AFC Fylde33 – 1Hartlepool United1

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Market price 1.67

The read

Fylde's stronger league position and home head-to-head record give them the edge.

• AFC Fylde are 7th on 23 points; Hartlepool United are 19th on 15 points.
• Hartlepool's league away record is 2 wins, 0 draws and 5 defeats.
• Fylde won two of the last three home head-to-heads against Hartlepool 2-1.
• Fylde's league home record is 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats.

BetBugs · Match WinnerwonAFC FyldeEstimated chance47%

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

Fylde's second-half scoring and Hartlepool's second-half conceding make a home second-half win the best single outcome.

• Fylde home second-half goals for average 1.29; against average 0.57.
• Hartlepool away second-half goals for average 0.50; against average 1.17.
• Fylde overall second-half goals for average 1.07.
• Hartlepool overall second-half goals for average 0.47.

BetBugs · Second Half WinnerwonAFC FyldeEstimated chance45%

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.14

The read

Both teams' season goal rates and recent head-to-head scoring point to at least two goals.

• AFC Fylde average 1.93 goals for and 1.47 against per match.
• Hartlepool United average 0.80 goals for and 1.67 against per match.
• Fylde home matches average 2.00 goals for and 1.14 against.
• Four of the last five head-to-head meetings had at least two goals.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.20

The read

Both teams' first-half goal averages suggest an early goal is more likely than a blank half.

• Fylde home first-half goals for average 0.71; against average 0.57.
• Hartlepool away first-half goals for average 0.67; against average 1.00.
• Fylde overall first-half goals for average 0.87.
• Hartlepool overall first-half goals against average 0.73.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.45

The read

Hartlepool's away scoring is modest and heavily reliant on one four-goal game.

• Hartlepool average 1.17 away goals in six matches.
• Their seven away goals include a single four-goal game at Forest Green.
• Hartlepool scored only three goals across their other five away matches.
• Fylde concede 1.14 goals per home match.

BetBugs · Away Goals TotalwonHartlepool United under 1.5Estimated chance63%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.53

The read

Fylde's home scoring rate and Hartlepool's leaky away defence point to at least two home goals.

• Fylde average 2.00 home goals across all competitions.
• Fylde scored nine goals in six league home matches.
• Hartlepool concede 2.17 goals per away match.
• Fylde scored in six of seven home matches.

BetBugs · Home Goals TotalwonAFC Fylde over 1.5Estimated chance58%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Hartlepool usually find at least one away goal, so Fylde are more likely to concede than keep a clean sheet.

• Hartlepool scored in four of six away matches.
• Fylde kept clean sheets in three of seven home matches.
• Fylde concede 1.14 goals per home match.
• Hartlepool failed to score in two away matches.

BetBugs · Team to ScorewonHartlepool United to scoreEstimated chance61%