Scottish ChampionshipFull timeFeatured

Predictions graded

Raith Rovers0Inverness Caledonian Thistle2

HT 0–2Sat 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 Predictions graded

Predictions6–650%

Edges3–260%

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 23 Oct 2026, 10:50 · Europe/Bucharest

Third-placed Raith host fourth-placed Inverness, and Stark's Park points to a home win, with 2.4 for Raith holding up.

A goal before half-time at 1.38, Raith to lead at the break at 2.9 and both teams not to score at 1.88 also stand; under 2.5 goals at 1.7 asks too much.

Context

Raith's absentee list has framed their fortnight: after the 10 October team sheet named four players out injured, Imrie insisted the club was doing nothing wrong in training and that opponents were 'nearly getting their leg broken', then said on 20 October that three or four could return. It matters here because squad depth, rather than shape, is what decides his XI at Stark's Park. The direction is improving rather than worsening, and if those returns land the bench is stronger than it was for the Stenhousemuir draw, which is why the team sheet carries more information than the crisis headline.
- Raith Rovers' 10 October team news listed four players missing through injury for the home game against Queen's Park.
- Imrie said there was 'nothing that we're doing wrong within the ground Monday to Friday' and that players were 'nearly getting their leg broken'.
- On 20 October Imrie said three or four players could return from injury.
- On 23 October he again described the day-to-day impact of the shortage on his squad.
ReportedSources checked 23 Oct 2026, 10:49 · Europe/Bucharest
A surgery decision converts Easton's problem from a week-to-week nuisance into a fixed stretch of the season, and it takes a senior midfielder out of the group Imrie is choosing from for this fixture. With the squad already short, the minutes that would have gone to him fall to the players who filled in through October. The limit is precision: no exact return date is public, so the timeline describes a window rather than a fixture-by-fixture availability.
- Easton was listed among the players ruled out through injury for Raith Rovers' 10 October home win over Queen's Park.
- Imrie confirmed a recovery timeline for Easton on 19 October after a decision was taken on surgery.
- D. Easton started 0 of the 5 recent team fixtures with available lineups.
ReportedSources checked 23 Oct 2026, 10:49 · Europe/Bucharest
A captain missing one week and then leaving early the next leaves both the leadership and the shape of the back line uncertain, which usually costs more than a like-for-like swap. It also lands in the middle of Inverness's best run of the season, when a settled side has obvious value. The counterpoint is real: Caley Thistle won 2-0 without him once already this month, so there is recent evidence of a working deputy rather than an untested one.
- The captain missed the 10 October win over Stenhousemuir, with the club explaining the absence the following day.
- He was forced off injured in the 2-0 home win over Arbroath on 17 October.
- The club was still waiting on the extent of that injury the next morning.
To watchSources checked 23 Oct 2026, 10:49 · Europe/Bucharest
McMullan's return restores a wide option Imrie had been without through early October, and the half-time introduction at Stenhousemuir suggests he is being eased back rather than thrown straight in. That matters against an Inverness side whose away results have been the weaker half of their season, because it gives Raith a way to change the game from the bench. The caution is that his minutes since returning have all come as a substitute, so a starting role here is not established.
- Raith Rovers' 17 October team news recorded an unchanged starting XI and McMullan's return to the squad.
- McMullan replaced Kai Montagu at half-time that afternoon.
- On 22 October he said he was hoping to get firing again after the injury.
- P. McMullan started 2 of the 5 recent team fixtures with available lineups.
ConfirmedSources checked 23 Oct 2026, 10:49 · Europe/Bucharest

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 4

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result1 of 5 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Market price 2.40
The read
Raith's home record and recent dominance of this fixture make them the likelier winners.
- Raith at home in the league: 3W-1D-1L, 9 scored and 3 conceded in 5.
- Inverness away in the league: 1W-2D-2L, 8 conceded in 5.
- Raith have won the last five head-to-heads, including 2-0 at Inverness in September.
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostRaith RoversEstimated chance50%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Market price 2.90
The read
Raith start home games strongly and often lead at the break.
- Raith average 1.43 first-half goals per home match.
- Raith concede only 0.14 first-half goals at home.
- Raith scored 3 first-half goals in the 4-0 win over Arbroath.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerlostRaith RoversEstimated chance40%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Low expected second-half scoring makes a level second period the most likely outcome.
- Raith home second-half goals for and against both average 0.43.
- Inverness away second half: 0.75 scored, 1.0 conceded.
- Second halves in these matches tend to produce few goals.
BetBugs · Second Half WinnerwonDrawEstimated chance38%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Raith's home record and recent dominance of this fixture make them the likelier winners. Inverness are competitive away and have shared points often, keeping a draw plausible.
- Raith at home in the league: 3W-1D-1L, 9 scored and 3 conceded in 5.
- Inverness away in the league: 1W-2D-2L, 8 conceded in 5.
- Inverness have drawn 4 of 11 league games.
- Raith have drawn 3 of 11 league games.
BetBugs · Double ChancelostRaith Rovers or DrawEstimated chance77%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Raith start home games strongly and often lead at the break. Inverness are resilient early and often reach half-time level.
- Raith average 1.43 first-half goals per home match.
- Raith concede only 0.14 first-half goals at home.
- Inverness have drawn 4 of 11 league games.
- Inverness away concede 0.75 first-half goals per match.
BetBugs · Double Chance First HalflostRaith Rovers or DrawEstimated chance78%

Goals5 of 7 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 1.70
The read
Two solid defences make under 2.5 goals the slightly more likely outcome.
- Raith have 6 clean sheets in 13 games and concede 0.62 per game.
- Inverness have 8 clean sheets in 15 games.
- Raith's home games have produced only 3 conceded in 5 league matches.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderwonUnder 2.5Estimated chance53%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.88
The read
Raith's home defensive record makes at least one clean sheet more likely than not.
- Raith have 4 clean sheets in 7 home matches.
- Raith concede 0.62 goals per game overall.
- Inverness have been shut out in some away league games.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorewonNoEstimated chance58%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Raith's home scoring rate makes two or more goals slightly more likely than not.
- Raith have scored 9 goals in 5 league home games (1.8 average).
- Raith beat Arbroath 4-0 and Queen's Park 2-0 at home.
- Raith average 1.86 goals per home match across all competitions.
BetBugs · Home Goals TotallostRaith Rovers over 1.5Estimated chance54%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Raith's home defence makes it more likely Inverness are held to one goal or fewer.
- Raith have conceded 3 goals in 5 league home games.
- Raith average 0.57 goals against per home match.
- Raith have kept 4 clean sheets in 7 home matches.
BetBugs · Away Goals TotallostInverness Caledonian Thistle under 1.5Estimated chance56%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Inverness's habit of scoring away makes it more likely Raith concede.
- Inverness away: both teams scored in 5 of 8 matches.
- Inverness have scored 12 goals in 15 games.
- Inverness found the net in the recent wins over Stenhousemuir and Arbroath.
BetBugs · Team to ScorewonInverness Caledonian Thistle to scoreEstimated chance64%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.38
The read
Raith's strong first-half scoring makes at least one goal before the break likely.
- Raith average 1.43 first-half goals per home match.
- Inverness average 0.75 first-half goals away.
- Raith scored in the first half of several recent home wins.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalswonOver 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance78%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Low second-half scoring on both sides points to under two goals after the break.
- Raith home second halves: 0.43 scored, 0.43 conceded.
- Raith's overall second-half defence is 0.46 goals against per game.
- Both teams' second-half scoring rates are lower than their first-half rates.
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalfwonUnder 1.5Estimated chance60%

Head-to-Head

5W · 0D · 0W

W0-2Inverness CTvRaith RoversSep 5, 2026CHA

W4-1Raith RoversvInverness CTApr 5, 2026CHA

W5-1Raith RoversvInverness CTJul 26, 2025LEA

W1-0Raith RoversvInverness CTJul 6, 2024FRI

W0-1Inverness CTvRaith RoversApr 19, 2024CHA

Raith Rovers unbeaten in 5 meetingsRaith Rovers: 3 clean sheets3 goals/game avg

League Table

Championship 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
3	Raith Rovers Promotion - Premiership (Promotion: Quarter-finals)	11	6	3	2	16-7	21	DWWLD
4	Inverness Caledonian Thistle Promotion - Premiership (Promotion: Quarter-finals)	11	4	4	3	14-11	16	WLWWD

5pt gap between teams

Recent Form

Raith Rovers

D1-1StenhousemuirOct 17CHA

W2-0Queen's ParkOct 10CHA

W2-1MortonOct 3CHA

L0-2LivingstonSep 25CHA

D0-0PartickSep 19CHA

W4-0ArbroathSep 12CHA

W2-0Inverness CTSep 5CHA

L0-1DunfermlineAug 28CHA

W2-0Ayr UtdAug 22CHA

W2-1Queen's ParkAug 8CHA

D1-1StenhousemuirAug 1CHA

L0-1Heart Of MidlothianJul 24FRI

W1-0PeterheadJul 21LEA

W3-1Elgin CityJul 11LEA

W4-0Edinburgh CityJun 30FRI

Inverness Caledonian Thistle

W2-0ArbroathOct 17CHA

L1-2Queen's ParkOct 13CHA

W2-0StenhousemuirOct 10CHA

W2-0MortonSep 25CHA

D2-2LivingstonSep 19CHA

W3-1Ayr UtdSep 12CHA

L0-2Raith RoversSep 5CHA

L1-3StenhousemuirAug 29CHA

D1-1PartickAug 21CHA

L2-6Heart Of MidlothianAug 16LEA

D0-0ArbroathAug 8CHA

D0-0DunfermlineAug 1CHA

W1-0MortonJul 25LEA

W1-0ST JohnstoneJul 21LEA

W2-0Linlithgow RoseJul 18LEA

Squad & Injuries

Raith Rovers

21 available

Attackers6

Midfielders7

Defenders6

Goalkeeper2

Inverness Caledonian Thistle

22 available

Attackers5

Midfielders9

Defenders6

Goalkeeper2

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Raith Rovers

Over 0.5 goals in 1st half

Raith Rovers

No

Under 2.5

Result1 of 5 landed

Goals5 of 7 landed

Head-to-Head

League Table

Recent Form

Raith Rovers

Inverness Caledonian Thistle

Squad & Injuries

Raith Rovers

Inverness Caledonian Thistle