Bu Yunchaokete #118China22 – 1Kamil Majchrzak #67Poland1

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 2.00

The read

Bu has the stronger recent hard-court results and the better set and game return, and he won his opening match in straight sets.

• Bu is 8-5 on hard in this window, winning 58.8% of sets and 52.4% of games
• Majchrzak is 4-6 on hard in the same window, winning 41.7% of sets and 48.5% of games
• Bu beat Michael Zheng 6-4 6-3 in round one; Majchrzak beat Mattia Bellucci 6-3 6-4
• Rankings are close: Bu No. 111, Majchrzak No. 73

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Bu only needs to win or keep the loss within two games, and Majchrzak has rarely won by a wide margin recently.

• Majchrzak has won only four of ten hard-court matches
• Four of Majchrzak's six recent margins were +2 or worse
• Bu wins 52.4% of hard-court games
• Bu is 8-5 on hard in this window

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Second sets are the longer set for both players, with Majchrzak's averaging almost eleven games.

• Bu's second sets on hard average 9.8 games
• Majchrzak's second sets on hard average 10.9 games
• Three of Majchrzak's eight hard-court matches had a second-set tiebreak
• Bu's second sets average 5.0 games won and 4.82 lost

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Bu only needs to win the match or lose by a single game for this line to hold.

• Bu wins 56% of the match under this assessment
• Bu has won 52.4% of his hard-court games this window
• Majchrzak has lost six of ten hard-court matches
• Bu's tightest recent results were a one-game win and a one-game loss

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

The two recent match sets of games sit either side of the line, and the most recent matches point just above it.

• Bu's hard-court matches average 24.9 games
• Majchrzak's hard-court matches average 21.6 games
• Both players' last six matches averaged 25.7 games
• Bu's games-won rate on hard is 52.4%

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Both players' first sets sit right on the line, with Bu's slightly above it.

• Bu's first sets on hard average 10.0 games
• Majchrzak's first sets on hard average 9.6 games
• Two of Bu's eleven hard-court first sets went to a tiebreak
• Majchrzak's first-set games-won average is 4.1

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 1.95

The read

Bu starts matches better than Majchrzak, who has lost first sets far more often than he has won them.

• Bu has won six of eleven first sets on hard this window
• Majchrzak has won only two of eight first sets on hard
• Majchrzak averages 4.1 games won and 5.5 lost in first sets
• Bu's first sets average 5.09 games won and 4.91 lost

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

The two players' combined ace rate sits just above the line, with Majchrzak supplying most of them.

• Bu averages 5.0 aces per hard-court match
• Majchrzak averages 7.9 aces per hard-court match
• Combined average across these matches is about 12.9 aces
• Majchrzak's first-serve-in rate on hard is 56%

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

The combined double-fault rate is slightly above the line, with Bu the more error-prone server.

• Bu averages 3.6 double faults per hard-court match
• Majchrzak averages 3.3 double faults per hard-court match
• Combined average is about 6.9 double faults
• Bu has served 43 double faults in 12 hard-court matches