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Predictions graded

Hutnik Krakow1Olimpia Grudziadz2

HT 0–2Sat 24 Oct 2026, 12:00 Predictions graded

Predictions7–558%

Edges4–357%

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 23 Oct 2026, 10:07 · Europe/Bucharest

A point separates these two in mid-table and the recent meetings keep finishing level, so the draw deserves real weight.

Hutnik's home record gives them a narrow advantage, though Olimpia bring the better recent run. At 3.5 the draw covers its chance, as do Hutnik to lead at half-time at 3.1, Hutnik to win or draw at 1.55 and both teams to score at 1.62; neither match-winner price is worth taking.

Context

Hutnik's 24 September notice places the Olimpia game among four October home dates at Suche Stawy in Nowa Huta with a 14:00 kick-off, so the venue question has been actively managed rather than left to default. The ground is small, at 1,669 places according to Chojniczanka's away-day note, and Hutnik have just lost there 1-2 to Chojniczanka, which makes the setting a live part of the match picture. The practical result is a Hutnik home game on their own pitch after a host switch the club says was approved. The notice does not say which side previously held hosting rights or why the change was needed, so the sporting swing attached to it should be read cautiously.
- Hutnik Kraków posted on 24 September 2026 that a change of host for the match against Olimpia Grudziądz had been approved.
- The same post lists 'vs. Olimpia, Saturday 24.10, 14:00' among four October home games at Suche Stawy.
- Chojniczanka's match-day post on 17 October 2026 gave the capacity of Stadion Miejski Hutnik as 1,669 places.
ConfirmedSources checked 23 Oct 2026, 10:04 · Europe/Bucharest
Olimpia's next competitive fixture after Hutnik is a home cup tie against Bruk-Bet Termalica Nieciecza on Tuesday 27 October, three days after the Saturday game in Kraków. A cup date that close is the kind of scheduling detail that shapes how a second-tier coach allocates minutes, particularly for players carrying heavy league workloads. No source has said Olimpia plan to rotate at Hutnik, and the cup match being at home means the extra travel burden is limited to the return from Kraków. Treat it as a preparation and selection risk rather than a confirmed change to the eleven.
- The Polish FA cup account scheduled Olimpia Grudziądz v Bruk-Bet Termalica Nieciecza in the round of 32 for 27 October 2026 at 12:30.
- The same tie appeared in the competition's fixture announcement of 7 October 2026 and in its broadcast schedule posted on 22 October 2026.
ConfirmedSources checked 23 Oct 2026, 10:04 · Europe/Bucharest
The split points to a side that starts strongly and fades: nearly three times as much scoring before the interval as after it. That fits Saturday's picture, where Hutnik's best route to a result is an early lead rather than a late push. The same numbers warn that they concede more in second halves, so a one-goal half-time cushion would not be a secure one.
- Hutnik's 13 league matches (25 July to 17 October 2026) average 1.08 first-half goals and 0.38 second-half goals.
- In the same 13 matches Hutnik concede 0.62 first-half goals and 0.77 second-half goals per game.
Olimpia published the head-to-head balance two days before kick-off, counting three wins for themselves, four draws, two for Hutnik and 15 goals each across nine official meetings. It frames the fixture as historically even, which is worth knowing for a match between clubs whose recent league results point in different directions. The meetings are spread across different seasons, divisions and squads, so the balance describes a series rather than a repeatable pattern between these current teams.
- Olimpia's post of 22 October 2026 counted nine official league and Polish Cup meetings between the clubs.
- The same post recorded three Olimpia wins, four draws, two Hutnik wins and a 15-15 goal balance.
ConfirmedSources checked 23 Oct 2026, 10:04 · Europe/Bucharest

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 6

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result1 of 5 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Home advantage and a solid home record keep Hutnik narrowly ahead, but the frequent draws in this fixture temper the edge.
- Hutnik have 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in six home league matches.
- Olimpia have 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats in ten away league matches.
- The last five meetings include three draws.
- Hutnik's last six matches brought one win, one draw and four defeats.
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostHutnik KrakowEstimated chance35%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Market price 3.10
The read
Hutnik's stronger first-half scoring at home gives them the clearest first-half edge.
- Hutnik average 1.33 first-half goals at home and concede 0.67.
- Olimpia average 0.91 first-half goals away and concede 0.82.
- Hutnik scored in the first half in four of their last six matches.
- Olimpia led at half-time in two of their last six matches.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerlostHutnik KrakowEstimated chance37%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Low second-half scoring on both sides makes a drawn second half the most likely single outcome.
- Hutnik's home second-half goals average 0.17 for and 0.33 against.
- Olimpia's away second-half goals average 0.64 for and 0.73 against.
- Three of Olimpia's last six second halves were drawn.
- Hutnik's last six second halves included one draw.
BetBugs · Second Half WinnerlostDrawEstimated chance42%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Home advantage and a solid home record keep Hutnik narrowly ahead, but the frequent draws in this fixture temper the edge. Olimpia's stronger away record and better recent form make them slight favourites despite home advantage.
- Hutnik have 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in six home league matches.
- Olimpia have 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats in ten away league matches.
- Olimpia's last six matches brought three wins, two draws and one defeat.
BetBugs · Double ChancewonHutnik Krakow or Olimpia GrudziadzEstimated chance68%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Hutnik's stronger first-half scoring at home gives them the clearest first-half edge. Both teams have often gone into the break level, and the first-half scoring gap is not large.
- Hutnik average 1.33 first-half goals at home and concede 0.67.
- Olimpia average 0.91 first-half goals away and concede 0.82.
- Three of Hutnik's last six matches were level at half-time.
- Three of Olimpia's last six matches were level at half-time.
BetBugs · Double Chance First HalflostHutnik Krakow or DrawEstimated chance71%

Goals6 of 7 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 1.67
The read
Both sides score regularly and recent meetings have been open, pointing to a moderate chance of three or more goals.
- Hutnik's 13 league matches average 2.85 total goals; Olimpia's average 3.00.
- Olimpia have both scored and conceded in 10 of 13 league matches.
- The last five meetings produced 4, 4, 7, 2 and 3 goals.
- Hutnik's six home matches average 2.5 total goals.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderwonOver 2.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.62
The read
Both teams score regularly and every recent meeting produced goals for each side.
- Olimpia have both scored and conceded in 10 of 13 league matches.
- In Olimpia's 11 away matches, both teams scored in 9.
- Hutnik have both scored and conceded in 7 of 13 league matches.
- All five recent meetings had both teams scoring.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorewonYesEstimated chance64%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Hutnik's recent scoring has been limited, making under 1.5 a slightly stronger side.
- Hutnik scored once or not at all in four of their last six matches.
- Hutnik failed to score in two of six home league matches.
- Olimpia kept three clean sheets in 13 league matches.
- Hutnik's home goals average is only 1.5 per match.
BetBugs · Home Goals TotalwonHutnik Krakow under 1.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Olimpia have rarely scored twice recently, and Hutnik's home defence has been reasonably tight.
- Olimpia scored two or more in only one of their last six matches.
- Olimpia scored exactly one in four of their last six matches.
- Hutnik concede 1.0 goal per home league match.
- Hutnik kept two clean sheets in six home league matches.
BetBugs · Away Goals TotallostOlimpia Grudziadz under 1.5Estimated chance65%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.25
The read
Both teams' recent matches usually produce a first-half goal, and the combined first-half rate is high.
- Hutnik's matches average 1.69 first-half goals; Olimpia's average 1.69.
- All six of Hutnik's recent matches had a first-half goal.
- Five of Olimpia's last six matches had a first-half goal.
- Hutnik's home matches average 2.0 first-half goals.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalswonOver 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance82%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
A first half with goals for both sides is not the most common outcome in these recent samples.
- Olimpia's most recent away first half was 0-0.
- Hutnik were blanked before the break in two of their last six matches.
- Olimpia failed to score in the first half of one of their last six matches.
- Hutnik's home first-half defence concedes 0.67 goals per match.
BetBugs · Both Teams Score First HalfwonNoEstimated chance62%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Second-half scoring has been sparse for both teams, making under 1.5 the stronger side.
- Hutnik's last six second halves produced one match with two or more goals.
- Olimpia's last six second halves produced no match with two or more goals.
- Hutnik's home second-half total averages 0.50 goals.
- Olimpia's away second-half total averages 1.36 goals.
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalfwonUnder 1.5Estimated chance72%

Head-to-Head

1W · 3D · 1W

D2-2Olimpia GrudziądzvHutnik KrakówMay 24, 2026II

D2-2Hutnik KrakówvOlimpia GrudziądzNov 9, 2025II

L4-3Olimpia GrudziądzvHutnik KrakówApr 6, 2025II

D1-1Hutnik KrakówvOlimpia GrudziądzSep 7, 2024II

W1-2Hutnik KrakówvOlimpia GrudziądzMay 25, 2024II

4 goals/game avg

League Table

II Liga - East 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
7	Hutnik Krakow	12	5	3	4	19-16	18	LWLLD
6	Olimpia Grudziadz	12	5	4	3	15-17	19	DWWLD

1pt gap between teams

Recent Form

Hutnik Krakow

L1-2Chojniczanka ChojniceOct 17II

W2-1Sokół KleczewOct 11II

L0-2Tychy 71Oct 3II

L0-2Śląsk Wrocław IISep 20II

D1-1Zawisza BydgoszczSep 12II

L2-4Znicz PruszkówSep 6II

W2-1Stal Stalowa WolaAug 29II

D1-1Lechia Zielona GóraAug 23II

W2-0Legia Warszawa IIAug 16II

W5-2Podhale Nowy TargAug 8II

L0-2PodbeskidzieAug 5CUP

W3-0Świt SkolwinAug 1II

D0-0Sandecja Nowy SączJul 25II

L2-4Mławianka MławaJul 25FRI

L1-2Wiślanie JaśkowiceJul 18FRI

Olimpia Grudziadz

D1-1Świt SkolwinOct 17II

W1-0Resovia RzeszówOct 12II

W2-1Zawisza BydgoszczOct 4II

L1-3Chojniczanka ChojniceSep 19II

D1-1Sokół KleczewSep 11II

W1-0Śląsk Wrocław IISep 6II

W4-3Górnik Zabrze IISep 2CUP

L1-3Podhale Nowy TargAug 29II

W2-1Rekord Bielsko-BiałaAug 23II

W1-0Znicz PruszkówAug 16II

D1-1Tychy 71Aug 9II

D2-2Lechia Zielona GóraAug 1II

L1-4Avia ŚwidnikJul 26II

W3-0Polonia ŚrodaJul 18FRI

W4-2Arka GdyniaJul 11FRI

Squad & Injuries

Hutnik Krakow

28 available

Attackers3

Midfielders14

Defenders6

Goalkeeper5

Olimpia Grudziadz

24 available

Attackers6

Midfielders8

Defenders8

Goalkeeper2

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Hutnik Krakow

Draw

Hutnik Krakow or Draw

Hutnik Krakow or Olimpia Grudziadz

Yes

Over 0.5 goals in 1st half

Over 2.5

Result1 of 5 landed

Goals6 of 7 landed

Head-to-Head

League Table

Recent Form

Hutnik Krakow

Olimpia Grudziadz

Squad & Injuries

Hutnik Krakow

Olimpia Grudziadz