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Predictions graded

Sabadell1Tenerife1

HT 0–0Sun 25 Oct 2026, 13:00 Predictions graded

Predictions6–186%

Edges4–0100%

PossPossession 56%–44%ShotsShots 14–11On targetOn target 4–3CornersCorners 4–5

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 25 Oct 2026, 10:01 · Europe/Bucharest

Sabadell's unbeaten home start meets a Tenerife side that has conceded 11 goals in five league away games.

Sabadell avoiding defeat is the likeliest outcome, but 1.20 for Sabadell or draw – and 1.14 for the same at half-time – asks more than a four-game home sample supports, and 1.15 for Tenerife to be held to one goal or fewer is no better. The price that holds up is Sabadell to score at least once at 1.29.

Context

Gioacchini is specifically identified as an injured Sabadell forward, while Codina and López-Pinto are fitness doubts for this fixture. That creates a current selection issue before Tenerife's visit, particularly if the doubts are not resolved by kickoff. The broader list supplies additional context but does not establish the precise match status of every named player.
- Nicholas Gioacchini is injured.
- Miquel Codina and Javier López-Pinto have physical problems and are doubtful.
- A broader Sabadell list includes Gioacchini, Alassan, Miki Codina, López-Pinto, Xavi Moreno, Genar Fornés and Nuamah.
ReportedSources checked 25 Oct 2026, 09:58 · Europe/BucharestMatch availability listingwww.flashscore.cl · 25 Oct 2026Match absences listingsegunda.clubcomunio.com · 25 Oct 2026
Moreno and Chapela are both listed as injured for Tenerife's trip to Sabadell. Their absences reduce the visitors' available selection options for this specific match. The supplied evidence does not establish their intended roles or replacements, so the tactical consequence cannot be specified further.
- Víctor Moreno is injured and unavailable.
- Iván Chapela is injured and unavailable.
ReportedSources checked 25 Oct 2026, 09:58 · Europe/BucharestMatch availability listingwww.flashscore.cl · 25 Oct 2026
This is the most recent home evidence for the team the fixture leans on to score, and it shows both the pressure and the problem: 19 shots, 11 corners, three on target, no goal. Andorra took no corners at all, which shows how completely Sabadell pinned them back. It is one match and does not erase seven goals in four home league games, but it is the clearest risk to Sabadell finding the net.
- Sabadell 0-0 Andorra, Segunda División, 4 October 2026: 19 shots, 3 on target, 11 corners to 0
The scale of the defeat stands out even inside an away record of 11 goals conceded in five league games, and the three first-half goals against mark Sabadell's clearest route into this match. Tenerife managed 12 shots that day, so the damage was done in both boxes rather than through a lack of the ball. It is a single result; since then they have drawn one and lost one on the road.
- Castellón 5-0 Tenerife, Segunda División, 19 September 2026: 3-0 at half-time, Tenerife 12 shots to 9

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 1

Other edges · 3

The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.

Double ChancewonUncertainty band: Strong lean

Sabadell or Draw

1.20fair 1.35

BetBugs 74% · Market 83.3%

−9.3ppshort

Sabadell's unbeaten home record and Tenerife's poor away defence make the home side the more likely to avoid defeat.

Double Chance First HalfwonUncertainty band: Strong lean

Sabadell or Draw

1.14fair 1.32

BetBugs 76% · Market 87.7%

−11.7ppshort

Sabadell usually start home games on the front foot, while Tenerife have conceded first-half goals away.

Away Goals TotalwonUncertainty band: Strong lean

Tenerife under 1.5

1.15fair 1.47

BetBugs 68% · Market 87%

−19.0ppshort

Sabadell's home defence should limit Tenerife to at most one goal.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result2 of 2 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.20
The read
Sabadell's unbeaten home record and Tenerife's poor away defence make the home side the more likely to avoid defeat.
- Sabadell are 3W-1D-0L at home with 7 goals scored and 3 conceded in four league home games.
- Tenerife's league away record is 1W-2D-2L with 11 goals conceded in five away games.
- Sabadell have lost only two of ten league matches overall, and Tenerife have won once away.
BetBugs · Double ChancewonSabadell or DrawEstimated chance74%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.14
The read
Sabadell usually start home games on the front foot, while Tenerife have conceded first-half goals away.
- Sabadell average 1.0 first-half goal for and 0.25 against at home.
- Tenerife average 0.67 first-half goals for and 1.17 against away.
- Sabadell's home first-half record is built on only four matches.
BetBugs · Double Chance First HalfwonSabadell or DrawEstimated chance76%

Goals2 of 2 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.29
The read
Sabadell have found the net in most home games and Tenerife concede regularly on the road.
- Sabadell have scored in three of their four home league matches, with seven home goals.
- Tenerife have conceded 11 goals in five league away games.
- Sabadell's home scoring average is 1.75 goals per game.
BetBugs · Home Goals TotalwonSabadell over 0.5Estimated chance82%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.15
The read
Sabadell's home defence should limit Tenerife to at most one goal.
- Tenerife score 1.4 goals per away league game, but Sabadell concede only 0.75 at home.
- Sabadell have kept two clean sheets in four home league matches.
- Tenerife were blanked in one of their five league away games.
BetBugs · Away Goals TotalwonTenerife under 1.5Estimated chance68%

Match stats2 of 3 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams' recent matches have produced enough on-target attempts for this line.
- Sabadell average 6.0 shots on target at home; Tenerife average 2.8 away.
- Sabadell's last six matches had over 6.5 total shots on target four times.
- Tenerife's last six matches also had over 6.5 total shots on target four times.
BetBugs · Shots on Target Over/UnderwonOver 6.5Estimated chance66%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Sabadell's home corner volume plus Tenerife's away corners points to a total above 8.5.
- Sabadell average 5.5 corners at home; Tenerife average 4.6 corners away.
- Sabadell's last six matches averaged 9.0 total corners.
- Tenerife's last six matches averaged 7.3 total corners.
BetBugs · Corners Over/UnderwonOver 8.5Estimated chance58%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams' recent and season card totals sit around or below the 5.5 line.
- Sabadell's league matches average 5.1 total yellow cards (2.9 for, 2.2 against).
- Tenerife's league matches average 4.7 total yellow cards (3.0 for, 1.7 against).
- Sabadell's last six matches averaged 4.7 yellow cards in total; Tenerife's last six averaged 5.3.
BetBugs · Cards Over/UnderlostUnder 5.5Estimated chance56%

Head-to-Head

1W · 0D · 1W

L0-2SabadellvTenerifeMay 16, 2021SEG

W1-2TenerifevSabadellDec 3, 2020SEG

2.5 goals/game avg

League Table

Segunda División 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
10	Sabadell	10	4	4	2	10-8	16	LWDDW
14	Tenerife	10	3	4	3	12-14	13	DDLDL

3pt gap between teams

Recent Form

Sabadell

Sabadell

L0-1BurgosOct 18SEG

W2-1AD Ceuta FCOct 10SEG

D0-0FC AndorraOct 4SEG

D1-1Celta de Vigo IISep 26SEG

W3-1OviedoSep 20SEG

L0-2MallorcaSep 13SEG

W3-2CordobaSep 7SEG

W1-0AlmeriaAug 29SEG

D0-0CastellónAug 23SEG

D0-0Sporting GijonAug 17SEG

W3-0OlotAug 9FRI

D2-2GironaAug 7FRI

D0-0FC AndorraAug 1FRI

W2-1ManresaJul 29FRI

D1-1EspanyolJul 25FRI

Tenerife

Tenerife

D1-1Celta de Vigo IIOct 19SEG

D1-1GironaOct 12SEG

L2-3CordobaOct 5SEG

D1-1CadizSep 26SEG

L0-5CastellónSep 19SEG

W2-0LeganesSep 13SEG

D1-1Real Sociedad IISep 5SEG

L0-1Sporting GijonAug 28SEG

W1-0AlmeriaAug 23SEG

W3-1EibarAug 16SEG

W3-2TamaraceiteAug 4FRI

W6-0MarinoJul 26FRI

L1-2GetafeJul 22FRI

W3-0Tenerife IIJul 18FRI

L1-2Ourense CFMay 23PRI

Squad & Injuries

Sabadell

36 available

Attackers11

Midfielders10

Defenders10

Goalkeeper5

Tenerife

27 available

Attackers9

Midfielders8

Defenders8

Goalkeeper2