Cukaricki3FK Zemun0

HT 2–0Sat 17 Oct 2026, 13:00 Predictions graded

Predictions9–660%

Edges3–350%

PossPossession 61%–39%ShotsShots 12–12On targetOn target 5–3CornersCorners 4–2

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 14 Oct 2026, 23:10 · Europe/Bucharest

Bottom club Zemun, with three points from eleven games, visit a Cukaricki side that has not won in six and changed coach this week.

The most likely single result is still a Cukaricki win, but two prices offer something: Zemun to draw or win at 2.9, and Zemun to win at 6.5. Cukaricki's 1.36 win price does not fit a team without a win in six.

Context

The dugout changed hands in the week of the match, which resets who selects the team, the shape and the set-piece responsibilities with little time to prepare. The trigger was a six-game winless run that included letting a two-goal lead slip against Mačva, so the club is trying to interrupt a slide rather than refine a working side. The limitation is that Mojsov's own preferences are not yet established, making the hosts' likely approach harder to read than usual.
- Gjorgji Mojsov is Čukarički's current head coach.
- Čukarički terminated the contract of head coach Marko Jakšić on 12 October 2026.
- Jakšić's team went six matches without a win and surrendered a two-goal lead against Mačva before the change.
- An approach to Ilija Stolica did not end in agreement as the club settled its coaching position.
ConfirmedSources checked 14 Oct 2026, 23:08 · Europe/BucharestClub websitefkcukaricki.co.rs · 12 Oct 2026Match pagewww.transfermarkt.com · 14 Oct 2026
Radonjić is a former Serbia international who has played in Serie A, Ligue 1 and the Primeira Liga, so his return adds an experienced wide attacker to a side that has struggled for goals. It arrives in the same week as a coaching change, when the attacking pecking order is being reset, which makes his availability directly relevant to how the hosts set up. The open question is match sharpness, since he has not been playing regularly and may not be ready for a full role in this fixture. Čukarički have not said whether he starts.
- Nemanja Radonjić signed for Čukarički, returning to the club about ten years after his first spell, on a contract to the end of the 2026/27 season.
- He will wear the No. 28 shirt and has already joined team training.
ConfirmedSources checked 14 Oct 2026, 23:08 · Europe/Bucharest
Durmishaj is a first-team forward, and his absence narrows Čukarički's attacking options while a new coaching staff is still settling on a preferred front line. A metatarsal fracture is a medium-term absence rather than a one-match problem, so it also shapes the club's planning beyond this fixture. The limitation is that no sourced information indicates how regularly he would have started, so the practical effect on the first eleven is uncertain.
- Čukarički are without Fiorin Durmishaj because of a metatarsal fracture.
- F. Durmishaj started 0 of the 5 recent team fixtures with available lineups.
- Đ. Jovanović started in the same position in 4 of the 5 recent team fixtures with available lineups when F. Durmishaj did not start.
ReportedSources checked 14 Oct 2026, 23:08 · Europe/BucharestMatch pagewww.transfermarkt.com · 14 Oct 2026
A cruciate ligament tear keeps one of Zemun's goalkeepers out, and for a side that has spent much of the season defending a large share of possession the last line is not a trivial detail. Zemun have conceded heavily, so any change in goal carries weight for how they cope at Čukarički. The limitation is that no sourced information settles whether Živković was first choice or a backup, so the effect on the starting team is uncertain.
- Zemun are without Mladen Živković because of a cruciate ligament tear.
- M. Živković started 3 of the 5 recent team fixtures with available lineups.
- M. Knežević started in the same position in 2 of the 5 recent team fixtures with available lineups when M. Živković did not start.
ReportedSources checked 14 Oct 2026, 23:08 · Europe/BucharestMatch pagewww.transfermarkt.com · 14 Oct 2026

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 2

Other edges · 4

The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.

1st Half GoalswonUncertainty band: Strong lean

Over 0.5 goals in 1st half

1.25fair 1.27

BetBugs 79% · Market 80%

−1.0ppshort

Both teams' first-half scoring and conceding rates make at least one goal before the break very likely.

Goals Over/UnderwonUncertainty band: Lean

Over 2.5

1.62fair 1.72

BetBugs 58% · Market 61.7%

−3.7ppshort

Both defences concede regularly and Cukaricki's recent games have produced plenty of goals at both ends.

First Half WinnerwonUncertainty band: Near coin-flip

Cukaricki

1.83fair 2.33

BetBugs 43% · Market 54.6%

−11.6ppshort

Cukaricki do most of their scoring before the break while Zemun rarely lead early.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result4 of 5 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Cukaricki have home advantage against the division's weakest side, whose away scoring is minimal, although the hosts' own defensive record is poor.
- Cukaricki are 2W-2D-2L at home with 8 scored and 9 conceded in six home league games.
- Zemun have 3 points from 11 matches (0W-3D-8L) and are bottom of the table.
- Zemun away record: 0W-1D-4L, 3 scored and 12 conceded in five games.
- Cukaricki have not won in six and changed head coach on 12 October.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonCukarickiEstimated chance50%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Market price 1.83
The read
Cukaricki do most of their scoring before the break while Zemun rarely lead early.
- Cukaricki average 1.17 first-half goals per home game.
- Zemun average 1.2 first-half goals against per away game.
- Zemun score 0.2 first-half goals per away game.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerwonCukarickiEstimated chance43%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Both teams rarely score after the break, making a level second period the most likely single outcome.
- Cukaricki score 0.17 second-half goals per home game.
- Cukaricki concede 0.67 second-half goals at home.
- Zemun score 0.4 second-half goals per away game.
BetBugs · Second Half WinnerlostDrawEstimated chance47%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Cukaricki have home advantage against the division's weakest side, whose away scoring is minimal, although the hosts' own defensive record is poor. Both teams have drawn frequently and Cukaricki's recent defensive lapses keep a share of the points plausible.
- Cukaricki are 2W-2D-2L at home with 8 scored and 9 conceded in six home league games.
- Zemun have 3 points from 11 matches (0W-3D-8L) and are bottom of the table.
- Cukaricki have drawn 3 of 11 league games, including 2 of 6 at home.
- Zemun have drawn 3 of 11, with two draws in their last six.
BetBugs · Double ChancewonCukaricki or DrawEstimated chance77%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Cukaricki do most of their scoring before the break while Zemun rarely lead early. Zemun's minimal first-half threat and Cukaricki's habit of conceding early leave a level half-time plausible.
- Cukaricki average 1.17 first-half goals per home game.
- Zemun average 1.2 first-half goals against per away game.
- Zemun score only 0.2 first-half goals per away game.
- Cukaricki concede 0.83 first-half goals per home game.
BetBugs · Double Chance First HalfwonCukaricki or DrawEstimated chance80%

Goals3 of 6 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.62
The read
Both defences concede regularly and Cukaricki's recent games have produced plenty of goals at both ends.
- Cukaricki home games average 2.83 total goals (1.33 scored, 1.5 conceded).
- Zemun away games average 3.0 total goals (0.6 scored, 2.4 conceded).
- Cukaricki's last six include 0-4, 0-5, 1-3 and 2-2.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderwonOver 2.5Estimated chance58%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 1.91
The read
Both sides concede regularly and Zemun have scored in several recent outings, making both scoring plausible.
- Both teams scored in 4 of Cukaricki's last 6 matches.
- Zemun found the net in 4 of their last 6.
- Cukaricki kept no clean sheet in their last 6.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorelostYesEstimated chance52%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Cukaricki's recent scoring has been modest, so one goal or none is a live outcome.
- Cukaricki average 1.33 goals per home game.
- In the last six they scored once against Zeleznikar Pancevo and once against Novi Pazar.
- They have scored two or more in only some home games this season.
BetBugs · Home Goals TotallostCukaricki under 1.5Estimated chance58%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Cukaricki's defence has conceded in every recent game, so the visitors are likely to find a goal.
- Cukaricki kept no clean sheet in their last 6 games.
- Cukaricki conceded 20 goals in 11 league matches.
- Zemun scored in 4 of their last 6.
BetBugs · Team to ScorelostFK Zemun to scoreEstimated chance62%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.25
The read
Both teams' first-half scoring and conceding rates make at least one goal before the break very likely.
- Cukaricki home games average 2.0 combined first-half goals.
- Zemun away games average 1.4 combined first-half goals.
- Cukaricki's last six first halves produced goals in five of six.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalswonOver 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance79%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
With both teams scoring little in second halves, one or no goals after the break is the more likely outcome.
- Cukaricki score 0.17 second-half goals per home game.
- Cukaricki concede 0.67 second-half goals at home.
- Zemun score 0.4 second-half goals per away game.
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalfwonUnder 1.5Estimated chance60%

Match stats2 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams' matches generate corners above the line, with Zemun's opponents regularly winning several.
- Cukaricki home games average 8.3 total corners.
- Zemun away games average 9.4 total corners.
- Zemun opponents average 6.0 corners per away game.
BetBugs · Corners Over/UnderlostOver 6.5Estimated chance66%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Zemun concede a high volume of shots and Cukaricki's home games also produce many, pushing the total over the line.
- Cukaricki home games average 25.8 total shots.
- Zemun away games average 28.2 total shots.
- Zemun allow 22.2 shots per away game.
BetBugs · Shots Over/UnderwonOver 20.5Estimated chance72%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams' matches average well above the line for shots on target.
- Cukaricki home games average 10.5 combined shots on target.
- Zemun away games average 9.0 combined shots on target.
- Zemun allow 6.8 on-target shots per away game.
BetBugs · Shots on Target Over/UnderwonOver 6.5Estimated chance70%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams' matches average around the line for cards and Cukaricki's most recent game was heavily booked.
- Cukaricki home games average 5.5 yellow cards combined.
- Zemun away games average 5.0 yellow cards combined.
- Cukaricki received six yellows and a red against Macva.
BetBugs · Cards Over/UnderlostOver 5.5Estimated chance54%