalry FC average 2.4.
- Combined average of 4.2 cards per game across both teams.
- No recent H2H card data available, but league averages suggest a moderate card count.
BetBugs · Cards Over/Undernot gradableOver 3.5Estimated chance50%

Markets to Avoid

High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.

Cavalry lead at HT in only 33% of matches; odds of 2.30 imply 43%, leaving no edge despite their overall superiority.

Prediction history

Supra Quebec has struggled to see Under 2.5 goals fulfilled

In 4 recent matches where Under 2.5 goals was projected for Supra Quebec, only 1 prediction was fulfilled. The average estimated probability was 60.5%, expecting about 2.4 fulfilled predictions, but only 1 occurred. Notably, the single fulfilled prediction came away from home, while the home match missed.

Recent evidence for Supra Quebec4 matches

Date / competitionMatch resultPredictedActualResult

29 Jul·Canadian Premier League