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FremHelsingor

Fri 23 Oct 2026, 16:3023 Oct, 16:30

8Probabilities5Priced5Edges76%Strongest

Strong leanLeanSlight leanNear coin-flip

Quick Take

Read first

Context last updated 22 Oct 2026, 21:15 · Europe/Bucharest

Frem's strong home record against Helsingør's poor away form makes the home side the likelier winner, with Helsingør's five-match unbeaten run in the fixture the obvious check.

Frem to win at 2.6 and Frem to be ahead at half-time at 3.1 both offer something; over 2.5 goals and both teams to score at 1.55, and at least one first-half goal at 1.25, do not.

Context

No confirmed availability news for either side and no venue listed in the fixture data. The read rests on 12 league games per team plus the head-to-head series, so conditions add little beyond ordinary home advantage.

All five meetings were settled by a single goal or drawn, so the series has been tight rather than dominated. The two 1-0 Helsingør wins came in May 2025 and August 2026, both at Helsingør. Frem's far stronger home record is exactly what this run complicates.
- 14 August 2026, 3. Division: Helsingør 1-0 Frem.
- 23 May 2025, 2. Division: Helsingør 1-0 Frem.
- 26 April 2025, 2. Division: Frem 1-1 Helsingør; 25 October 2024, 2. Division: Helsingør 1-1 Frem; 15 September 2024, 2. Division: Frem 2-3 Helsingør.
The standings were fetched on 22 October 2026 and cover 12 league games. Sixteen of Helsingør's 20 points have come at home, where they have won five of six and conceded five goals. Their away record is the mirror image of Frem's home record, which is why the home side starts favourite.
- Standings fetched 22 October 2026: Helsingør 4th, 12 played, 6W-2D-4L, 20 goals for, 16 against, 20 points.
- Home league record: 6 played, 5W-1D-0L, 13 goals for, 5 against.
- Away league record: 6 played, 1W-1D-4L, 7 goals for, 11 against.
The seven-match away sample runs from 4 August to 17 October 2026 and mixes competitions rather than being league only, so it is small and loose. Frem's home split shows 1.33 first-half goals per game, which is why an early home lead is the likelier route. Helsingør's first-half scoring this season has come at home, so this figure may undersell their early threat.
- Helsingør away split: seven matches, 4 August to 17 October 2026, 0.14 first-half goals scored per game and 0.86 conceded.
- Same seven-match away sample: 1.57 goals scored and 1.71 conceded per game across the full match.
A groundhopper's 26 September 2026 visit to BK Frem v Sundby logs Valby Idrætspark as the venue for a Frem 3. Division home match, describing a small club ground with a personal welcome for visiting supporters. That anchors where this Helsingør fixture is being staged, which the supplied listing leaves blank, and frames it as a tight municipal setting rather than a larger stadium. The account is a supporter's matchday report rather than a club or league fixture listing, and it says nothing about pitch condition or this opponent, so treat it as venue orientation rather than a playing effect.
- A visiting groundhopper's matchday post on 26 September 2026 places BK Frem v Sundby, 3. Division, at Valby Idrætspark.
- The same post notes a welcome announcement for the Welsh travelling party and club hospitality at the ground.
ReportedSources checked 22 Oct 2026, 21:11 · Europe/Bucharest

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 2

Other edges · 3

The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.

1st Half GoalsUncertainty band: Strong lean

Over 0.5 goals in 1st half

1.25fair 1.39

BetBugs 72% · Market 80%

−8.0ppshort

First-half goal rates for both teams point to at least one goal being more likely than a blank half.

Both Teams to ScoreUncertainty band: Lean

Yes

1.55fair 1.61

BetBugs 62% · Market 64.5%

−2.5ppshort

Both teams have scored in most of their matches this season, and their recent games show the same pattern.

Goals Over/UnderUncertainty band: Slight lean

Over 2.5

1.55fair 1.79

BetBugs 56% · Market 64.5%

−8.5ppshort

Both teams' season goal rates point to a moderately high-scoring game.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thinks each outcome is.

Result3 outcomes · top 76%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Market price 2.60
The read
Frem's home results are much stronger than Helsingor's away results, so a home win is the most likely single outcome.
- Frem home league: 3W-1D-1L, 11 goals for, 7 against
- Helsingor away league: 1W-1D-4L, 7 goals for, 11 against
- Helsingor are unbeaten in the last five head-to-heads
- Frem's last six: 1W-2D-3L
BetBugs · Match WinnerFremMarket price2.60Estimated chance44%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Market price 3.10
The read
Frem's home first-half scoring is strong while Helsingor have scored very few first-half goals in away-split matches.
- Frem home split first half: 1.33 scored per game
- Frem home split first half: 0.83 conceded per game
- Helsingor away split first half: 0.14 scored per game
- Helsingor away split first half: 0.86 conceded per game
BetBugs · First Half WinnerFremMarket price3.10Estimated chance40%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Frem's home first-half scoring is strong while Helsingor have scored very few first-half goals in away-split matches. The first-half scoring rates are close overall, and Helsingor's away first halves have produced very few goals.
- Frem home split first half: 1.33 scored per game
- Frem home split first half: 0.83 conceded per game
- Frem overall first half: 0.87 scored, 0.73 conceded per game
- Helsingor overall first half: 0.86 scored, 0.71 conceded per game
BetBugs · Double Chance First HalfFrem or DrawEstimated chance76%

Goals5 outcomes · top 72%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 1.55
The read
Both teams' season goal rates point to a moderately high-scoring game.
- Frem average 3.13 total goals per match
- Helsingor average 3.43 total goals per match
- Both teams scored in 11 of 15 Frem and 11 of 14 Helsingor matches
- Recent six for each: 7 of 12 went over 2.5
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderOver 2.5Market price1.55Estimated chance56%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.55
The read
Both teams have scored in most of their matches this season, and their recent games show the same pattern.
- Frem both scored: 11 of 15
- Helsingor both scored: 11 of 14
- Frem recent six: both scored in 4
- Helsingor recent six: both scored in 5
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScoreYesMarket price1.55Estimated chance62%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Frem's home scoring rate and Helsingor's away concession rate make two or more home goals more likely than not.
- Frem home league: 11 goals in 5 games
- Helsingor away league: 11 goals conceded in 6 games
- Frem scored 2+ in 3 of last 6 matches
- Frem home split average: 2.0 goals per game
BetBugs · Home Goals TotalFrem over 1.5Estimated chance54%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Helsingor's away scoring rate is modest, making under 1.5 away goals the more likely side.
- Helsingor away league: 7 goals in 6 games
- Helsingor away split average: 1.57 goals per game
- Frem home league: 7 goals conceded in 5 games
- Helsingor scored 0 or 1 in 3 of last 6 matches
BetBugs · Away Goals TotalHelsingor under 1.5Estimated chance54%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.25
The read
First-half goal rates for both teams point to at least one goal being more likely than a blank half.
- Frem average first-half total: 1.6 goals
- Helsingor average first-half total: 1.57 goals
- Combined recent first-half total: 18 goals in 12 matches
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalsOver 0.5 goals in 1st halfMarket price1.25Estimated chance72%

Head-to-Head

0W · 2D · 3W

L1-0FC HelsingorvFremAug 14, 20263.

L1-0FC HelsingorvFremMay 23, 20252.

D1-1FremvFC HelsingorApr 26, 20252.

D1-1FC HelsingorvFremOct 25, 20242.

L2-3FremvFC HelsingorSep 15, 20242.

Helsingor unbeaten in 5 meetingsHelsingor: 2 clean sheets2.2 goals/game avg

League Table

3. Division 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
9	Frem 3rd Division (Relegation Group)	12	3	4	5	20-20	13	DWDLL
4	Helsingor Promotion - 3rd Division (Promotion Group)	12	6	2	4	20-16	20	LWLWD

7pt gap between teamsFrem in relegation zone

Recent Form

Frem

D1-1Hørsholm-UsserødOct 173.

W2-0NæsbyOct 103.

D1-1BrønshøjOct 33.

L0-3SundbySep 263.

L2-3IshøjSep 193.

L2-3HolstebroSep 133.

L1-2RoskildeSep 9DBU

W5-2RingstedSep 43.

D2-2VanløseAug 293.

W2-1SydkystenAug 25DBU

W3-1ASA AarhusAug 223.

L0-1FC HelsingorAug 143.

D1-1Hørsholm-UsserødAug 73.

W1-0RingstedAug 4DBU

L1-2Holbæk B&IAug 13.

Helsingor

L0-1IshøjOct 173.

W2-1ASA AarhusOct 103.

L1-3Hørsholm-UsserødOct 33.

W5-1Holbæk B&ISep 253.

D1-1NæsbySep 193.

W2-1SundbySep 133.

L1-2BrønshøjSep 43.

W1-0IshøjAug 283.

L2-5Hørsholm-UsserødAug 25DBU

L1-2HolstebroAug 223.

W1-0FremAug 143.

W3-2RingstedAug 83.

W4-1VallensbækAug 4DBU

D2-2VanløseJul 313.

D2-2NaestvedJul 19FRI

Squad & Injuries

Frem

19 available

Attackers6

Midfielders6

Defenders6

Goalkeeper1

Helsingor

18 available

Attackers6

Midfielders4

Defenders6

Goalkeeper2