Thiago Seyboth Wild #136Brazil22 – 0Felipe Meligeni Alves #453Brazil0

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.22

The read

The higher-ranked player is in dominant clay form, has dropped only one set in twelve clay matches, and faces an opponent whose two recent defeats came heavily against better-ranked players.

• Seyboth Wild is 11-1 in his last 12 completed clay matches, with 10 of those 11 wins coming in straight sets.
• He won the Genoa CH125 title and arrives on a seven-match winning streak, beating Murkel Dellien 6-1 6-2 in Antofagasta.
• Meligeni Alves is ranked 453, 317 places below Seyboth Wild, and has lost his two recent matches against top-130 opponents in straight sets.
• The pair have split two previous tour meetings 1-1, so there is no head-to-head advantage either way.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

The favourite's clay matches have generally finished below this line, and his straight-set wins have mostly been by clear margins.

• Seyboth Wild's completed clay matches average 19.5 total games across 12 matches.
• Meligeni Alves's completed clay matches average 21 total games across 10 matches.
• Seyboth Wild has dropped only one of 22 sets played on clay in this window.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

The favourite's quick starts and low first-set game average make a shorter opening set slightly more likely.

• Seyboth Wild's first sets average 9.33 games on clay, won 11 of 12.
• He opened 6-1 and 6-3 in his two Antofagasta matches.
• Meligeni Alves's first sets average 9.7 games.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Across 22 combined completed clay matches, 16 finished in straight sets, matching the pattern both players have shown this week.

• Seyboth Wild's clay matches average 2.08 sets, with 10 of 12 finishing 2-0.
• Meligeni Alves's clay matches average 2.2 sets, with six of ten finishing 2-0.
• Both players have won their two Antofagasta matches in straight sets.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

The favourite's second-set record on clay is nearly as strong as his first-set record, with only one tiebreak in the sample.

• Seyboth Wild has won the second set in 10 of 12 completed clay matches.
• His second-set games average is 5.58 won against 3.92 lost.
• Meligeni Alves has lost the second set in three of ten clay matches.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Seyboth Wild's opening-set record on clay is the strongest single pattern in the evidence and he has started both Antofagasta matches quickly.

• Seyboth Wild has won the first set in 11 of 12 completed clay matches, averaging 6-3.33 games.
• He took the opening set 6-1 against Dellien and 6-3 against Soto in Antofagasta.
• Meligeni Alves has lost the first set in three of ten clay matches.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.65

The read

The straight-sets pattern is the dominant result in Seyboth Wild's clay sample and he has not been taken to a decider this week.

• Seyboth Wild has won 2-0 in 10 of his 12 completed clay matches, with one 2-1 win and one 0-2 loss.
• His average match on this surface lasts 2.08 sets and 19.5 games.
• Meligeni Alves has lost 0-2 in two of his ten clay matches this window.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Tiebreaks are rare in both players' clay sets, with only two across 44 combined sets.

• Seyboth Wild has one tiebreak in 12 completed clay matches.
• Meligeni Alves has one tiebreak in 10 completed clay matches.
• Seyboth Wild has played 22 clay sets, Meligeni Alves 22, with just two tiebreaks between them.