RB Bragantino SP33 – 0Chapecoense0

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 1.25

The read

Bragantino create far more at home while Chapecoense have won once on the road all season and concede heavily away.

• Chapecoense away in Serie A: 1W-4D-11L, 11 scored, 29 conceded in 16
• Bragantino home in Serie A: 7W-3D-5L, 24 scored, 17 conceded in 15
• Bragantino home shots 22.7 per game vs 11.9 for opponents
• Chapecoense away shots 10.6 per game vs 19.9 allowed

BetBugs · Match WinnerwonRB Bragantino SPEstimated chance56%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.67

The read

Neither side's scoring output points to a high-volume game, with Chapecoense averaging under a goal a game on the road.

• Bragantino home: 1.29 scored and 1.29 conceded per game
• Chapecoense away: 0.88 scored and 2.00 conceded per game
• Bragantino's 15 tracked games average 2.47 total goals

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.18

The read

Chapecoense generate very little on the road, so holding them to one goal or fewer is the likelier outcome.

• Chapecoense away: 7 goals in 8 games (0.88 per match), blanked in 3
• Chapecoense away shots on target 3.1 per game
• Bragantino concede 1.29 per home game

BetBugs · Away Goals TotalwonChapecoense under 1.5Estimated chance71%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.67

The read

Both teams' first-half scoring and conceding rates are low, so a quiet opening period is the more likely shape.

• Bragantino first-half goals: 0.53 for, 0.53 against per game; 0.71/0.43 at home
• Chapecoense first-half goals: 0.50 for, 1.07 against per game; 0.38/1.00 away
• Combined first-half expectation sits near one goal per match

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.53

The read

Bragantino's heavy home shot and cross volume plus Chapecoense's habit of defending deep point to a healthy corner count.

• Bragantino home corners 8.1 for, 3.9 against per game
• Chapecoense away corners 3.8 for, 7.0 against per game
• Combined match averages: 12.9 (Bragantino games) and 10.4 (Chapecoense games)

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Chapecoense spend most away games without the ball and rarely accumulate corners themselves.

• Chapecoense average 3.75 corners per away game
• Overall season average 4.21 corners per match
• Opponents win 7.0 corners per game against them

BetBugs · Away CornerswonChapecoense under 4.5Estimated chance58%

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Bragantino's large home shot volume and Chapecoense's leaky away defence suggest enough work for both keepers to clear the line.

• Bragantino home shots on target 6.6 for, 4.1 against per game
• Chapecoense away shots on target 3.1 for, 7.9 against per game
• Overall shot-on-target averages: 11.1 (Bragantino games) and 9.5 (Chapecoense games)