Tamworth22 – 0Sutton United0

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Market price 2.40

The read

Neither side scores heavily before the break, and Tamworth's recent half-time scores have often been level.

• Tamworth were level at half-time in 3 of their last 6 matches
• Sutton's away first-half record is 0.25 scored and 0.25 conceded
• Sutton were level at half-time in 2 of their last 6 matches
• Sutton scored only 6 first-half goals in 9 matches

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Tamworth score regularly at home and have won both recent visits to Sutton, so a home win is a live outcome despite the league-table gap. Sutton have the stronger league record and a solid away defence, and face a Tamworth side beaten heavily four days earlier.

• Tamworth have won 3 of 6 home matches and scored in all 11 competitive games this season
• Tamworth average 2.33 goals scored and 2.17 conceded in home matches
• Sutton are 6th on 16 points with 5 wins from 9 league matches
• Sutton's away record is 2 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat with 5 scored and 4 conceded

BetBugs · Double ChancewonTamworth or Sutton UnitedEstimated chance74%

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Tamworth score at a reasonable rate before the break at home, but they trail as often as they lead. Neither side scores heavily before the break, and Tamworth's recent half-time scores have often been level.

• Tamworth average 1.0 first-half goal at home and 1.0 against
• Tamworth led at half-time in 1 of their last 6 matches
• Tamworth were level at half-time in 3 of their last 6 matches
• Sutton's away first-half record is 0.25 scored and 0.25 conceded

BetBugs · Double Chance First HalfwonTamworth or DrawEstimated chance74%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Sutton's scoring has been modest and intermittent, making a single goal or none the more likely outcome.

• Sutton average 1.11 goals per league match
• Sutton have been shut out in 3 of 9 league matches
• Sutton's away goals came at 1.25 per match across four games
• Sutton's last six matches produced 1,2,0,0,0 and 1 goals for

BetBugs · Away Goals TotalwonSutton United under 1.5Estimated chance64%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Tamworth's record of scoring in every match makes an away clean sheet unlikely.

• Tamworth have scored in all 11 competitive matches
• Tamworth have scored in all 6 home matches, averaging 2.33
• Sutton have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches
• Sutton conceded two or more in three league defeats

BetBugs · Team to ScorewonTamworth to scoreEstimated chance78%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.29

The read

Sutton rarely score before the break and concede little in that period, so one side should be blank at half-time.

• Sutton have scored 1 first-half goal in 4 away matches
• Sutton have failed to score before half-time in 5 of their last 6 matches
• Tamworth average 0.82 first-half goals per match
• Sutton concede only 0.44 first-half goals per match

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Tamworth's home matches produce most of their goals after the break, which pushes the second half toward two or more.

• Tamworth's home second halves average 2.5 total goals
• Sutton's away second halves average 1.75 total goals
• Second-half goals totalled two or more in 5 of Tamworth's last 6 matches
• Sutton's last six matches produced only two halves with two or more goals