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Predictions graded

Solihull Moors0Boreham Wood3

HT 0–1Sat 26 Sept 2026, 14:00 Predictions graded

Predictions11–473%

Edges4–267%

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 25 Sep 2026, 00:13 · Europe/Bucharest

Unbeaten league leaders Boreham Wood visit a Solihull side with one win in nine, and the likeliest outcome is an away victory — but 1.55 for that win asks for more than the form justifies.

The worthwhile prices are the first half to end level at 2.8, not both teams scoring before the break at 1.3, and both teams to find the net at 1.4.

Context

Both clubs announced on 16 September that Solihull Moors forward Conor Wilkinson had joined Boreham Wood on loan until 12 December, and Boreham Wood published an interview with him that same day. That makes Saturday the first meeting this season between the parent club and its loanee, a connection visible on the squad sheets at Damson Park. What it does not establish is whether the loan terms allow Wilkinson to face Solihull, or whether he is currently in line to start, so treat his involvement as possible rather than expected.
- Solihull Moors confirmed on 16 September that forward Conor Wilkinson had joined Boreham Wood on loan until 12 December, wishing him well at Meadow Park.
- Boreham Wood announced the same day the signing of striker Conor Wilkinson on a short-term loan from Solihull Moors and published an interview with him.
- C. Wilkinson started 0 of the 5 recent team fixtures with available lineups.
- T. Allarakhia started in the same position in 5 of the 5 recent team fixtures with available lineups when C. Wilkinson did not start.
ConfirmedSources checked 25 Sep 2026, 00:11 · Europe/Bucharest
Boreham Wood drew with Everton U21 in National League Cup group play on 23 September, a tie settled on penalties, and were due at Damson Park three days later. Solihull Moors, by contrast, last played on 18 September, so the visitors carry the heavier week into a ground where the home side have struggled. Cup nights at this level usually bring rotation rather than a full reserve XI, so any effect is likely to fall on a handful of regulars instead of the whole team.
- Boreham Wood's National League Cup tie with Everton U21 was played on the night of 23 September, with the club publishing highlights of the game the following day.
- Everton Academy reported that the game went to a penalty shootout to decide the extra point, and Boreham Wood posted a 'Next up: a trip to the West Midlands awaits' message on 24 September.
ConfirmedSources checked 25 Sep 2026, 00:11 · Europe/Bucharest
Solihull's four points from nine league games have come against a run of heavy defeats, yet this particular fixture has repeatedly gone their way at home.
The 4-1 win in April 2026 is the most recent meeting and the biggest margin in the five recorded since March 2023, and Solihull won the 2024 and 2023 Damson Park meetings 2-0 as well. Boreham Wood won the reverse fixture 2-1 at Meadow Park on 30 December 2025, so the pattern belongs to the venue rather than to either squad. It is the clearest reason not to treat the current table as decisive for this game.
- Solihull Moors beat Boreham Wood 4-1 at Damson Park on 6 April 2026 in the National League, the most recent of five recorded meetings between 18 March 2023 and that date.
- Solihull also won the previous Damson Park meetings 2-0 on 12 March 2024 and 2-0 on 18 March 2023, while Boreham Wood won 2-1 at Meadow Park on 30 December 2025.
Boreham Wood's road form comes with a lopsided split, most of their scoring landing in the second half of games.
Nine of those 12 away goals arrived after the interval, and Boreham Wood conceded in four of the five games while keeping one clean sheet on the road. The window runs from 15 August to 16 September, so it describes the current side rather than a longer trend. It points to the second half as the stretch where the visitors do most of their scoring, with the caveat that they have been conceding away from home too.
- matchBrief.away.away, five away league games from 15 August to 16 September 2026: 12 goals scored and five conceded, an average of 1.8 second-half goals per game against 0.6 in first halves.
- Boreham Wood scored in all five of those away matches and conceded in four of the five, with one clean sheet; their league away record reads four wins, one draw, no defeats.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 3

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result4 of 5 landed

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.55
The read
Boreham Wood’s unbeaten record and strong away form contrast sharply with Solihull’s bottom-three position and poor home results.
- Boreham Wood lead the National League with 23 points from 9 games (7 wins, 2 draws).
- Their away record is 4 wins, 1 draw, 0 defeats, scoring 12 and conceding 5.
- Solihull are 23rd with 1 win, 1 draw and 7 defeats.
- Boreham Wood have scored in all 11 league games this season.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonBoreham WoodEstimated chance63%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Market price 2.80
The read
Boreham Wood’s away first halves have been low-scoring, keeping a half-time draw likely.
- Boreham Wood’s last three away first halves finished 0-0, 0-0 and 0-1.
- Solihull’s home first halves this season include 0-0, 1-0 and 0-2.
- Boreham Wood concede just 0.2 first-half goals away; Solihull concede 1.29 at home.
- Overall first-half goals average 1.55 per game for both teams.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerlostDrawEstimated chance50%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Boreham Wood’s strong away second-half scoring against Solihull’s weak home second-half defence makes them the most likely second-half winner.
- Boreham Wood average 1.8 second-half goals away; Solihull concede 1.0 second-half goal at home.
- Solihull score only 0.43 second-half goals at home.
- Boreham Wood have scored after half-time in all five away games.
- Solihull have won only one home league game.
BetBugs · Second Half WinnerwonBoreham WoodEstimated chance44%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Boreham Wood’s strong away record and Solihull’s weak home form make a draw less likely than an away win. Boreham Wood’s unbeaten record and strong away form contrast sharply with Solihull’s bottom-three position and poor home results.
- Solihull have drawn 1 of 9 league games; Boreham Wood have drawn 2 of 9, including 1 of 5 away.
- Boreham Wood have won 4 of 5 away, while Solihull have lost 4 of 5 at home.
- Boreham Wood lead the National League with 23 points from 9 games (7 wins, 2 draws).
- Their away record is 4 wins, 1 draw, 0 defeats, scoring 12 and conceding 5.
BetBugs · Double ChancewonDraw or Boreham WoodEstimated chance84%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Boreham Wood’s away first halves have been low-scoring, keeping a half-time draw likely. Boreham Wood’s stronger first-half scoring and Solihull’s leaky home first half give the visitors a solid half-time lead chance.
- Boreham Wood’s last three away first halves finished 0-0, 0-0 and 0-1.
- Solihull’s home first halves this season include 0-0, 1-0 and 0-2.
- Boreham Wood average 1.09 first-half goals overall and Solihull concede 1.29 first-half goals at home.
- Solihull score only 0.57 first-half goals at home.
BetBugs · Double Chance First HalfwonDraw or Boreham WoodEstimated chance82%

Goals7 of 10 landed

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.33
The read
Both teams score and concede regularly, with Solihull’s home games often producing three or more goals.
- Solihull concede 2.64 goals per game overall and 2.29 at home.
- Boreham Wood score 2.73 per game overall and 2.4 away.
- Nine of Solihull’s 11 league games and 10 of Boreham Wood’s 11 have seen both teams score.
- Recent home games for Solihull have produced totals of 1, 3, 3 and 4 goals.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderwonOver 2.5Estimated chance66%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.40
The read
Both teams have scored in almost every league game this season, and neither defence has been reliable.
- Solihull have scored in 10 of 11 league games and conceded in 10 of 11.
- Boreham Wood have scored in all 11 and conceded in 10 of 11.
- Both teams scored in 9 of Solihull’s 11 and 10 of Boreham Wood’s 11.
- Solihull kept only one clean sheet; Boreham Wood kept one.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorelostYesEstimated chance74%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Solihull’s home scoring output has been consistently low, making under 1.5 the more likely side of this line.
- Solihull have scored one goal or fewer in 3 of their last 4 home matches.
- Their home league record is 4 goals in 5 games (0.8 per game).
- Boreham Wood have kept one clean sheet in five away league games.
- Solihull average 1.0 goals per home match in the tracked split.
BetBugs · Home Goals TotalwonSolihull Moors under 1.5Estimated chance73%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Boreham Wood’s away scoring rate and Solihull’s home conceding rate make two or more away goals plausible.
- Boreham Wood average 2.4 goals per away match.
- They scored 2, 1 and 3 in their last three away league games.
- Solihull concede 2.29 goals per home match.
- Boreham Wood have scored in all five away league games.
BetBugs · Away Goals TotalwonBoreham Wood over 1.5Estimated chance62%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Boreham Wood’s perfect scoring record makes it very likely Solihull concede at least once.
- Boreham Wood have scored in 11 of 11 league games and all 5 away games.
- Solihull have conceded in 10 of 11 league games.
- Boreham Wood average 2.73 goals per game.
- Solihull have kept one clean sheet in 11 league games.
BetBugs · Team to ScorewonBoreham Wood to scoreEstimated chance93%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Solihull’s regular scoring and Boreham Wood’s tendency to concede make an away clean sheet unlikely.
- Solihull have scored in 10 of 11 league games.
- Boreham Wood have conceded in 10 of 11 league games and 4 of 5 away.
- Solihull scored in four of their last five home matches.
- Boreham Wood have kept one clean sheet in five away league games.
BetBugs · Team to ScorelostSolihull Moors to scoreEstimated chance88%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Solihull’s consistent scoring makes a Boreham Wood win without conceding unlikely.
- Solihull have scored in 10 of 11 league games.
- Boreham Wood have kept one clean sheet in five away games.
- Solihull scored in each of their last four home matches.
- Boreham Wood have conceded in four of five away league games.
BetBugs · Away Win to NillostNoEstimated chance91%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.17
The read
Solihull’s home first halves have often contained at least one goal, making over 0.5 likely.
- Solihull’s last four home first halves produced 0, 1, 3 and 2 goals.
- Boreham Wood’s away first halves produced 0, 0 and 1 goals.
- Overall first-half goals average 1.55 per game for both teams.
- Solihull concede 1.29 first-half goals at home.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalswonOver 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance70%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.30
The read
Low first-half scoring from both sides makes at least one team failing to score before the break likely.
- Boreham Wood have conceded only one first-half goal in five away games.
- Solihull have scored only 0.57 first-half goals per home game.
- Solihull have kept one first-half clean sheet in their last four home games.
- Boreham Wood have scored first-half goals in only one of their last three away games.
BetBugs · Both Teams Score First HalfwonNoEstimated chance85%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams’ recent second halves have produced multiple goals, making over 1.5 likely.
- Boreham Wood’s last three away second halves produced 3, 2 and 4 goals.
- Solihull’s last three home second halves produced 1, 2 and 2 goals.
- Solihull concede 1.0 second-half goal per home game; Boreham Wood score 1.8 away.
- Boreham Wood have scored after half-time in all five away games.
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalfwonOver 1.5Estimated chance68%

Markets to Avoid

High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.

The 4.5 price requires 22.2%, above our 21.0% estimate.

Head-to-Head

4W · 0D · 1W

W4-1Solihull MoorsvBoreham WoodApr 6, 2026NAT

L2-1Boreham WoodvSolihull MoorsDec 30, 2025NAT

W2-0Solihull MoorsvBoreham WoodMar 12, 2024NAT

W1-2Boreham WoodvSolihull MoorsAug 16, 2023NAT

W2-0Solihull MoorsvBoreham WoodMar 18, 2023NAT

Solihull Moors: 2 clean sheets3 goals/game avg

League Table

National League 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
23	Solihull Moors Relegation	9	1	1	7	9-23	4	LWLDL
1	Boreham Wood Promotion - League Two	9	7	2	0	23-11	23	WWDWW

19pt gap between teamsBoreham Wood leads the leagueSolihull Moors in relegation zone

Recent Form

Solihull Moors

L1-4Yeovil TownSep 18NAT

W1-0BarrowSep 15NAT

L1-2Aldershot TownSep 12NAT

L2-3Leeds United U21Sep 8NAT

D1-1GatesheadSep 5NAT

L1-3AFC FyldeAug 31NAT

L1-3ScunthorpeAug 28NAT

L1-3SouthendAug 22NAT

L1-3Middlesbrough U21Aug 18NAT

L0-2Boston UnitedAug 15NAT

L2-5Harrogate TownAug 8NAT

L2-4NorthamptonAug 1FRI

D1-1Burton AlbionJul 28FRI

W3-0HerefordJul 25FRI

W2-1Hednesford TownJul 18FRI

Boreham Wood

W4-1Harrogate TownSep 19NAT

W2-1ScunthorpeSep 16NAT

D1-1EastleighSep 12NAT

W2-1Newcastle United U21Sep 8NAT

W2-1CarlisleSep 5NAT

W3-2WorthingAug 31NAT

W2-1Boston UnitedAug 27NAT

W3-0Forest GreenAug 22NAT

W5-2Leeds United U21Aug 18NAT

W3-1FC Halifax TownAug 15NAT

D3-3TamworthAug 8NAT

W2-1Norwich City U21Jul 31FRI

W2-1Dagenham & RedbridgeJul 28FRI

W2-1Tottenham Hotspur U21Jul 21FRI

D1-1Arsenal U21Jul 17FRI

Squad & Injuries

Solihull Moors

27 available

Attackers5

Midfielders9

Defenders11

Goalkeeper2

Boreham Wood

22 available

Attackers6

Midfielders8

Defenders6

Goalkeeper2

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Draw

No

Yes

Over 0.5 goals in 1st half

Over 2.5

Boreham Wood

Result4 of 5 landed

Goals7 of 10 landed

Markets to Avoid

Boreham Wood

Over 2.5

Head-to-Head

League Table

Recent Form

Solihull Moors

Boreham Wood

Squad & Injuries

Solihull Moors

Boreham Wood