Viktorija Golubic #55Switzerland22 – 1Peyton Stearns #57United States1

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

A five-game cushion covers every Golubic win plus all narrow and moderate defeats.

• Golubic has won 52.9% of hard-court games over 8 matches
• Stearns lost two of her last six hard matches by four and six games
• Miami head-to-head was 7-6(6) 6-4, a four-game total margin

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Opening sets in both players' recent hard matches usually run past nine games, with Stearns's often going to a tiebreak.

• Golubic's opening sets average 10.9 games over 8 hard matches
• Stearns's opening sets average 9.6 games over 12 hard matches
• Four of Stearns's 12 hard-court opening sets reached a tiebreak

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Second sets for both players have been shorter than first sets, averaging under nine games.

• Golubic's second sets average 8.8 games on hard
• Stearns's second sets average 9.1 games on hard
• Only one of Stearns's 12 hard-court second sets reached a tiebreak

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Three games of cushion covers every Golubic win and the close defeats she has repeatedly produced.

• Golubic has won 52.9% of her hard-court games over 8 matches
• Recent margins: +8, -4, -1, +8, -9, +5
• Stearns's average win margin on hard is about five games, but three-set wins shrink it

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

Both players' recent hard-court matches sit right around the line and three-setters push totals above it.

• Golubic's hard matches average 23.9 total games; Stearns's average 21.9
• Stearns played 4 three-setters in 12 hard matches; Golubic 3 in 8
• The Miami meeting lasted 23 games

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Both players are strong in second sets, and the higher-ranked Stearns holds a slight overall edge.

• Stearns has won 9 of 12 second sets on hard
• Golubic has won 6 of 8 second sets on hard
• Stearns's second sets average 9.1 games, Golubic's 8.8

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Golubic barely serves aces and Stearns would need an above-average serving day to carry the total past the line.

• Golubic averages 0.3 aces per hard-court match (2 in 8)
• Stearns averages 4 aces per hard-court match (48 in 12)
• Combined hard-court average of about 4.3 aces per match

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Both players double-fault at a high rate, with Stearns's 56.3% first-serve percentage particularly vulnerable on second serves.

• Stearns averages 5.1 double faults per hard-court match (61 in 12)
• Golubic averages 3.5 double faults per hard-court match (28 in 8)
• Combined hard-court average of about 8.6 per match

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Most of these two players' hard-court sets are decided without reaching 6-6.

• No tiebreak in 7 of Stearns's 12 hard matches
• No tiebreak in 5 of Golubic's 8 hard matches
• Stearns's second sets produced only one tiebreak in 12