Yue Yuan #125China11 – 2Mirra Andreeva #5Russia2

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

The ranking gap and Andreeva's stronger hard-court serve and point numbers point clearly her way.

• Andreeva is WTA No.5 and the No.4 seed; Yuan is No.135
• Andreeva on hard: 8-4, 66.7% of sets won, 54.2% of total points won
• First-serve points won on hard: Andreeva 70.2%, Yuan 63.1%
• Yuan is 5-10 in her last 15 matches and 5-6 on hard

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Andreeva's first sets on hard have usually ended around eight games, which fits under this line.

• Andreeva's hard-court first sets average 7.92 total games
• Yuan's hard-court first sets average 9.18 total games
• None of Andreeva's 12 hard-court first sets reached a tiebreak
• Andreeva's first sets on hard average 5.17 to 2.75 games

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 2.50

The read

Yuan's habit of extending matches and Andreeva's frequent second-set tiebreaks push the total toward and past twenty games.

• Andreeva's hard-court matches average 19.6 total games
• Yuan's hard-court matches average 23.0 total games
• Andreeva has played three hard-court three-setters in 12 matches
• Yuan has played six three-setters in her last 11 hard-court matches

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Andreeva's second sets on hard have been her stronger half and Yuan has faded late in several matches.

• Andreeva has won the second set in 8 of 12 hard-court matches
• Her second-set average is 5.42 games won to 4.17 lost
• Yuan has lost the second set in 4 of her 11 hard-court matches
• Three of Andreeva's 12 hard-court second sets went to a tiebreak

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Across their combined hard-court samples tiebreaks have been rare, with Andreeva producing them mostly in second sets.

• Only 3 of Andreeva's 12 hard-court matches contained a tiebreak
• None of Yuan's 11 hard-court matches contained a tiebreak
• Andreeva's hard-court first sets have all avoided tiebreaks
• Yuan's hard-court matches average 23.0 games across 11 matches

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Both players' combined hard-court ace counts sit below seven per match.

• Andreeva averages 2.8 aces per hard-court match (34 in 12)
• Yuan averages 2.9 aces per hard-court match (32 in 11)
• Neither player's combined average reaches seven aces
• Andreeva's hard-court matches average 19.6 total games

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

The two combined average just over six double faults per hard-court match, leaving this line a slight toss-up.

• Andreeva averages 3.8 double faults per hard-court match (46 in 12)
• Yuan averages 2.3 double faults per hard-court match (25 in 11)
• Combined hard-court average is about 6.1 per match
• Andreeva's hard-court first-serve rate is 63.6%