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Predictions graded

Hutnik Krakow0GKS Tychy2

HT 0–1Sat 3 Oct 2026, 13:15 Predictions graded

Predictions8–657%

Edges2–340%

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 1 Oct 2026, 04:34 · Europe/Bucharest

Hutnik's four-game home record against Tychy's unbeaten league start is the tension here, with the visitors missing five listed players and drawing three of five away.

A tight home win or draw looks the likeliest shape. The quoted prices with something behind them are Hutnik to win or draw at 1.57, both teams not to score at 2.1 and no first-half goal at 2.9.

Context

GKS Tychy publish an availability line with every matchday squad, and the 20 September bulletin for the Sandecja game named five absentees. Three of those names recur across every September bulletin the club has posted, which points to medium-term absences rather than single knocks and suggests the visiting squad may again be built around cover in goal, defence and attack. The limitation is timing: the latest list is 12 days old, the league paused over 26-27 September, and any of these players could have used the break to return, so a matchday bulletin nearer Saturday would supersede this list.
- GKS Tychy's official squad post for the 20 September fixture with Sandecja Nowy Sącz listed Mądrzyk, Tumala, Kozina, Kasprzyk and Ryguła as absent through injury.
- The same account listed Mądrzyk, Kozina and Kasprzyk before the 6 September game with Avia Świdnik and added Tumala for the 11 September trip to Znicz Pruszków; goalkeeper Mądrzyk appears on every published list from 6 to 20 September.
- For the 3 September cup tie with ŁKS Łódź the club listed Kozina, Kasprzyk and Olkowski, so the group has shifted rather than stayed fixed.
ConfirmedSources checked 1 Oct 2026, 04:32 · Europe/Bucharest
Hutnik have started home games quickly, averaging 1.75 first-half goals at Suche Stawy against 0.25 after the break, and they have conceded nothing in the second half of those four matches. Tychy's counterweight is that they have conceded only three first-half goals in 11 competitive games, so an early goal is not a given. Four matches is a small sample, and the most recent home evidence is nearly a month old after the league break.
- Hutnik's home league record from 1 August to 12 September 2026: 4 games, 3 wins, 1 draw, 8 goals scored, 2 conceded.
- First-half goals scored averaged 1.75 per home game (7 goals in 4 matches); second-half goals scored averaged 0.25 (1 goal in 4).
- Hutnik conceded no second-half goals at home in those four matches.
The match record for this fixture carries no venue, and Hutnik's own scheduling post fills that in: the game is at Suche Stawy in Nowa Huta rather than at a neutral or alternate ground. The same post confirms four consecutive October home fixtures at that stadium and notes a separate approved change of host for the club's Olimpia Grudziądz game, so the October home stretch is settled rather than provisional. This tells a reader where and when the match is played and that the hosts are starting a block of home games; it carries no information by itself about either side's performance.
- Hutnik Kraków's post of 24 September lists 'vs GKS Tychy, Saturday 3 October, 15:15' among four October home games at Suche Stawy.
- The same post states that a change of host for Hutnik's meeting with Olimpia Grudziądz has been approved.
- Hutnik's 30 September post promotes ticket pre-sales for the Saturday home game in Nowa Huta.
ConfirmedSources checked 1 Oct 2026, 04:32 · Europe/Bucharest
Hutnik's own announcement explains the gap in both clubs' records: the league took a break on the weekend of 26-27 September, which is why the last competitive match for either side is 20 September. That means neither club carries late-September league rhythm into Saturday, and both had two full weeks to prepare and recover. It changes how much weight the results immediately before the break should carry in reading this match, but it says nothing about how either coach will set up or who will be available.
- Hutnik Kraków announced on 22 September that the Betclic 2. Liga had a break that weekend and that the team would instead play a friendly.
- GKS Tychy's last II-liga fixture before this match was the 0-0 home draw with Sandecja Nowy Sącz on 20 September.
- Hutnik's last league outing was a 0-2 defeat at Śląsk Wrocław II on 20 September.
ConfirmedSources checked 1 Oct 2026, 04:32 · Europe/Bucharest

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result1 of 5 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Market price 2.63
The read
Hutnik have taken 10 of 12 points at home and average two goals a game there, while Tychy's away form is draw-heavy and five players are missing. That makes the home side the narrow favourite.
- Hutnik's league home record: 4 games, 3 wins, 1 draw, 8 goals scored, 2 conceded (2.0 for, 0.5 against per game).
- GKS Tychy are unbeaten in 9 league games (4 wins, 5 draws) and lie third with 12 scored and 6 conceded.
- Tychy's latest matchday squad list names five injured players: Mądrzyk, Tumala, Kozina, Kasprzyk, Ryguła.
- Hutnik's most recent league game was a 0-2 defeat away at Śląsk Wrocław II on 20 September.
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostHutnik KrakowEstimated chance39%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Tychy's first halves are usually quiet at both ends, which makes a level score at the break the single most likely outcome.
- Tychy average 0.55 first-half goals scored and 0.27 conceded in competitive matches.
- Tychy's away first-half numbers are 0.8 scored and 0.6 conceded per game.
- Hutnik's overall first-half goals-against average is 0.5 per game.
- Tychy's most recent league game was 0-0 at home.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerlostDrawEstimated chance42%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Both teams score rarely after the break in the relevant splits, so a level second half is the most likely single outcome.
- Hutnik's second-half scoring average is 0.4 overall and 0.25 at home.
- Hutnik's second-half goals-against average at home is 0.0.
- Tychy average 0.73 second-half goals overall and 0.6 away.
- Tychy's away second-half goals-against average is 0.4 per game.
BetBugs · Second Half WinnerlostDrawEstimated chance41%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Hutnik have taken 10 of 12 points at home and average two goals a game there, while Tychy's away form is draw-heavy and five players are missing. Tychy have not lost all season, keep clean sheets in more than half their competitive games and have won twice on the road.
- Hutnik's league home record: 4 games, 3 wins, 1 draw, 8 goals scored, 2 conceded (2.0 for, 0.5 against per game).
- GKS Tychy are unbeaten in 9 league games (4 wins, 5 draws) and lie third with 12 scored and 6 conceded.
- Tychy: 11 competitive matches this season, 6 wins, 5 draws, 0 defeats, 6 clean sheets.
- Tychy's away league record: 5 games, 2 wins, 3 draws, 7 goals scored, 5 conceded.
BetBugs · Double ChancewonHutnik Krakow or GKS TychyEstimated chance70%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Hutnik start quickly at home, scoring well before the break in their recent home fixtures, while Tychy's first-half output is modest. Tychy's first halves are usually quiet at both ends, which makes a level score at the break the single most likely outcome.
- Hutnik average 1.75 first-half goals at home and 1.2 overall in competitive games.
- Hutnik concede 0.5 first-half goals per home game.
- Tychy average 0.55 first-half goals scored and 0.27 conceded in competitive matches.
- Tychy's away first-half numbers are 0.8 scored and 0.6 conceded per game.
BetBugs · Double Chance First HalflostHutnik Krakow or DrawEstimated chance78%

Goals7 of 9 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 1.91
The read
Tychy's matches are consistently low-scoring and their defensive record is the strongest in the sample, so fewer than three goals is more likely than not.
- Tychy have conceded 5 goals in 11 competitive matches, keeping 6 clean sheets.
- Tychy's away league games average 2.4 goals in total, their overall competitive games only 1.8.
- Hutnik's home league goals against average is 0.5 per game.
- Tychy have scored more than one goal in only 3 of their 11 competitive matches this season.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderwonUnder 2.5Estimated chance53%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Market price 2.10
The read
Tychy's defensive numbers and Hutnik's strong home record against goals both point to at least one side failing to score.
- Tychy have kept 6 clean sheets in 11 competitive matches.
- Hutnik have kept 3 clean sheets in 10 competitive matches, 2 of them at home.
- Hutnik's home league goals against average is 0.5 per game.
- Tychy scored only 3 goals in their 6 most recent competitive matches.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorewonNoEstimated chance51%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Tychy's defensive record is the strongest evidence in this match and limits how many goals the home side is likely to score.
- Tychy have conceded 5 goals in 11 competitive matches, an average of 0.55 per game.
- Tychy kept 6 clean sheets in those 11 matches.
- Tychy's away league goals against average is 1.0 per game.
- Hutnik scored once in their most recent home league game, a 1-1 draw with Zawisza Bydgoszcz.
BetBugs · Home Goals TotalwonHutnik Krakow under 1.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Tychy's recent scoring has been limited to a single goal a game and Hutnik's home defence is tight, so fewer than two away goals is the more likely outcome.
- Tychy's competitive scoring average is 1.27 goals per game this season.
- Tychy's away league scoring average is 1.4 goals per game (7 in 5).
- Hutnik's home league defensive average is 0.5 goals conceded per game.
- Tychy have scored no more than one goal in their last 4 competitive matches.
BetBugs · Away Goals TotallostGKS Tychy under 1.5Estimated chance67%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Tychy have scored in nearly every away league game, which makes it more likely than not that Hutnik's goal is breached.
- Tychy have scored in 4 of 5 away league games (7 goals away).
- Both teams scored in 4 of Tychy's 5 away league games.
- Hutnik conceded in 2 of their 4 home league games.
- Tychy have scored 10 goals in 11 competitive matches this season.
BetBugs · Team to ScorewonGKS Tychy to scoreEstimated chance64%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Hutnik have scored in every home league game and two goals a game on average, so keeping them out is the less likely scenario.
- Hutnik have scored in all 4 home league games (8 goals).
- Hutnik's home goals-for average is 2.0 per game.
- Tychy have kept 1 clean sheet in 5 away league games and conceded 5 goals in those games.
- Hutnik's first-half home scoring average is 1.75 goals per game.
BetBugs · Team to ScorelostHutnik Krakow to scoreEstimated chance74%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Hutnik score early and often at home and Tychy also find the net in the first half on the road, so a goal before the break is more likely than not.
- Hutnik average 1.2 first-half goals in competitive games and 1.75 at home.
- Hutnik concede 0.5 first-half goals per game.
- Tychy average 0.8 first-half goals in away league games.
- Tychy have conceded only 3 first-half goals in 11 competitive matches.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalswonOver 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance60%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Tychy's first halves are low-scoring at both ends, so the chance of both teams scoring before half-time is small.
- Tychy score 0.55 and concede 0.27 first-half goals per competitive match.
- Tychy's away first-half numbers are 0.8 scored and 0.6 conceded per game.
- Tychy's most recent league game finished 0-0.
- Only 5 of Hutnik's 10 competitive matches had both teams scoring at any point.
BetBugs · Both Teams Score First HalfwonNoEstimated chance79%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams' second-half scoring is low on average, making fewer than two goals after the break the more likely outcome.
- Hutnik score 0.4 and concede 0.8 second-half goals per competitive match.
- Tychy score 0.73 and concede 0.27 second-half goals per competitive match.
- Hutnik have conceded no second-half goals in 4 home league games.
- Tychy's 6 most recent competitive matches produced 2 goals in total in the second halves apart from one three-goal game.
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalfwonUnder 1.5Estimated chance72%

Head-to-Head

0W · 1D · 0W

D3-3Tychy 71vHutnik KrakówJan 13, 2024FRI

6 goals/game avg

League Table

II Liga - East 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
6	Hutnik Krakow	9	4	3	2	16-11	15	LDLWD
3	GKS Tychy	9	4	5	0	12-6	17	DDWDW

2pt gap between teams

Recent Form

Hutnik Krakow

L0-2Śląsk Wrocław IISep 20II

D1-1Zawisza BydgoszczSep 12II

L2-4Znicz PruszkówSep 6II

W2-1Stal Stalowa WolaAug 29II

D1-1Lechia Zielona GóraAug 23II

W2-0Legia Warszawa IIAug 16II

W5-2Podhale Nowy TargAug 8II

L0-2PodbeskidzieAug 5CUP

W3-0Świt SkolwinAug 1II

D0-0Sandecja Nowy SączJul 25II

L2-4Mławianka MławaJul 25FRI

L1-2Wiślanie JaśkowiceJul 18FRI

W3-1Pogoń-Sokół LubaczówJul 11FRI

L1-3Podhale Nowy TargJul 4FRI

D2-2Sandecja Nowy SączJun 27FRI

GKS Tychy

D0-0Sandecja Nowy SączSep 20II

D1-1Znicz PruszkówSep 11II

W1-0Avia ŚwidnikSep 6II

W1-0ŁKS ŁódźSep 3CUP

D1-1Świt SkolwinAug 30II

W3-0Śląsk Wrocław IIAug 23II

D2-2Resovia RzeszówAug 15II

D1-1Olimpia GrudziądzAug 9II

W1-0Zaglebie SosnowiecAug 5CUP

W2-1Stal Stalowa WolaJul 31II

W1-0Chojniczanka ChojniceJul 26II

D1-1TřinecJul 18FRI

D2-2Považská BystricaJul 18FRI

W2-1Sigma Olomouc IIJul 11FRI

D2-2Sparta KatowiceJul 8FRI

Squad & Injuries

Hutnik Krakow

29 available

Attackers3

Midfielders15

Defenders6

Goalkeeper5

GKS Tychy

26 available

Attackers6

Midfielders11

Defenders6

Goalkeeper3

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Under 0.5 goals in 1st half

Hutnik Krakow or Draw

No

Under 2.5

Hutnik Krakow

Result1 of 5 landed

Goals7 of 9 landed

Head-to-Head

League Table

Recent Form

Hutnik Krakow

GKS Tychy

Squad & Injuries

Hutnik Krakow

GKS Tychy