Alexandre Muller #136France22 – 0Petr Bar Biryukov #285Russia0

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Muller is the higher-ranked player and his three-set win in the Chengdu opener shows he can close out a tight match.

• Muller is ranked 135, Bar Biryukov 269
• Hard-court window: Muller 3-3 from 6 matches, Bar Biryukov 8-6 from 14
• Muller's six recent hard matches: 60 games won, 62 lost

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Bar Biryukov has kept most of his recent hard-court matches within a small number of games.

• Bar Biryukov avoided a deficit of five or more games in five of his last six hard matches
• His worst recent margin was -5 against Sharipov
• Muller's biggest recent winning margin was eight games, against a player ranked 181

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

First sets in both players' recent hard-court matches have usually gone past nine games.

• Muller's first sets average 10.2 games
• Bar Biryukov's first sets average 11.0 games
• Five of Bar Biryukov's fourteen first sets went to a tiebreak

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Bar Biryukov has rarely been beaten heavily in this window, so a small start is likely to hold.

• Bar Biryukov avoided a deficit of three or more games in four of his last six hard matches
• His game record in that span is +3
• Two of those six finished five games or more against him

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Muller is the higher-ranked player, so finishing ahead on games is the more likely result.

• Muller's last six hard matches: 60 games won, 62 lost
• Three of those six finished with him ahead on games
• Bar Biryukov's last six: 79 games won, 76 lost

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Second sets sit close to the nine-and-a-half game mark, with Bar Biryukov's running longer than Muller's.

• Muller's second sets average 8.7 games
• Bar Biryukov's second sets average 10.2 games
• Three of Bar Biryukov's fourteen second sets went to a tiebreak

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.55

The read

Straight-set finishes dominate the recent hard-court records of both players.

• Five of Muller's six hard matches finished in two sets
• Eleven of Bar Biryukov's fourteen finished in two sets
• Straight-set scorelines make up 11 of the 20 matches in these windows

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

The ranking gap points to Muller starting the stronger, though his own first-set record is level.

• Muller is 3-3 in first sets on hard this window
• Bar Biryukov is 8-6 in first sets
• Bar Biryukov has played five first-set tiebreaks in fourteen matches

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Muller's higher ranking still gives him the better chance of taking the second set.

• Muller is 2-4 in second sets on hard this window
• Bar Biryukov is 7-7 in second sets
• Muller's second sets average 8.7 games in total