Athletic Bilbao vs Sevilla: result, stats and head-to-head

Result0 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Athletic's strong home H2H record and Sevilla's inconsistent away form give the hosts a slight edge, though Terzic's debut adds uncertainty.
- Athletic Bilbao won 3 of last 5 home H2H vs Sevilla (2-1, 3-2, 2-0).
- Sevilla away form last 5 La Liga: 2W-0D-3L, conceding in 4 of 5.
- Athletic Bilbao home form last 5 La Liga: 2W-1D-2L, but scored in 4 of 5.
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostAthletic BilbaoEstimated chance45%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Athletic's home resilience and Sevilla's away struggles make the double chance a safer play, supported by H2H and venue trends.
- Athletic Bilbao unbeaten in 4 of last 5 home H2H vs Sevilla.
- Sevilla lost 3 of last 5 away La Liga matches.
- Athletic Bilbao drew 1 and won 2 of last 5 home La Liga matches.
BetBugs · Double ChancelostAthletic Bilbao or DrawEstimated chance70%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Athletic's home energy and Sevilla's slow starts away give a slight edge, but first-half outcomes are volatile.
- Athletic Bilbao led at halftime in 2 of last 5 home La Liga matches.
- Sevilla trailed at halftime in 2 of last 5 away La Liga matches.
- H2H last 3 meetings: Athletic led at halftime in 1, Sevilla in 1, draw in 1.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerlostAthletic BilbaoEstimated chance35%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
A home win from start to finish is plausible given H2H and away form, but Terzic's debut and Sevilla's quality keep confidence low.
- Athletic Bilbao won 3 of last 5 home H2H vs Sevilla, leading at halftime in 2 of those wins.
- Sevilla lost 3 of last 5 away La Liga, trailing at halftime in 2 of those losses.
- Athletic Bilbao home HT/FT record last 5: W/W in 2, D/W in 1, L/L in 2.
BetBugs · Ht Ft DoublelostAthletic Bilbao / Athletic BilbaoEstimated chance25%

Goals4 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Recent H2H and both teams' goal trends point to an open game, with Athletic's attacking intent under Terzic likely to push the total over.
- Last 3 H2H meetings produced 3, 5, and 1 goals (avg 3.0).
- Athletic Bilbao home matches last 5 La Liga averaged 2.8 total goals.
- Sevilla away matches last 5 La Liga averaged 2.6 total goals.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderwonOver 2.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both sides have consistent scoring records in this fixture and respective home/away splits, making BTTS a strong likelihood.
- Both teams scored in 4 of last 5 H2H meetings.
- Athletic Bilbao scored in 4 of last 5 home La Liga matches.
- Sevilla scored in 4 of last 5 away La Liga matches.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorewonYesEstimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Athletic's tendency to start fast at home and Sevilla's leaky first-half defense away suggest a first-half goal is likely.
- Athletic Bilbao first-half goals in last 5 home La Liga: 1,0,0,1,1 (avg 0.6).
- Sevilla first-half goals conceded in last 5 away La Liga: 1,1,2,0,1 (avg 1.0).
- H2H last 3 meetings had first-half goals in 2 of 3.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalswonOver 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance65%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Second-half scoring is less predictable, but both teams have shown ability to score after the break, making over 1.5 a coin-flip.
- Athletic Bilbao second-half goals in last 5 home La Liga: 1,1,0,3,0 (avg 1.0).
- Sevilla second-half goals conceded in last 5 away La Liga: 0,0,0,2,1 (avg 0.6).
- H2H last 3 meetings had second-half goals in all 3.
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalfwonOver 1.5Estimated chance50%

Match stats0 of 1 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Both teams generate corners, especially Athletic at home, but the line is high and variance is significant.
- Athletic Bilbao home corners last 5 La Liga: 5,9,13,4,5 (avg 7.2).
- Sevilla away corners last 5 La Liga: 3,4,4,4,6 (avg 4.2).
- Combined average corners in those matches: 11.4.
BetBugs · Corners Over/UnderlostOver 9.5Estimated chance50%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have disciplined but competitive styles, and the average combined cards hovers around the line, making over 4.5 a slight lean.
- Athletic Bilbao home yellow cards last 5 La Liga: 2,2,3,3,3 (avg 2.6).
- Sevilla away yellow cards last 5 La Liga: 1,4,1,2,4 (avg 2.4).
- Combined average cards in those matches: 5.0.
BetBugs · Cards Over/Undernot gradableOver 4.5Estimated chance55%

The percentage shows our estimated chance. Tap a row for the context and share card.18+ · predictions, not guarantees

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
13	Athletic Bilbao	0	0	0	0	0-0	0
3	Sevilla Champions League league stage	1	1	0	0	2-1	3	W

Athletic Bilbao1Sevilla3

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Over 2.5

Yes

Athletic Bilbao

Athletic Bilbao or Draw

Over 0.5

BetBugs probabilities

Result0 of 4 landed

Goals4 of 4 landed

Match stats0 of 1 landed

Markets to Avoid

Athletic Bilbao

Athletic Bilbao or Draw

Head-to-Head

League Table

Recent Form

Athletic Bilbao

Sevilla

Squad & Injuries

Athletic Bilbao

Sevilla