BolognavsMonza

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.20

The read

Monza have lost four of five away league games and have been beaten in three straight meetings, so covering the draw with the home side captures the most likely routes.

• Bologna are 11th on 11 points, Monza 16th on 7 after nine league matches
• Monza's away record is 0 wins, 1 draw, 4 defeats with 14 goals conceded in 5 league away games
• Bologna have won the last three meetings 3-1, 4-0 and 2-1
• Bologna's own home record is 0 wins, 2 draws, 2 defeats

BetBugs · Double ChanceBologna or DrawMarket price1.20Estimated chance65%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.53

The read

Bologna have conceded in every home league game this season and Monza have found the net in almost all of their away matches.

• Bologna have kept no clean sheet in four home league games, conceding seven
• Monza average 1.33 goals in six away matches and scored in five of those six
• Both teams scored in five of Monza's six away matches

BetBugs · Away Goals TotalMonza over 0.5Market price1.53Estimated chance72%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 1.75

The read

Monza's games have been consistently high-scoring and recent meetings between the sides have produced three goals or more.

• Monza's 11 competitive matches average 3.82 goals combined (1.82 for, 2.0 against)
• Monza's away matches average 3.66 goals combined
• The last three meetings produced four, four and three goals
• Bologna's home matches average 2.75 goals combined

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams do the bulk of their scoring after the break, and their recent matches have almost all produced at least two second-half goals.

• Bologna average 0.89 second-half goals for and 0.89 against per match
• Monza average 1.0 second-half goals for and 1.0 against per match
• Second-half totals in Bologna's last six: 3, 2, 2, 2, 1, 1
• Second-half totals in Monza's last six: 3, 4, 3, 2, 3, 1

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Bologna in particular are very quiet before the break, with first-half goals rarely reaching two in their matches.

• Bologna average 0.44 first-half goals for and 0.44 against across nine matches
• Monza average 0.82 first-half goals for and 1.0 against across eleven matches
• First-half totals in Bologna's last six: 3, 0, 2, 1, 1, 0
• First-half totals in Monza's last six: 2, 1, 1, 2, 0, 4

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Neither side collects many cards and most of their recent matches have stayed below four in total.

• Bologna average 1.89 yellow cards, their opponents 2.0
• Monza average 1.36 yellow cards, their opponents 1.45
• Only 5 of the last 12 combined matches produced four or more cards

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams concede plenty of corners, and the home and away splits point to a busy set-piece game at the Dall'Ara.

• Bologna's matches average 9.33 corners (3.89 for, 5.44 against)
• Monza's matches average 8.9 corners, split evenly at 4.45 each way
• Bologna's home matches average 11.5 corners; Monza's away matches average 10.2
• 6 of the last 12 combined match totals reached nine or more