II Liga - EastUpcoming

Hutnik KrakowChojniczanka Chojnice

Sat 17 Oct 2026, 10:3017 Oct, 10:30

15Probabilities7Priced7Edges82%Strongest

Strong leanLeanSlight leanNear coin-flip

Quick Take

Read first

Context last updated 14 Oct 2026, 16:31 · Europe/Bucharest

Round 12 puts fourth-placed Hutnik, strong at home, against a Chojniczanka side three points back that has scored in each of its last six league games and drew 1-1 here in April.

Hutnik are the likelier winners, but the 2.30 price carries no clear advantage. The one price worth attention is Hutnik to lead at half-time at 2.75.

Context

No injuries or availability concerns were reported for either side, and both clubs confirm this round-12 fixture at Hutnik's Suche Stawy ground for Saturday at 12:30. Nothing beyond Hutnik's home record and Chojniczanka's scoring run materially changes the conditions for the game.

Hutnik's 1.6 home goals per game are heavily front-loaded, with 0.2 of them coming in the second half across the five-match sample. It suggests the opening period is the likeliest window for them to take a lead, while the closing stages at home have produced very little from either side. Five matches is a small base, though, so the split describes a pattern to watch rather than a fixed script.
- Five tracked home league matches for Hutnik between 1 August and 3 October 2026
- 1.4 first-half goals and 0.2 second-half goals per home game (1.6 total)
- 0.6 first-half goals and 0.2 second-half goals conceded per home game (0.8 total)
Hutnik stage their home league games at Suche Stawy, the club's ground in Kraków's Nowa Huta district, and both clubs' own announcements place this round-12 fixture there for a Saturday 12:30 kickoff. That settles the venue for a game otherwise given without a location and shows the home side is on its usual ground rather than a neutral or alternate one. Neither announcement mentions a pitch problem, weather or a ground switch, so no playing condition beyond the venue itself can be read from it.
- Hutnik's official account posted on 13 October that the next league game kicks off Saturday at 12:30 at Suchych Stawach.
- Chojniczanka's official account posted on 12 October that the team plays Hutnik in Kraków on Saturday at 12:30.
- Hutnik's home league game against GKS Tychy on 3 October was also listed at Suche Stawy.
ConfirmedSources checked 14 Oct 2026, 16:27 · Europe/Bucharest
The push for a new stadium began in late September on the initiative of Hutnik supporters and Nowa Huta residents, and the club's official account publicly endorsed it. It is background rather than a match-changing factor, because the team still plays this fixture at the existing Suche Stawy ground. No funding, planning decision or construction timeline has been reported, so the campaign does not alter the conditions or selection for Saturday.
- On 28 September, Hutnik's official account said a campaign by supporters and residents for a new Hutnik stadium had started.
- The club said it supports the initiative and encouraged people to back the organisers.
ConfirmedSources checked 14 Oct 2026, 16:27 · Europe/Bucharest
April's 1-1 is the only meeting between the clubs in the past 12 months, and the two previous games at Chojniczanka both ended in home wins (3-0 and 2-1). Hutnik have not beaten this opponent since a 3-2 home win in August 2024, so a tight scoreline is the recent norm rather than a surprising outcome. A single drawn match is a thin base for any stronger claim about how this one will run.
- 25 April 2026, II Liga East: Hutnik Kraków 1-1 Chojniczanka Chojnice
- Most recent of five head-to-head meetings listed between April 2024 and April 2026

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 2

Other edges · 5

The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.

1st Half GoalsUncertainty band: Strong lean

Over 0.5 goals in 1st half

1.25fair 1.28

BetBugs 78% · Market 80%

−2.0ppshort

Both teams' first-half scoring rates indicate a goal before the break is likely.

Double ChanceUncertainty band: Strong lean

Hutnik Krakow or Chojniczanka Chojnice

1.30fair 1.37

BetBugs 73% · Market 76.9%

−3.9ppshort

Hutnik's solid home defence and higher league position give them the best single-team chance. Chojniczanka's recent scoring volume keeps a win within reach against a Hutnik side that has conceded regularly.

Both Teams Score First HalfUncertainty band: Strong lean

No

1.25fair 1.39

BetBugs 72% · Market 80%

−8.0ppshort

Chojniczanka's limited away first-half scoring makes it likely at least one side is blank before the break.

Both Teams to ScoreUncertainty band: Slight lean

Yes

1.55fair 1.79

BetBugs 56% · Market 64.5%

−8.5ppshort

Both attacks have scored regularly while neither defence has been consistently secure.

Goals Over/UnderUncertainty band: Slight lean

Over 2.5

1.60fair 1.85

BetBugs 54% · Market 62.5%

−8.5ppshort

Both teams' home and away totals sit near or above the line, making three or more goals moderately likely.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thinks each outcome is.

Result5 outcomes · top 79%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Market price 2.30
The read
Hutnik's solid home defence and higher league position give them the best single-team chance.
- Hutnik home league record: 3W 1D 1L in 5, scoring 8 and conceding 4
- Hutnik sit 4th on 18 points; Chojniczanka are 11th on 15
- Chojniczanka away record: 2W 1D 2L, conceding 1.83 goals per away game
- Hutnik conceded in three of their last six matches
BetBugs · Match WinnerHutnik KrakowMarket price2.30Estimated chance44%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Market price 2.75
The read
Hutnik's home first halves are their strongest phase, giving them the best first-half edge.
- Hutnik average 1.4 first-half goals at home
- Hutnik concede 0.6 first-half goals at home
- Chojniczanka average 0.5 first-half goals away
BetBugs · First Half WinnerHutnik KrakowMarket price2.75Estimated chance43%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
A level second half is the most common outcome and Hutnik rarely add goals after the break at home.
- Hutnik home second halves average 0.4 goals in total
- Chojniczanka away second halves average 2.0 goals in total
- Hutnik's overall second-half goal difference is -0.33 per game
BetBugs · Second Half WinnerDrawEstimated chance42%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.30
The read
Hutnik's solid home defence and higher league position give them the best single-team chance. Chojniczanka's recent scoring volume keeps a win within reach against a Hutnik side that has conceded regularly.
- Hutnik home league record: 3W 1D 1L in 5, scoring 8 and conceding 4
- Hutnik sit 4th on 18 points; Chojniczanka are 11th on 15
- Chojniczanka scored 15 goals across their last six matches
- Chojniczanka average 1.5 goals per away game
BetBugs · Double ChanceHutnik Krakow or Chojniczanka ChojniceMarket price1.30Estimated chance73%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Hutnik's home first halves are their strongest phase, giving them the best first-half edge. First halves are frequently close and Chojniczanka score little before the break on the road.
- Hutnik average 1.4 first-half goals at home
- Hutnik concede 0.6 first-half goals at home
- Hutnik home first halves produce 2.0 goals in total
- Chojniczanka average 0.5 first-half goals away
BetBugs · Double Chance First HalfHutnik Krakow or DrawEstimated chance79%

Goals10 outcomes · top 82%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 1.60
The read
Both teams' home and away totals sit near or above the line, making three or more goals moderately likely.
- Hutnik home games average 2.4 total goals
- Chojniczanka away games average 3.33 total goals
- Four of the last five head-to-head meetings produced three or more goals
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderOver 2.5Market price1.60Estimated chance54%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 1.55
The read
Both attacks have scored regularly while neither defence has been consistently secure.
- Both teams scored in each of Chojniczanka's last six matches
- Hutnik scored in four of five home games
- Hutnik kept only two clean sheets at home
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScoreYesMarket price1.55Estimated chance56%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
A single Hutnik goal keeps this under and their home goals are not concentrated enough to rule it out.
- Hutnik score 1.6 goals per home game
- Five Hutnik home games produced 8 goals in total
- Hutnik's second-half goals at home average just 0.2
BetBugs · Home Goals TotalHutnik Krakow under 1.5Estimated chance52%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Hutnik's tight home defence makes it more likely Chojniczanka are held to one goal or none.
- Hutnik concede 0.8 goals per home game
- Hutnik kept two clean sheets at home
- Chojniczanka failed to score in two of six away games
BetBugs · Away Goals TotalChojniczanka Chojnice under 1.5Estimated chance64%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Chojniczanka's regular scoring makes an away blank unlikely.
- Chojniczanka scored in four of six away games
- Chojniczanka scored 15 goals in their last six matches
BetBugs · Team to ScoreChojniczanka Chojnice to scoreEstimated chance70%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Chojniczanka's away record shows no shutouts, so Hutnik are likely to score.
- Chojniczanka kept no clean sheet in six away games
- Hutnik scored in four of five home games
BetBugs · Team to ScoreHutnik Krakow to scoreEstimated chance82%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Chojniczanka usually score away, which rules out most win-to-nil outcomes.
- Chojniczanka scored in four of six away games
- Hutnik kept two clean sheets in five home games
BetBugs · Home Win to NilNoEstimated chance82%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.25
The read
Both teams' first-half scoring rates indicate a goal before the break is likely.
- Hutnik average 1.4 first-half goals at home
- Hutnik's matches average 1.67 first-half goals
- Chojniczanka away first halves average 1.33 goals in total
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalsOver 0.5 goals in 1st halfMarket price1.25Estimated chance78%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.25
The read
Chojniczanka's limited away first-half scoring makes it likely at least one side is blank before the break.
- Chojniczanka average 0.5 first-half goals away
- Hutnik concede 0.6 first-half goals at home
- Hutnik score 1.4 first-half goals at home
BetBugs · Both Teams Score First HalfNoMarket price1.25Estimated chance72%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Hutnik's minimal home second-half scoring points to a lower-scoring final period.
- Hutnik home second halves average 0.4 goals in total
- Hutnik score 0.2 and concede 0.2 second-half goals at home
- Chojniczanka away second halves average 2.0 goals in total
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalfUnder 1.5Estimated chance62%

Head-to-Head

0W · 2D · 3W

D1-1Hutnik KrakówvChojniczanka ChojniceApr 25, 2026II

L2-1Chojniczanka ChojnicevHutnik KrakówOct 22, 2025II

L3-0Chojniczanka ChojnicevHutnik KrakówMar 23, 2025II

L3-2Hutnik KrakówvChojniczanka ChojniceAug 24, 2024II

D2-2Chojniczanka ChojnicevHutnik KrakówApr 13, 2024II

Chojniczanka Chojnice unbeaten in 5 meetings3.4 goals/game avg

League Table

II Liga - East 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
4	Hutnik Krakow	11	5	3	3	18-14	18	WLLDL
11	Chojniczanka Chojnice	11	4	3	4	19-19	15	DLWWD

3pt gap between teams

Recent Form

Hutnik Krakow

W2-1Sokół KleczewOct 11II

L0-2Tychy 71Oct 3II

L0-2Śląsk Wrocław IISep 20II

D1-1Zawisza BydgoszczSep 12II

L2-4Znicz PruszkówSep 6II

W2-1Stal Stalowa WolaAug 29II

D1-1Lechia Zielona GóraAug 23II

W2-0Legia Warszawa IIAug 16II

W5-2Podhale Nowy TargAug 8II

L0-2PodbeskidzieAug 5CUP

W3-0Świt SkolwinAug 1II

D0-0Sandecja Nowy SączJul 25II

L2-4Mławianka MławaJul 25FRI

L1-2Wiślanie JaśkowiceJul 18FRI

W3-1Pogoń-Sokół LubaczówJul 11FRI

Chojniczanka Chojnice

D2-2Podhale Nowy TargOct 9II

L1-3Górnik ŁęcznaOct 4II

W3-1Olimpia GrudziądzSep 19II

W5-1Świt SkolwinSep 12II

D2-2Resovia RzeszówSep 5II

D1-1Sokół KleczewAug 29II

W2-0Stal Stalowa WolaAug 21II

W2-1Śląsk Wrocław IIAug 15II

L1-4Znicz PruszkówAug 9II

L0-2Podhale Nowy TargAug 5CUP

L0-3Sandecja Nowy SączAug 2II

L0-1Tychy 71Jul 26II

L2-3Miedz LegnicaJul 18FRI

W2-1Znicz PruszkówJul 10FRI

W2-0Olimpia ElblągJul 7FRI

Squad & Injuries

Hutnik Krakow

28 available

Attackers3

Midfielders14

Defenders6

Goalkeeper5

Chojniczanka Chojnice

28 available

Attackers6

Midfielders10

Defenders10

Goalkeeper2