SD Aucas vs LDU Quito: result, stats and head-to-head

Result0 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
SD Aucas' strong home form and LDU Quito's inconsistent away record give the hosts a slight edge, supported by the recent H2H home win.
- SD Aucas home record: 7W-1D-4L, 17 goals scored, 14 conceded in 12 home matches
- SD Aucas last 5 home matches: 3W-0D-2L, including wins over Leones del Norte (3-0), Manta FC (3-1), Universidad Catolica (2-1)
- LDU Quito away record: 5W-2D-5L, 13 goals scored, 10 conceded in 12 away matches
- H2H last meeting at Aucas: SD Aucas won 1-0 (Aug 2025)
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostSD AucasEstimated chance42%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
SD Aucas are strong at home and LDU Quito have been inconsistent away, making a home win or draw highly likely.
- SD Aucas home record: 7W-1D-4L, 17 goals scored, 14 conceded in 12 home matches
- LDU Quito away record: 5W-2D-5L, 13 goals scored, 10 conceded in 12 away matches
- H2H last 3 meetings: 0-0, 1-0 Aucas, 3-1 LDU Quito
- SD Aucas overall form: 12W-5D-7L, 41 points, 3rd place
BetBugs · Double ChancelostSD Aucas or DrawEstimated chance72%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Both teams have high draw rates at half time and low first half scoring, making a level first half likely.
- SD Aucas half time results: 40% leading, 20% trailing, 40% drawing
- LDU Quito half time results: 20% leading, 33% trailing, 47% drawing
- H2H last meeting: 0-0 at half time
- Both teams average less than 1 first half goal per match
BetBugs · First Half WinnerlostDrawEstimated chance45%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Aucas have shown ability to win at home after a level first half, but this exact sequence is not highly probable.
- SD Aucas home record: 7W-1D-4L, often winning after a level first half
- LDU Quito away record: 5W-2D-5L, with several draws at half time
- H2H last meeting at Aucas: 1-0 win for Aucas (goal in second half)
- SD Aucas second half performance: stronger at home
BetBugs · Ht Ft DoublelostDraw / SD AucasEstimated chance18%

Goals3 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have moderate scoring rates and recent H2H meetings have been low-scoring, supporting an under 2.5 goals outcome.
- H2H last 3 meetings: 0-0, 1-0, 3-1 (two of three under 2.5)
- SD Aucas average goals per match: 1.4 scored, 1.1 conceded
- LDU Quito average goals per match: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded
- LDU Quito away matches: 13 goals scored, 10 conceded in 12 games (avg 1.92 total)
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderwonUnder 2.5Estimated chance58%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Recent H2H and defensive records suggest at least one team is likely to fail to score.
- H2H last 3 meetings: 0-0, 1-0, 3-1 (both teams scored in only one of three)
- SD Aucas home clean sheets: 3 in last 5 home matches
- LDU Quito away clean sheets: 4 in last 6 away matches
- LDU Quito average goals conceded: 0.8 per match overall
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorewonNoEstimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams tend to score few goals in the first half, and the recent H2H was goalless at the break.
- SD Aucas first half goals: 0.8 per match, first half goals conceded: 0.5
- LDU Quito first half goals: 0.5 per match, first half goals conceded: 0.4
- H2H last meeting: 0-0 at half time
- SD Aucas leading at half time in only 40% of matches
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalswonUnder 1.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance65%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Slight lean towards more goals in the second half as teams open up, but confidence is low due to overall low scoring trends.
- SD Aucas average second half goals: 0.6 (1.4 total - 0.8 first half)
- LDU Quito average second half goals: 0.8 (1.3 total - 0.5 first half)
- Combined average second half goals: 1.4
- H2H last meeting: 0-0 full time, but previous meetings had second half goals
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalflostOver 1.5Estimated chance52%

Match stats2 of 2 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Both teams average around 5 corners each, suggesting a total near 10, but variance is high.
- SD Aucas average corners: 5.0 per match, opponent corners: 5.0
- LDU Quito average corners: 5.9 per match, opponent corners: 5.9
- Combined average corners: 10.9
- H2H last meeting: corner data not available
BetBugs · Corners Over/UnderwonOver 9.5Estimated chance50%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams average around 2-3 yellow cards each, and the derby intensity could push the total over 4.5.
- SD Aucas average yellow cards: 1.8 per match, opponent yellow cards: 2.0
- LDU Quito average yellow cards: 2.9 per match, opponent yellow cards: 1.9
- Combined average yellow cards: 4.7
- Derby context may increase card count
BetBugs · Cards Over/UnderwonOver 4.5Estimated chance55%

The percentage shows our estimated chance. Tap a row for the context and share card.18+ · predictions, not guarantees

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
3	SD Aucas Play-offs	24	12	5	7	29-25	41	WWLLW
6	LDU Quito Play-offs	24	10	5	9	23-20	35	LWWDL

SD Aucas0LDU Quito1

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

SD Aucas or Draw

No

Under 2.5

Under 1.5

BetBugs probabilities

Result0 of 4 landed

Goals3 of 4 landed

Match stats2 of 2 landed

Markets to Avoid

Under 1.5

Head-to-Head

League Table

Recent Form

SD Aucas

LDU Quito

Squad & Injuries

SD Aucas

LDU Quito