Ostersund or Draw
Market 77.5% · BetBugs 78%
Ostersund are unbeaten at home in 89% of matches and Ljungskile fail to win away in 67%, making the double chance a high-probability outcome.
SuperettanFull time
Predictions gradedPre-match view
Östersund are the likely winners based on home form and H2H dominance, but the odds offer no value.
The only edge is a tiny +0.5 points on the double chance (Östersund or Draw) at 1.29. Avoid the first-half Over 0.5 at 1.30, which is massively overpriced.
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
Positive edges · 2
Market 77.5% · BetBugs 78%
Ostersund are unbeaten at home in 89% of matches and Ljungskile fail to win away in 67%, making the double chance a high-probability outcome.
Market 57.1% · BetBugs 58%
Both teams have scored in 8 of their last 10 matches and concede regularly, making BTTS a near coin-flip with no value.
Other edges · 3
The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.
OstersundBetBugs 52% · Market 52.4%
Ostersund's strong home form (6W 2D 1L) and Ljungskile's poor away win rate (2W 4D 3L) support a home win, but the odds are fair with no edge.
How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.
High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.
Implied 28.6% vs our estimate 22% leaves no value; the away side's poor away record and H2H struggles make this a trap.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF-GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Ostersund | 19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 29-22 | 33 |
| 11 | Ljungskile | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 27-27 | 23 |

