Draw
Market 42% · BetBugs 50%
Both teams have a tendency to be level at halftime, and the odds offer a slight edge over our estimate.
La Liga 2Full timeFeatured
Predictions gradedPre-match view
Castellon are favoured at home but the odds offer no value; the best betting edge is Under 2.5 goals at 2.10 (model 60% vs implied 47.6%).
The first-half draw at 2.40 also offers a slight edge, while the double chance and corner markets should be avoided due to heavy vig.
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
Positive edges · 3
Market 42% · BetBugs 50%
Both teams have a tendency to be level at halftime, and the odds offer a slight edge over our estimate.
Market 47.6% · BetBugs 60%
Both teams show defensive solidity in recent matches, with Castellon conceding 0.8 goals per home game and Tenerife 1.0 per away game, supporting a low-scoring affair.
Market 51.3% · BetBugs 55%
Castellon's home clean sheet record and Tenerife's occasional away scoring failures suggest at least one side may fail to score.
How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.
High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.
Implied 65% leaves no cushion vs our 45% estimate; price already reflects the directional read.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF-GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CastellonPromotion - LaLiga | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 7-2 | 13 |
| 4 | TenerifePromotion - LaLiga2 (Promotion - Play Offs: Semi-finals) | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7-3 | 10 |

