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Predictions graded

Raith Rovers0Livingston2

HT 0–0Fri 25 Sept 2026, 18:45 Predictions graded

Predictions5–1033%

Edges2–433%

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 23 Sep 2026, 23:48 · Europe/Bucharest

Raith Rovers' unbeaten home league start, seven scored and one conceded in three, meets a Livingston side still run by an interim coaching team.

Raith look the likelier winners at 2.38, and the 1.40 for Raith to avoid defeat, 2.05 for at least one side to be kept off the scoresheet and 1.20 for both teams not to score before half-time all offer something. Over 0.5 first-half goals at 1.30 and Over 2.5 at 1.88 do not.

Context

Friday's opponents are being run by an interim coaching set-up rather than a permanently appointed manager, so Livingston's team selection and shape rest on short-term decisions. Martindale returned to the dugout and immediately oversaw a 4-1 win at Morton, which is the clearest on-field marker of the transition so far. The club has not confirmed a permanent appointment, and Martindale has publicly said the job is not his long term, so the handover remains open as the side travels to Kirkcaldy.
- Livingston dismissed head coach Glenn Whelan on 6 September 2026 after a 1-0 home defeat by Stenhousemuir, with David Martindale and Frankie McAvoy taking interim charge.
- Martindale's return to the dugout began with a 4-1 win away to Greenock Morton on 11 September 2026.
- Martindale had earlier stood down as Livingston manager to become the club's sporting director in February 2026.
- On 23 September 2026, Whelan aimed a 'remember my name' message at chairman Calvin Ford and Martindale following his sacking.
ConfirmedSources checked 23 Sep 2026, 23:46 · Europe/Bucharest
Tiffoney is a loan attacker in Raith's first-team squad, so losing him days before a Friday home fixture narrows Dougie Imrie's attacking options against Livingston. The two reports come from separate local publishers in the same news cycle, which points to a single setback rather than two. Neither report gives a recovery timeline and the club has not confirmed the injury, so how long Tiffoney is out remains unresolved.
- The Fife Free Press reported on 23 September 2026 that Raith Rovers' on-loan Kilmarnock attacker Scott Tiffoney has suffered an injury.
- The Courier the same day framed the setback as a Raith Rovers player suffering a broken hand.
ReportedSources checked 23 Sep 2026, 23:46 · Europe/Bucharest
Armstrong is the Cardiff City loanee in contention for the Raith goalkeeping shirt, and his Wales under-21 call-up falls in the same week as the Livingston fixture. Imrie has spoken publicly about the resulting problem, which raises the prospect of a change between the posts rather than a routine selection call. The reporting frames it as a potential issue rather than a confirmed absence, so whether Armstrong is back in time for Friday is unresolved.
- The Courier reported on 22 September 2026 that Raith Rovers manager Dougie Imrie had addressed a goalkeeper issue after Luke Armstrong's Wales under-21 call-up.
- The same reporting describes Armstrong as a Cardiff City player on loan at Raith Rovers.
ReportedSources checked 23 Sep 2026, 23:46 · Europe/Bucharest
Raith's overall league line is 11 goals scored and 3 conceded in 7 games, with a 4-0 home win over Arbroath on 12 September the biggest single result.
The home sample is only three league matches and Raith's most recent outing was a 0-0 at Partick on 19 September, so the seven-goal return rests on a short run. It still frames the task for Livingston, who must keep a side scoring at more than two a game at Stark's Park off the scoresheet.
- Championship standings fetched 22 September 2026: Raith Rovers are second on 14 points from 7 games (4 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss), 11 goals for and 3 against.
- Raith's home league record is 3 played, 2 wins, 1 draw, 0 losses, 7 goals for and 1 against.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 4

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result1 of 5 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Market price 2.38
The read
Raith have been strong and high-scoring at home while Livingston have been inconsistent on the road.
- Raith home league record 2W 1D 0L, 7 goals scored and 1 conceded in 3 games
- Raith 12 competitive matches: 7W 2D 3L, 1.58 goals for and 0.83 against per game
- Livingston away league record 1W 0D 2L, 4 scored and 4 conceded in 3 games
- Raith home window: 5W 1D 0L in 6 matches, 2.33 goals for and 0.67 against per game
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostRaith RoversEstimated chance50%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Raith start home games well and score first-half goals more often than Livingston on the road.
- Raith average 1.5 first-half goals for and 0.33 against per home match
- Livingston average 0.67 first-half goals for and 0.5 against per away match
- Raith scored three first-half goals against Arbroath and two against Ayr United at home
- Raith's overall first-half goals-for average is 0.92 per match
BetBugs · First Half WinnerlostRaith RoversEstimated chance42%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Raith's stronger second-half scoring and Livingston's weaker away second half favour the home side.
- Raith average 0.83 second-half goals for and 0.33 against per home match
- Livingston average 0.33 second-half goals for and 0.67 against per away match
- Raith's overall second-half goals-against average is 0.42 per match
- Livingston conceded in the second half in three of their last six matches
BetBugs · Second Half WinnerlostRaith RoversEstimated chance41%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.40
The read
Raith have been strong and high-scoring at home while Livingston have been inconsistent on the road. Both sides have had low-scoring games, and Raith's tight home defence keeps a level outcome plausible.
- Raith home league record 2W 1D 0L, 7 goals scored and 1 conceded in 3 games
- Raith 12 competitive matches: 7W 2D 3L, 1.58 goals for and 0.83 against per game
- Raith have drawn 2 of 12 competitive matches and 1 of 6 at home in the window
- Livingston have drawn 1 of their last 6 matches
BetBugs · Double ChancelostRaith Rovers or DrawEstimated chance77%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Raith start home games well and score first-half goals more often than Livingston on the road. Both teams have often reached half-time without a decisive lead.
- Raith average 1.5 first-half goals for and 0.33 against per home match
- Livingston average 0.67 first-half goals for and 0.5 against per away match
- Livingston average 0.67 first-half goals per away match
- Raith's first-half goals-against average at home is 0.33
BetBugs · Double Chance First HalfwonRaith Rovers or DrawEstimated chance82%

Goals4 of 10 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 1.88
The read
Raith score heavily at home and Livingston's away games have carried a reasonable goal load.
- Raith home matches average 3.0 total goals (2.33 for, 0.67 against)
- Livingston away matches average 2.17 total goals (1.0 for, 1.17 against)
- Livingston's last six matches produced 15 goals
- Raith scored 4 and 2 in their last two home league games
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderlostOver 2.5Estimated chance52%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 2.05
The read
Raith's defensive record makes a shutout the more likely half of this market.
- Raith kept 5 clean sheets in 12 competitive matches
- Raith held Arbroath, Inverness CT and Ayr United scoreless at home recently
- Livingston have scored 1.0 goal per away match in the window
- Raith's league goals-against total is 3 in 7 games
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorewonNoEstimated chance57%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Raith have been scoring two or more regularly at home.
- Raith average 2.33 goals per home match in the window
- Raith have 7 goals in 3 home league games
- Raith scored 4 against Arbroath and 2 against Ayr United in home league games
- Livingston concede 1.17 goals per away match in the window
BetBugs · Home Goals TotallostRaith Rovers over 1.5Estimated chance62%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Raith's home defence plus Livingston's modest away scoring points to one goal or none.
- Livingston average 1.0 goal per away match in the window
- Livingston were scoreless away at Arbroath and Partick
- Raith have conceded 0.67 goals per home match in the window
- Raith kept 5 clean sheets in 12 competitive matches
BetBugs · Away Goals TotallostLivingston under 1.5Estimated chance75%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Livingston have enough away scoring to break through at least once.
- Raith conceded in 3 of their 6 home matches in the window
- Livingston have scored in three of their last six matches
- Livingston average 1.0 goal per away match
- Raith's home league goals-against is 1 in 3 games
BetBugs · Team to ScorewonLivingston to scoreEstimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Raith have been scoring freely at home, so Livingston keeping them out looks unlikely.
- Raith average 2.33 goals per home match in the window
- Raith scored in four of their last six matches
- Raith have 7 goals in 3 home league games
- Livingston concede 1.17 goals per away match
BetBugs · Team to ScorelostRaith Rovers to scoreEstimated chance80%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Any Raith win that includes a Livingston goal, plus all draws and defeats, sits here.
- Raith conceded in 3 of 6 home matches in the window
- Raith drew 0-0 at Partick in their last match
- Livingston have scored in three of their last six matches
- Livingston average 1.0 goal per away match
BetBugs · Home Win to NilwonNoEstimated chance73%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.30
The read
Raith's first-half scoring at home makes at least one goal before the break likely.
- Raith average 1.5 first-half goals for and 0.33 against per home match
- Livingston average 0.67 first-half goals for and 0.5 against per away match
- Raith scored first-half goals in four of their last six matches
- Raith's overall first-half goals-for average is 0.92 per match
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalslostOver 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance72%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.20
The read
Raith's low first-half concession rate makes an early Livingston goal unlikely.
- Raith concede 0.33 first-half goals per home match in the window
- Livingston average 0.67 first-half goals per away match
- Raith's overall first-half goals-against average is 0.42 per match
- Livingston were behind or level at half-time in four of their last six matches
BetBugs · Both Teams Score First HalfwonNoEstimated chance86%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have added fewer goals after the break, especially Livingston away.
- Raith average 0.83 second-half goals for and 0.33 against per home match
- Livingston average 0.33 second-half goals for and 0.67 against per away match
- Raith's second-half goals-against average overall is 0.42 per match
- Livingston were involved in goalless second halves twice in their last six matches
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalflostUnder 1.5Estimated chance52%

Head-to-Head

1W · 1D · 3W

D0-0LivingstonvRaith RoversMar 5, 2025CHA

W2-1Raith RoversvLivingstonDec 28, 2024CHA

L2-1LivingstonvRaith RoversOct 26, 2024CHA

L0-1Raith RoversvLivingstonAug 31, 2024CHA

L2-1LivingstonvRaith RoversJan 20, 2024FAC

Livingston: 2 clean sheets2 goals/game avg

League Table

Championship 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
2	Raith Rovers Promotion - Premiership (Promotion: Semi-finals)	7	4	2	1	11-3	14	DWWLW
5	Livingston	7	3	1	3	10-7	10	DWLLW

4pt gap between teams

Recent Form

Raith Rovers

D0-0PartickSep 19CHA

W4-0ArbroathSep 12CHA

W2-0Inverness CTSep 5CHA

L0-1DunfermlineAug 28CHA

W2-0Ayr UtdAug 22CHA

W2-1Queen's ParkAug 8CHA

D1-1StenhousemuirAug 1CHA

L0-1Heart Of MidlothianJul 24FRI

W1-0PeterheadJul 21LEA

W3-1Elgin CityJul 11LEA

W4-0Edinburgh CityJun 30FRI

D2-2Hamilton AcademicalJun 27FRI

W3-2Ross CountyMay 1CHA

L0-2ST JohnstoneApr 24CHA

L1-2ArbroathApr 18CHA

Livingston

D2-2Inverness CTSep 19CHA

W4-1MortonSep 11CHA

L0-1StenhousemuirSep 4CHA

L0-1ArbroathAug 29CHA

W2-0DunfermlineAug 22CHA

L0-2PartickAug 7CHA

W2-0Queen's ParkAug 1CHA

W8-0Forfar AthleticJul 21LEA

W2-0BrechinJul 14LEA

W2-1Heart Of MidlothianJul 10FRI

W3-0Alloa AthleticJun 30FRI

W2-0DundeeJun 27FRI

L1-4KilmarnockMay 17PRE

D0-0Dundee UtdMay 12PRE

L0-3DundeeMay 9PRE

Squad & Injuries

Raith Rovers

21 available

Attackers6

Midfielders7

Defenders6

Goalkeeper2

Livingston

31 available

Attackers8

Midfielders13

Defenders8

Goalkeeper2

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

No

Raith Rovers

Raith Rovers or Draw

No

Over 0.5 goals in 1st half

Over 2.5

Result1 of 5 landed

Goals4 of 10 landed

Head-to-Head

League Table

Recent Form

Raith Rovers

Livingston

Squad & Injuries

Raith Rovers

Livingston