Universidad Catolica QuitovsSD Aucas

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.20

The read

Catolica lose rarely at home and concede about a goal a game there, so avoiding defeat is the likelier outcome.

• Catolica league home record 10W-3D-2L, 37 goals for and 14 against in 15 games
• Catolica overall 15 matches: 6W-6D-3L, conceding 1.07 per game
• Aucas away league record 6W-6D-3L but only 14 goals scored in 15
• September meeting in Quito finished 1-1

BetBugs · Double ChanceUniversidad Catolica Quito or DrawMarket price1.20Estimated chance68%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.30

The read

Both teams' season goal totals sit comfortably below four per game and Aucas away games have been especially low-scoring.

• Catolica matches average 2.8 total goals (1.73 for, 1.07 against)
• Aucas matches average 2.2 total goals (0.93 for, 1.27 against)
• Aucas away matches average 1.71 goals per game over 7 tracked fixtures
• September head-to-head produced two goals

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.20

The read

Catolica score in nearly every game and average almost 2.5 goals per league home fixture.

• Catolica scored in 13 of 15 tracked matches
• 37 goals in 15 league home games
• Aucas conceded in five of their last six matches

BetBugs · Home Goals TotalUniversidad Catolica Quito over 0.5Market price1.20Estimated chance86%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.25

The read

Aucas have been held to a single goal or none in every recent game and their away scoring rate is under one per match.

• Aucas average 0.86 goals per away match across 7 tracked away games
• Aucas scored at most once in each of their last six matches
• Aucas league away total is 14 goals in 15 games

BetBugs · Away Goals TotalSD Aucas under 1.5Market price1.25Estimated chance71%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.35

The read

Catolica's home first halves have been productive, with nearly two goals per game before the break.

• Catolica average 0.93 first-half goals per game, 1.67 in the 6-match home window
• Aucas average 0.44 first-half goals for and 0.22 against
• Catolica's home window shows 10 first-half goals in six games

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Second halves in both teams' recent games have usually yielded one goal or none.

• Catolica second-half totals average 1.53 goals per match (0.8 for, 0.73 against)
• Aucas second-half totals average 1.67 (0.78 for, 0.89 against)
• Recent Catolica second halves produced 3, 0, 2, 0, 2, 0 goals

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams' matches routinely clear eight corners, with Catolica especially generous to opponents from wide areas.

• Catolica matches average 10.2 corners (3.9 for, 6.3 against) across 12 games
• Aucas matches average 8.6 corners (4.1 for, 4.6 against) across 14 games
• Recent Aucas games produced 12, 14, 8 and 12 total corners

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Combined booking averages sit just above the line, with opponents of both sides doing most of the collecting.

• Catolica matches average 4.1 yellows (1.5 own, 2.6 opponent)
• Aucas matches average 4.0 yellows (1.6 own, 2.4 opponent)
• Aucas have also picked up red cards in their tracked sample