Botic Van De Zandschulp #70Netherlands22 – 1Hubert Hurkacz #72Poland1

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.90

The read

Both players have strong serving numbers and recent matches have been competitive, with Hurkacz frequently involved in tiebreaks, pointing to a match likely exceeding 22.5 games.

• Van De Zandschulp last15 overall games per match average 27.7, Hurkacz 33.6
• Both players' last15 hard matches averaged 24 and 26.5 games respectively (small sample)
• Hurkacz last15 overall tiebreak involvement: 7 of 15 matches had at least one tiebreak

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.80

The read

Van De Zandschulp's competitive recent form and ability to keep matches close suggest he will stay within 3.5 games of Hurkacz.

• Van De Zandschulp last15 overall games won% 49.3%, Hurkacz 52.8%
• Van De Zandschulp last15 hard games won% 58.3% (2 matches), Hurkacz 56.6% (2 matches)
• H2H (2021 clay): Van De Zandschulp won in 5 sets, covering +3.5 easily

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.45

The read

Hurkacz's superior serve numbers and break-point saving in recent matches suggest he is more likely to hold serve early and apply pressure in set 1.

• Hurkacz last15 overall first-serve points won 79.2%, break points saved 70.4%
• Van De Zandschulp last15 overall first-serve points won 71.2%, break points saved 63.8%
• Hurkacz last15 hard first-serve points won 84.9% (2 matches), Van De Zandschulp 64.6% (2 matches)

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Hurkacz's elite ace rate (16.6 per match) alone nearly covers the line, and Van De Zandschulp adds a few, making over 18.5 aces highly probable.

• Hurkacz last15 overall aces per match 16.6, Van De Zandschulp 6.7
• Hurkacz last15 hard aces per match 15.0 (2 matches), Van De Zandschulp 1.5 (2 matches)
• Combined average aces per match in last15 overall: 23.3

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

With both players holding serve effectively (Hurkacz 79.2% first-serve points won, Van De Zandschulp 71.2%), a tiebreak is likely in at least one set.

• Hurkacz last15 overall: 7 of 15 matches had at least one tiebreak
• Van De Zandschulp last15 overall: 6 of 15 matches had at least one tiebreak
• Both players have strong hold percentages and high first-serve points won in recent form

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Van De Zandschulp's higher double-fault rate (4.9 per match) and Hurkacz's moderate rate (3.3) push the combined total above 7.5 on average.

• Van De Zandschulp last15 overall double faults per match 4.9, Hurkacz 3.3
• Combined average double faults per match in last15 overall: 8.2
• Van De Zandschulp last15 hard double faults per match 6.0 (2 matches)