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Predictions graded

Cukaricki2OFK Belgrade0

HT 1–0Sat 15 Aug 2026, 19:00 Predictions graded

Predictions3–827%

Edges2–340%

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 14 Aug 2026, 08:26 · Europe/Bucharest

OFK Belgrade's recent H2H dominance (unbeaten in 4, two clean sheets) clashes with Cukaricki's better league start, making this a tight match with a draw lean.

The only marginal value is the draw at 3.50, but the edge is small; avoid the first-half over 0.5 goals market, which is heavily overpriced.

Context

OFK won 2-0 at Cukaricki in February 2026.
- The most recent meeting in April 2026 ended 0-0.
- OFK have outscored Cukaricki 6-1 across the last four H2H matches.
Cukaricki overall form: DWWL, 7 points from 4 games.
- Home record: 1W 0D 1L, goals 3:1.
- The home loss was against IMT Novi Beograd, a promoted side.
Away record: 1W 0D 1L, goals 4:5.
- They lost 4-0 at Vojvodina on 19 July.
- They won 4-1 at Novi Pazar on 1 August.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 2

Other edges · 3

The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.

Double ChancewonUncertainty band: Strong lean

Cukaricki or Draw

1.40fair 1.43

BetBugs 70% · Market 71.4%

0.0ppshort

Cukaricki's solid start and home advantage make them unlikely to lose, but the odds are slightly below our estimate.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result2 of 7 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Cukaricki's stronger overall start and home advantage give them a slight edge, but OFK's recent H2H dominance tempers confidence.
- Cukaricki home record this season: 1W 0D 1L, goals 3:1
- Cukaricki overall form: DWWL, 7 points from 4 games
- OFK Beograd away record: 1W 0D 1L, goals 4:5
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonCukarickiEstimated chance40%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Both teams have shown draw tendencies, and the most recent H2H was a stalemate, making a draw a plausible outcome.
- Last H2H meeting ended 0-0 (Apr 2026)
- OFK Beograd have drawn 2 of 4 league games this season
- Cukaricki drew 2 of last 5 league matches
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostDrawEstimated chance30%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
OFK's strong recent H2H record, including a clean-sheet win at Cukaricki, supports their chances despite a slightly weaker overall start.
- OFK Beograd unbeaten in last 4 H2H meetings (3W 1D)
- OFK Beograd won 2-0 in last away H2H at Cukaricki (Feb 2026)
- OFK Beograd away form: 1W 1L, scoring 4 goals
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostOFK BelgradeEstimated chance30%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Cukaricki's solid start and home advantage make them unlikely to lose, though OFK's H2H edge prevents higher confidence.
- Cukaricki have lost only 1 of 4 league games this season
- Cukaricki home record: 1W 1L, but only loss was to IMT Novi Beograd
- OFK Beograd have won only 1 of 4 league games
BetBugs · Double ChancewonCukaricki or DrawEstimated chance70%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
OFK's H2H resilience and draw frequency make them a strong candidate to avoid defeat.
- OFK Beograd unbeaten in last 4 H2H (3W 1D)
- OFK Beograd have drawn 2 of 4 league games
- Cukaricki have drawn 1 of 2 home games
BetBugs · Double ChancelostDraw or OFK BelgradeEstimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Both teams often go into halftime level, and the recent H2H supports a cautious start.
- Cukaricki first-half record: 27% leading, 40% trailing
- OFK Beograd first-half record: 13% leading, 33% trailing
- Last H2H first half ended 0-0
BetBugs · First Half WinnerlostDrawEstimated chance45%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
A repeat of the last H2H stalemate is possible, but the probability is low given both teams' scoring tendencies.
- Last H2H ended 0-0
- OFK Beograd have drawn 2 of 4 league games
- Cukaricki drew 2 of last 5 league matches
BetBugs · Ht Ft DoublelostDraw/DrawEstimated chance20%

Goals1 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have shown scoring ability and defensive vulnerabilities, suggesting a decent chance both find the net.
- Cukaricki scored in 3 of 4 league games, conceded in 2
- OFK Beograd scored in 3 of 4 league games, conceded in 3
- Last 5 H2H: both teams scored in 2 matches
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorelostYesEstimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Combined scoring rates hover around the 2.5 line, but recent H2H has been low-scoring, so only a slight lean to over.
- Cukaricki league games average 2.5 goals (7 scored, 3 conceded in 4 games)
- OFK Beograd league games average 3.25 goals (6 scored, 7 conceded in 4 games)
- Last 5 H2H: 2 matches over 2.5 goals
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderlostOver 2.5Estimated chance45%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams tend to be involved in first-half goals, and the H2H history supports at least one goal before the break.
- Cukaricki first-half goals: 0.7 per game, conceded 0.6
- OFK Beograd first-half goals: 0.5 per game, conceded 0.7
- In last 5 H2H, 3 matches had a first-half goal
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalswonOver 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance60%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Second-half scoring rates are modest, making over 1.5 a stretch but possible if the game opens up.
- Cukaricki average 0.6 second-half goals, concede 0.5
- OFK Beograd average 0.4 second-half goals, concede 0.8
- Combined second-half average is 1.15 goals
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalflostOver 1.5Estimated chance40%

Match stats0 of 0 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
The combined corner averages sit exactly at the line, making this a coin-flip with slight variance.
- Cukaricki average 3.7 corners per game, concede 5.3
- OFK Beograd average 3.4 corners per game, concede 4.6
- Combined average corners: 8.5
BetBugs · Corners Over/Undernot gradableOver 8.5Estimated chance45%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams consistently pick up cards, and the combined average exceeds the line, supporting an over.
- Cukaricki average 2.6 yellow cards per game, opponents 2.0
- OFK Beograd average 2.6 yellow cards per game, opponents 2.6
- Combined average cards: 5.2
BetBugs · Cards Over/Undernot gradableOver 4.5Estimated chance55%

Markets to Avoid

High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.

Implied 45.5% leaves no cushion vs our 40% estimate; price already reflects the directional read.

Head-to-Head

1W · 1D · 3W

D0-0OFK BeogradvCukarickiApr 22, 2026SUP

L2-0OFK BeogradvCukarickiFeb 9, 2026SUP

L1-3CukarickivOFK BeogradAug 29, 2025SUP

L0-1CukarickivOFK BeogradDec 15, 2024SUP

W1-2OFK BeogradvCukarickiAug 9, 2024SUP

OFK Belgrade: 3 clean sheets2 goals/game avg

League Table

Super Liga 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
4	Cukaricki Promotion - Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group)	4	2	1	1	7-3	7	DWWL
6	OFK Belgrade Promotion - Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group)	4	1	2	1	6-7	5	DWDL

2pt gap between teams

Recent Form

Cukaricki

D2-2Mladost LucaniAug 9SUP

W3-0Radnicki 1923Aug 1SUP

W2-0Radnicki NISJul 25SUP

L0-1IMT Novi BeogradJul 19SUP

D1-1CeljeJul 4FRI

W4-3RudesJul 1FRI

W3-0Olimpija LjubljanaJun 28FRI

L0-2Arges PitestiJun 25FRI

D0-0Železničar PančevoMay 22SUP

D0-0FK PartizanMay 17SUP

L0-1VojvodinaMay 8SUP

L1-2FK Crvena ZvezdaMay 4SUP

D2-2Novi PazarApr 26SUP

D0-0OFK BeogradApr 22SUP

D2-2Radnik SurdulicaApr 18SUP

OFK Belgrade

D2-2Železničar PančevoAug 9SUP

W4-1Novi PazarAug 1SUP

L1-2Gaziantep FKJul 28FRI

D0-0Radnik SurdulicaJul 25SUP

L0-4VojvodinaJul 19SUP

L0-2Buducnost PodgoricaJul 9FRI

L0-1OFK VršacJul 8FRI

W2-1Radnicki 1923Jul 1FRI

L0-3AkhmatJun 27FRI

W2-1FK Crvena ZvezdaMay 22SUP

L1-2VojvodinaMay 17SUP

D1-1FK PartizanMay 9SUP

L0-2Železničar PančevoMay 2SUP

D1-1Radnik SurdulicaApr 26SUP

D0-0CukarickiApr 22SUP

Squad & Injuries

Cukaricki

34 available

Attackers10

Midfielders11

Defenders9

Goalkeeper4

OFK Belgrade

32 available

Attackers4

Midfielders14

Defenders11

Goalkeeper3

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Draw

Draw

Cukaricki or Draw

Yes

Over 0.5

Result2 of 7 landed

Goals1 of 4 landed

Match stats0 of 0 landed

Markets to Avoid

Over 0.5

Over 4.5

Head-to-Head

League Table

Recent Form

Cukaricki

OFK Belgrade

Squad & Injuries

Cukaricki

OFK Belgrade