Sutton United11 – 0Truro City0

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

Sutton are the higher-division side with home advantage, though their low home scoring keeps this from being dominant.

• Sutton overall: 5W 3D 5L in 13; home 3W 1D 3L in 7 with 4 scored and 6 conceded.
• Truro overall: 9W 4D 2L in 15; away 3W 3D 1L in 7 with 5 scored and 5 conceded.
• Truro won both 2025-26 meetings, including 3-0 at Sutton on 21 March 2026.
• Sutton play one division above Truro and are at home.

BetBugs · Match WinnerwonSutton UnitedEstimated chance41%

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

The second half looks balanced overall, with neither team clearly controlling it.

• Sutton second-half for/against at home: 0.43/1.00.
• Truro second-half for/against away: 0.86/0.57.
• Recent matches for both sides often had late goals.
• Neither side dominates the second half consistently.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Sutton are the higher-division side with home advantage, though their low home scoring keeps this from being dominant. Truro arrive with the better form, a strong FA Cup run and recent wins over Sutton.

• Sutton overall: 5W 3D 5L in 13; home 3W 1D 3L in 7 with 4 scored and 6 conceded.
• Truro overall: 9W 4D 2L in 15; away 3W 3D 1L in 7 with 5 scored and 5 conceded.
• Truro: 9W 4D 2L in 15 competitive matches.
• Truro won three FA Cup qualifying ties, scoring 8 and conceding 1.

BetBugs · Double ChancewonSutton United or Truro CityEstimated chance72%

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Sutton hold a modest first-half scoring edge at home, though the margins are small. Both teams start cautiously away from high first-half scoring, so a level half is the likeliest outcome.

• Sutton first-half goals for 0.71 per home match, against 0.57.
• Truro first-half goals for 0.43 per away match, against 0.29.
• Sutton first-half for/against at home: 0.71/0.57.
• Truro first-half for/against away: 0.43/0.29.

BetBugs · Double Chance First HalfwonSutton United or DrawEstimated chance78%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 1.85

The read

Both sides' scoring rates are modest enough that fewer than three goals is slightly more likely.

• Sutton home matches average about 2.7 total goals; Truro away about 2.1.
• Sutton scored only 4 goals in 7 home matches.
• Truro kept 5 clean sheets in 15 matches.
• Sutton kept 3 clean sheets in 13.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 1.88

The read

Sutton's low home output and Truro's respectable clean-sheet count make a blank more likely than not.

• Sutton failed to score in 5 of 13 matches and 3 of 7 at home.
• Truro kept 5 clean sheets in 15 and 2 in 7 away.
• Sutton kept 3 clean sheets in 13.
• Only 4 of Sutton's 7 home matches featured both teams scoring.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Sutton's season-long scoring rate sits below one and a half goals per home game.

• Sutton average 1.14 goals per home match.
• Sutton have 4 goals across 7 home matches.
• Sutton's overall average is 1.08 goals per competitive match.
• Truro away average concession is 0.86 per match.

BetBugs · Home Goals TotalwonSutton United under 1.5Estimated chance73%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Truro's away goal rate is well under one and a half per match.

• Truro average 1.29 goals per away match.
• Truro scored 5 goals across 7 away matches.
• Truro overall average is 1.87 but that includes home fixtures.
• Sutton kept 3 clean sheets in 13 matches.

BetBugs · Away Goals TotalwonTruro City under 1.5Estimated chance67%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Sutton have scored in more than half their home matches, so Truro are more likely to concede than not.

• Sutton scored in 4 of 7 home matches.
• Sutton scored 4 goals across those 7 home matches.
• Truro have only 2 away clean sheets in 7.
• Sutton's overall scoring average is 1.08 per match.

BetBugs · Team to ScorewonSutton United to scoreEstimated chance70%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Combined first-half activity points to at least one goal before the break more often than not.

• Sutton home first-half goal involvement averages about 1.28 per match.
• Truro away first-half involvement averages about 0.71 per match.
• Sutton scored 2 first-half goals against Eastleigh.
• Truro scored 2 first-half goals at Farnham Town.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.17

The read

Low first-half scoring and conceding rates make both teams scoring before the break unlikely.

• Sutton first-half concession at home is 0.57 per match.
• Truro first-half concession away is 0.29 per match.
• Most tracked first halves produced one goal or none.
• Truro reached the break without conceding in several away matches.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

The second-half scoring rates point to fewer than two goals after the break being more likely.

• Sutton second-half goals for at home are 0.43 per match.
• Truro second-half goals for away are 0.86 per match.
• Sutton's recent 1-1 draws had limited second-half goals.
• Truro's away second-half concession is 0.57 per match.