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Predictions graded

Eastleigh1Woking3

HT 1–1Sat 3 Oct 2026, 14:00 Predictions graded

Predictions8–657%

Edges1–233%

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 30 Sep 2026, 22:22 · Europe/Bucharest

Eastleigh's unbeaten home league record meets a Woking side that won 5-2 at Carlisle and has drawn four of the last five meetings.

Eastleigh look the likelier winners, and the 2.8 on them is worth taking; 1.22 on the two sides not both scoring in the first half and 2.25 on a level first half are also worthwhile.

Context

Craig Ross, Woking's goalkeeper, has also been running the team since Jermain Defoe left the manager's job before the season began, and Ross was still the manager in post for the 4-2 home defeat by Solihull Moors on 29 September. A player-manager who can select himself in goal is an unusual setup for a league away day, and it blurs the line between a caretaker arrangement and a settled appointment. Woking had gone five league games unbeaten under him before Solihull, so the side arrives with belief but with an unresolved question over who holds the job permanently.
- Craig Ross plays in goal for Woking and is the club's manager.
- Jermain Defoe left the Woking manager's post before the 2026-27 season began.
- Woking were unbeaten in five league matches under Ross before a 4-2 home defeat by Solihull Moors on 29 September.
ReportedSources checked 30 Sep 2026, 22:20 · Europe/Bucharest
Jaiden Putman was sent off in the 56th minute of Woking's 4-2 home loss to Solihull Moors on 29 September after kicking out at an opponent, and Woking played the closing half-hour with ten men. A dismissal carries a suspension, so a defender who was on the pitch in that match is likely to be unavailable at Eastleigh. The specific number of matches he must sit out is not yet fixed, so the exact size of the gap in the squad is uncertain.
- Jaiden Putman was sent off in the 56th minute of Woking's 4-2 home defeat by Solihull Moors on 29 September.
- The dismissal followed an off-the-ball kick at an opponent, and Woking finished the match with ten men.
- J. Putman started 5 of the 5 recent team fixtures with available lineups.
ReportedSources checked 30 Sep 2026, 22:20 · Europe/Bucharest
Josh Kelly started for Woking against Solihull Moors on 29 September, his first start since an injury picked up at Gateshead. That restores a forward option to a squad whose unbeaten run had been built without him. A first start after a layoff does not guarantee he keeps the role at Eastleigh, and his minutes may still be managed around a midweek league game.
- Josh Kelly started for Woking against Solihull Moors on 29 September.
- It was his first start since an injury sustained in Woking's match at Gateshead.
- J. Kelly started 0 of the 5 recent team fixtures with available lineups.
ConfirmedSources checked 30 Sep 2026, 22:20 · Europe/Bucharest
Nick Townsend was back in the Eastleigh goal for the midweek home match against Southend United on 30 September, having missed time after a warm-up injury earlier in September that gave Joshua Jeffries a run in the side. A settled goalkeeper is useful preparation for a Woking attack that had scored freely before its Solihull setback. The injury was described as minor at the time and Jeffries kept his place during the absence, so the pecking order for the Woking match is not fully settled.
- Nick Townsend kept goal for Eastleigh in the home match against Southend United on 30 September.
- Townsend had picked up a minor warm-up injury earlier in September, and Joshua Jeffries had started in goal in his absence.
- N. Townsend started 2 of the 5 recent team fixtures with available lineups.
- Joshua Jeffries started in the same position in 3 of the 5 recent team fixtures with available lineups when N. Townsend did not start.
ConfirmedSources checked 30 Sep 2026, 22:20 · Europe/Bucharest

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result2 of 5 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Market price 2.80
The read
Eastleigh's home record is the strongest split in the evidence and Woking have lost three of five on the road.
- Eastleigh at home in the league: 3 wins, 2 draws, 0 defeats, 8 goals for and 5 against in 5 games.
- Woking away in the league: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 defeats, and they failed to score in 3 of those 5.
- Last five meetings: four draws and one Eastleigh win.
- Eastleigh have scored in 9 of 10 league matches; Woking have conceded in 10 of 11.
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostEastleighEstimated chance45%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Market price 2.25
The read
Both teams' first-half scoring is low, making a level first half the most likely outcome.
- Eastleigh average 0.6 first-half goals at home; Woking average 0.2 in the first half away.
- Woking concede just 0.4 first-half goals per away game.
- Eastleigh's last two home league games were 0-0 at half-time.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerwonDrawEstimated chance48%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
The second-half numbers for these two sides are almost identical, which favours a level closing period.
- Eastleigh's home second halves average 1.0 goals each way; Woking's away second halves average 1.0 each way.
- Both teams score and concede after the break at similar rates.
- Eastleigh drew 1-1 at home twice in their last four home league games, with both goals after half-time.
BetBugs · Second Half WinnerlostDrawEstimated chance36%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Eastleigh's home record is the strongest split in the evidence and Woking have lost three of five on the road. The recent head-to-head record is dominated by draws and both teams' results are close, which keeps a level result in play.
- Eastleigh at home in the league: 3 wins, 2 draws, 0 defeats, 8 goals for and 5 against in 5 games.
- Woking away in the league: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 defeats, and they failed to score in 3 of those 5.
- Four of the last five meetings between these clubs finished level.
- Eastleigh have drawn 2 of 5 home league games, Woking 1 of 5 away.
BetBugs · Double ChancelostEastleigh or DrawEstimated chance73%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Eastleigh have a clear first-half edge at home, where they have not conceded before the break. Both teams' first-half scoring is low, making a level first half the most likely outcome.
- Eastleigh average 0.6 first-half goals at home and have conceded 0 first-half goals in 5 home league games.
- Woking average 0.2 first-half goals away and concede 0.4 in the first half away.
- Eastleigh average 0.6 first-half goals at home; Woking average 0.2 in the first half away.
- Woking concede just 0.4 first-half goals per away game.
BetBugs · Double Chance First HalfwonEastleigh or DrawEstimated chance84%

Goals6 of 9 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both defences keep the goals-per-game figures close to the line, and Woking often come away with nothing scored.
- Eastleigh home games average 2.6 total goals; Woking away games average 2.6.
- Woking failed to score in 3 of 5 away league matches.
- Eastleigh's recent home scorelines were 1-0, 1-1 and 1-1.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderlostUnder 2.5Estimated chance52%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Eastleigh almost always score, and Woking concede in nearly every match they play.
- Eastleigh have scored in 9 of 10 league matches and conceded in 8.
- Woking have conceded in 10 of their 11 competitive matches.
- Both teams scored in 4 of the last 5 meetings.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorewonYesEstimated chance52%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Eastleigh's home scoring has been a single goal per game in each of their last three home league fixtures.
- Eastleigh's last three home league matches produced 1, 1 and 1 goals for them.
- Woking kept one clean sheet in five away league matches.
- Eastleigh average 1.6 goals per home game across five matches.
BetBugs · Home Goals TotalwonEastleigh under 1.5Estimated chance56%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Woking rarely score more than once on the road, blanking in three of five away league games.
- Woking failed to score in 3 of 5 away league matches.
- Eastleigh have kept 2 clean sheets in 10 league matches and 1 in 5 at home.
- Woking average 1.2 goals per away league game.
BetBugs · Away Goals TotallostWoking under 1.5Estimated chance70%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Eastleigh concede in most matches and Woking have scored in their recent away fixtures.
- Eastleigh have conceded in 8 of 10 league matches and in 4 of 5 at home.
- Woking scored 6 goals across 5 away league matches.
- Woking found the net in both of their last two away league games.
BetBugs · Team to ScorewonWoking to scoreEstimated chance67%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Woking concede in nearly every match and Eastleigh have scored in almost all of theirs.
- Eastleigh have scored in 9 of 10 league matches, with 8 goals in 5 home games.
- Woking have conceded in 10 of 11 competitive matches and in all 5 away league games.
- Woking kept 1 clean sheet in 11 competitive matches.
BetBugs · Team to ScorewonEastleigh to scoreEstimated chance78%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
First-half scoring in these two teams' relevant matches is close to one goal per game.
- Eastleigh home first halves average 0.6 goals in total; Woking away first halves average 0.6.
- Eastleigh's last two home league matches were 0-0 at half-time.
- Woking's away first halves produced 2, 1 and 0 goals in their recent matches.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalswonOver 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance52%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.22
The read
Woking's first-half away scoring is very thin against an Eastleigh side that has not conceded early at home.
- Eastleigh have conceded 0 first-half goals in 5 home league games.
- Woking average 0.2 first-half goals away.
- Woking have scored 4 first-half goals in 11 competitive matches.
BetBugs · Both Teams Score First HalflostNoEstimated chance88%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams' relevant second-half totals sit around two goals per game.
- Eastleigh home second halves average 2.0 goals in total.
- Woking away second halves average 2.0 goals in total.
- Woking scored four second-half goals at Carlisle and three at home to Altrincham.
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalfwonOver 1.5Estimated chance52%

Head-to-Head

1W · 4D · 0W

D3-3WokingvEastleighApr 3, 2026NAT

D1-1EastleighvWokingDec 26, 2025NAT

D2-2WokingvEastleighApr 26, 2025NAT

D2-2EastleighvWokingSep 24, 2024NAT

W0-1WokingvEastleighMar 29, 2024NAT

Eastleigh unbeaten in 5 meetings3.4 goals/game avg

League Table

National League 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
13	Eastleigh	10	4	2	4	12-14	14	LWLDL
15	Woking	10	3	3	4	15-14	12	WDDWL

2pt gap between teams

Recent Form

Eastleigh

L1-4Harrogate TownSep 26NAT

W1-0CarlisleSep 19NAT

L1-2Sutton UtdSep 15NAT

D1-1Boreham WoodSep 12NAT

L1-2AltrinchamSep 4NAT

D1-1Aldershot TownAug 31NAT

W1-0HartlepoolAug 28NAT

W3-2ScunthorpeAug 22NAT

L0-1Kidderminster HarriersAug 15NAT

W2-1GatesheadAug 8NAT

L0-1Farnham TownAug 1FRI

L0-1Crawley TownJul 25FRI

L0-3ValenciennesJul 22FRI

L1-3SouthamptonJul 18FRI

L0-2Poole TownJul 14FRI

Woking

W5-2CarlisleSep 26NAT

D0-0Kidderminster HarriersSep 19NAT

D1-1Boston UnitedSep 15NAT

W5-1AltrinchamSep 12NAT

W4-1Southampton U21Sep 8NAT

L0-1HartlepoolSep 5NAT

D1-1SouthendAug 31NAT

L0-1AFC HornchurchAug 28NAT

W3-2AFC FyldeAug 22NAT

L0-2GatesheadAug 15NAT

L0-3Sutton UtdAug 8NAT

L0-2ReadingJul 25FRI

L0-1BraintreeJul 21FRI

L1-2PortsmouthJul 14FRI

W2-1SholingJul 11FRI

Squad & Injuries

Eastleigh

23 available

Attackers8

Midfielders5

Defenders8

Goalkeeper2

Woking

27 available

Attackers9

Midfielders7

Defenders9

Goalkeeper2

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Eastleigh

No

Draw

Result2 of 5 landed

Goals6 of 9 landed

Head-to-Head

League Table

Recent Form

Eastleigh

Woking

Squad & Injuries

Eastleigh

Woking