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Predictions graded

Boreham Wood3Woking2

HT 2–2Sat 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 Predictions graded

Predictions11–379%

Edges4–357%

PossPossession 59%–41%ShotsShots 17–11On targetOn target 6–7CornersCorners 6–4

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 14 Oct 2026, 23:38 · Europe/Bucharest

The tie sets Boreham Wood's unbeaten 15-match season against a Woking side that has lost six of 14.

Boreham Wood have won seven of eight at home, but they have conceded in every Meadow Park game, and Woking arrive off 3-1 and 5-2 away wins. Boreham Wood are the likelier winners, yet 1.4 asks too much; Woking to win or draw at 2.75 and Woking to win at 6.5 are the two prices that offer something.

Context

Boreham Wood were drawn at home to Woking on 5 October for the fourth qualifying round of the 2026-27 FA Cup, with the tie set for Meadow Park on the weekend of 17 October. Both clubs are National League sides, so a win buys a place in the First Round proper and the prospect of drawing EFL opposition. The hosts confirmed on 12 October that a place in the First Round is up for grabs, framing the tie as the club's immediate priority. That raises the chance both managers treat selection and approach more like a league fixture than a reserve outing, though the shared divisional level limits how much the round itself separates the teams.
- Boreham Wood announced on 5 October they had been drawn at home to Woking in the FA Cup fourth qualifying round, to be played at Meadow Park on the weekend of 17 October.
- Woking confirmed the same away draw in the fourth qualifying round on 5 October.
- Boreham Wood said on 12 October that a place in the First Round was up for grabs in the tie.
ConfirmedSources checked 14 Oct 2026, 23:36 · Europe/Bucharest
Boreham Wood have not lost a competitive match since the season began in August 2026, winning 13 and drawing two of 15. They score 2.73 goals per game, have found the net in every one of those matches and concede 1.07. It is the strongest form line in the tie, though 15 matches is a single season's sample and the cup is decided in one game.
- Boreham Wood: 15 competitive matches between 8 August and 9 October 2026 — 13 wins, 2 draws, 0 defeats.
- They scored in all 15 matches, averaging 2.73 goals for and 1.07 against, with three clean sheets.
Boreham Wood have won seven and drawn one of eight home matches, scoring 3.0 goals per game. They have conceded in every one of those eight, with both teams scoring in all of them and no home clean sheet. Their scoring, not their defending, has separated them so far this season. The sample is eight matches, so it describes the season to date rather than a fixed pattern.
- Boreham Wood home: 8 matches between 8 August and 3 October 2026 — 7 wins, 1 draw, 3.0 goals for, 1.375 against.
- Both teams scored in all 8 home matches; 0 home clean sheets in that sample.
Woking's six away matches have produced two wins, one draw and three defeats, with only three goals scored and six conceded. They failed to score in three of them, which is the main reason their away record sits below their overall five wins in 14 this season. They have also conceded in all six away games, so a clean sheet at Meadow Park looks unlikely on this evidence.
- Woking away: 6 matches between 15 August and 3 October 2026 — 2 wins, 1 draw, 3 defeats, 3 goals scored, 6 conceded.
- Woking failed to score in 3 of 6 away matches and kept 0 away clean sheets.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 2

Other edges · 5

The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.

Both Teams Score First HalflostUncertainty band: Strong lean

No

1.22fair 1.25

BetBugs 80% · Market 82%

−2.0ppshort

Woking's low away first-half scoring makes both teams netting before the break unlikely.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result5 of 5 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Boreham Wood have won nearly every match, score heavily at Meadow Park and face a Woking side with a mixed away record and a short turnaround.
- Boreham Wood unbeaten in 15 competitive matches (13W 2D); 7W 1D at home
- Boreham Wood average 2.73 goals scored and 1.07 conceded per match
- Woking are 5W 3D 6L overall and 2W 1D 3L away
- Woking played a National League Cup tie on 13 October, three days before this game
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonBoreham WoodEstimated chance54%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Market price 2.30
The read
Both teams have frequently gone into the break level, and Woking concede very little before half-time.
- Boreham Wood were level at half-time in 3 of their last 6
- Woking were level at half-time in 3 of their last 6
- Woking average 0.14 first-half goals conceded overall
BetBugs · First Half WinnerwonDrawEstimated chance43%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Boreham Wood finish matches strongly at home and Woking concede after the break on their travels.
- Boreham Wood average 1.73 second-half goals overall, 1.625 at home
- Woking concede 0.83 second-half goals away
- Boreham Wood scored twice after the break in 4 of their last 6
BetBugs · Second Half WinnerwonBoreham WoodEstimated chance42%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Boreham Wood have won nearly every match, score heavily at Meadow Park and face a Woking side with a mixed away record and a short turnaround. Both sides score regularly and the fixture has a recent history of tight, level results, so a share of the match is a live outcome.
- Boreham Wood unbeaten in 15 competitive matches (13W 2D); 7W 1D at home
- Boreham Wood average 2.73 goals scored and 1.07 conceded per match
- Boreham Wood have drawn 2 of 15; Woking 3 of 14
- Both teams scored in 12 of Boreham Wood's 15 matches
BetBugs · Double ChancewonBoreham Wood or DrawEstimated chance79%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Boreham Wood start strongly at home and Woking rarely lead early on the road. Both teams have frequently gone into the break level, and Woking concede very little before half-time.
- Boreham Wood average 1.0 first-half goals, 1.375 at home
- Boreham Wood concede 0.4 first-half goals overall, 0.625 at home
- Boreham Wood were level at half-time in 3 of their last 6
- Woking were level at half-time in 3 of their last 6
BetBugs · Double Chance First HalfwonBoreham Wood or DrawEstimated chance83%

Goals6 of 9 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.40
The read
Both teams score at a healthy rate and Boreham Wood's home games have regularly passed three goals.
- Boreham Wood average 2.73 scored and 1.07 conceded per match
- Boreham Wood home matches average 3.0 goals for them alone
- Woking's last six matches produced 1, 4, 6, 7, 0 and 2 goals
- Woking away games average 1.5 scored and 1.33 conceded
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderwonOver 2.5Estimated chance62%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.62
The read
Boreham Wood have conceded in every home game, and Woking have found the net in half their away fixtures.
- Both teams scored in 12 of Boreham Wood's 15 matches
- Both teams scored in all 8 of Boreham Wood's home games
- Woking scored in 3 of 6 away matches
- Woking conceded in all 6 away matches
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorewonYesEstimated chance58%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Boreham Wood have scored at least twice in every recent match and face a Woking defence that concedes away.
- Boreham Wood score 2.73 per match overall, 3.0 at home
- Boreham Wood scored 2 or more in each of their last 6 matches
- Woking conceded in all 6 away matches
BetBugs · Home Goals TotalwonBoreham Wood over 1.5Estimated chance70%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Woking's away scoring has been intermittent, with three blank away days already this season.
- Woking scored in only 3 of 6 away matches
- Woking failed to score in 3 of 6 away games
- Boreham Wood kept 3 clean sheets in 15
BetBugs · Away Goals TotallostWoking under 1.5Estimated chance64%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Boreham Wood have conceded in every home game, so Woking finding the net is the more likely outcome.
- Both teams scored in all 8 Boreham Wood home matches
- Boreham Wood have no home clean sheets in 8
- Woking scored in 3 of 6 away matches
BetBugs · Team to ScorewonWoking to scoreEstimated chance74%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Boreham Wood's scoring streak and Woking's away defensive record both point to the home side scoring.
- Boreham Wood scored in all 15 matches this season
- Woking have no away clean sheets in 6 matches
- Boreham Wood score 3.0 per home match
BetBugs · Team to ScorewonBoreham Wood to scoreEstimated chance92%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.22
The read
First halves involving these two have usually produced at least one goal.
- Boreham Wood home first-half total averages 2.0 goals
- Woking's last six matches included only one goalless first half
- Boreham Wood average 1.375 first-half goals at home
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalswonOver 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance68%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.22
The read
Woking's low away first-half scoring makes both teams netting before the break unlikely.
- Woking average 0.33 first-half goals away
- Boreham Wood average 0.625 first-half goals conceded at home
- Boreham Wood scored first-half goals in only 3 of their last 6
BetBugs · Both Teams Score First HalflostNoEstimated chance80%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams score most of their goals in the second half, pointing to at least two after the break.
- Boreham Wood second-half totals average 2.4 goals per game
- Woking away second-half totals average 2.0 goals per game
- Boreham Wood scored 2 or more after the break in 4 of their last 6
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalflostOver 1.5Estimated chance63%

Head-to-Head

3W · 2D · 0W

D2-2WokingvBoreham WoodMar 10, 2026NAT

W1-0Boreham WoodvWokingSep 27, 2025NAT

W0-1WokingvBoreham WoodFeb 3, 2024NAT

W4-2Boreham WoodvWokingNov 25, 2023NAT

D2-2WokingvBoreham WoodFeb 11, 2023NAT

Boreham Wood unbeaten in 5 meetingsBoreham Wood: 2 clean sheets3.2 goals/game avg

Recent Form

Boreham Wood

W2-0Sutton UtdOct 9NAT

W3-1AltrinchamOct 3NAT

W3-1Kidderminster HarriersSep 29NAT

W3-0Solihull MoorsSep 26NAT

W4-1Harrogate TownSep 19NAT

W2-1ScunthorpeSep 16NAT

D1-1EastleighSep 12NAT

W2-1Newcastle United U21Sep 8NAT

W2-1CarlisleSep 5NAT

W3-2WorthingAug 31NAT

W2-1Boston UnitedAug 27NAT

W3-0Forest GreenAug 22NAT

W5-2Leeds United U21Aug 18NAT

W3-1FC Halifax TownAug 15NAT

D3-3TamworthAug 8NAT

Woking

L0-1Harrogate TownOct 10NAT

W3-1EastleighOct 3NAT

L2-4Solihull MoorsSep 29NAT

W5-2CarlisleSep 26NAT

D0-0Kidderminster HarriersSep 19NAT

D1-1Boston UnitedSep 15NAT

W5-1AltrinchamSep 12NAT

W4-1Southampton U21Sep 8NAT

L0-1HartlepoolSep 5NAT

D1-1SouthendAug 31NAT

L0-1AFC HornchurchAug 28NAT

W3-2AFC FyldeAug 22NAT

L0-2GatesheadAug 15NAT

L0-3Sutton UtdAug 8NAT

L0-2ReadingJul 25FRI

Squad & Injuries

Boreham Wood

22 available

Attackers5

Midfielders8

Defenders7

Goalkeeper2

Woking

25 available

Attackers7

Midfielders7

Defenders8

Goalkeeper3

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Draw or Woking

Woking

No

Over 0.5 goals in 1st half

Over 2.5

Yes

Draw

Result5 of 5 landed

Goals6 of 9 landed

Head-to-Head

Recent Form

Boreham Wood

Woking

Squad & Injuries

Boreham Wood

Woking