Palmeiras22 – 0RB Bragantino SP0

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.50

The read

Palmeiras have been close to untouchable at home while Bragantino have not won any of their tracked away matches.

• Palmeiras home record in the window: 6W-1D-0L, 2.29 goals scored and 0.43 conceded per game
• League home record 11W-3D-1L with 28 scored and 10 conceded in 15
• Palmeiras beat Bragantino 1-0 away in April and have 9 clean sheets in 15
• Bragantino's away split in the window: 0W-4D-3L, 6 scored and 7 conceded in 7

BetBugs · Match WinnerwonPalmeirasEstimated chance63%

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.13

The read

Palmeiras have not trailed at the break at home all window, while Bragantino rarely score before half-time on the road.

• Palmeiras conceded 0 first-half goals in 7 home matches while scoring 1.0 per game
• Bragantino scored 0.43 first-half goals per away game and conceded 0.57
• Palmeiras scored in the first half of five of their last six matches
• Bragantino led at half-time in none of their tracked away games

BetBugs · Double Chance First HalfwonPalmeiras or DrawEstimated chance84%

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.43

The read

Both sides play low-scoring matches and neither attack has been prolific enough to expect four or more goals.

• Palmeiras overall: 1.60 scored and 0.53 conceded per game across 15 matches
• Bragantino overall: 1.07 scored and 1.27 conceded per game across 15 matches
• Bragantino away games average 1.00 scored and 1.43 conceded
• Five of Palmeiras' last six matches finished with three goals or fewer

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.95

The read

Palmeiras' home defence has been the strongest part of their game, and Bragantino's away scoring is modest.

• Palmeiras kept 9 clean sheets in 15 matches and conceded 0.43 per home game
• Bragantino scored 6 goals in 7 tracked away matches (0.86 per game)
• Bragantino kept no clean sheets away, so the pick depends on Palmeiras' defence
• Bragantino failed to score in only one of those seven away games

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Bragantino have scored at most one goal in their tracked away matches and face the league's tightest home defence.

• Bragantino away split: 6 goals in 7 matches, 0.86 per game
• Palmeiras conceded only 3 goals in 7 home matches
• Palmeiras' home opponents averaged 1.86 shots on target
• Bragantino's away goals came in single-goal games except the 4-2 home win over Cruzeiro

BetBugs · Away Goals TotalwonRB Bragantino SP under 1.5Estimated chance76%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.50

The read

First halves involving these two have been low-scoring, with Palmeiras yet to concede before the break at home.

• Palmeiras home first half: 1.00 scored and 0.00 conceded per game
• Bragantino away first half: 0.43 scored and 0.57 conceded per game
• Combined first-half expectation across both splits is roughly one goal
• Palmeiras' last three home matches produced two, two and three first-half goals in total

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 1.57

The read

Palmeiras' home scoring rate makes two goals a reasonable baseline even allowing for attacking absences.

• Palmeiras scored 2.29 goals per home game in the window
• League home record shows 28 goals in 15 home matches (1.87 per game)
• Palmeiras scored two or more in five of their last six matches
• Bragantino conceded in every tracked away match

BetBugs · Home Goals TotalwonPalmeiras over 1.5Estimated chance56%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.50

The read

Both teams generate and concede enough corners for the combined count to clear nine regularly.

• Palmeiras home corners: 7.57 for and 3.29 against per game
• Bragantino away corners: 6.14 for and 6.86 against per game
• Bragantino's last four away matches produced 17, 13, 14 and 15 total corners
• Palmeiras' home matches in the window produced 10, 10, 11 and 15 total corners

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.30

The read

Both teams pick up bookings at a steady rate and the combined total has usually cleared three and a half.

• Palmeiras average 2.40 yellow cards, opponents 2.93 per game
• Bragantino average 2.14 yellows and their opponents 2.00 across 14 tracked matches
• Combined booking expectation sits near five cards per match
• Both squads are missing players to suspensions, pointing to a physical contest