Super LigaFull time

Predictions graded

FK IMT4FK Zemun0

HT 1–0Sat 25 Jul 2026, 18:00 Predictions graded

Predictions4–544%

Edges2–250%

PossPossession 69%–31%ShotsShots 21–0On targetOn target 8–0CornersCorners 11–2

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 25 Jul 2026, 17:28 · Europe/Bucharest

The neutral venue and IMT's defensive record make under 2.5 goals the standout bet, with a 14-point edge over the market.

First-half under 0.5 goals offers even greater value at +29 points, reflecting both teams' slow starts. Avoid backing IMT to win outright or their team total over 1.5 goals, as the odds significantly overestimate their attacking output.

Context

The official Superliga match page lists the venue as Gradski stadion 'Lagator' in Loznica.
- IMT's club page lists Stadion FK IMT as its home ground, confirming the displacement.
- No fans or familiar surroundings reduce the typical home advantage for IMT.
H2H results: IMT 2-0 Zemun (2021) and Zemun 0-0 IMT (2020).
- Zemun managed zero goals across those 180 minutes.
- IMT's current defensive record (0.5 goals conceded per game over last 15) aligns with that pattern.
IMT have 8 clean sheets in their last 15 matches across all competitions.
- They average 0.5 goals conceded per game in that span.
- In their last 10 league matches, they allowed only 4 goals total.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 4

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result2 of 3 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
FK IMT's superior defensive record (0.5 goals conceded per game over last 15) and H2H dominance (Zemun scoreless in last 2 meetings) give them an edge, though the neutral venue reduces home advantage.
- FK IMT won their only league match this season 1-0 away, while Zemun drew 2-2 at home.
- FK IMT's last 15 matches average 0.8 goals scored and 0.5 conceded, showing strong defensive form.
- Zemun's last 15 matches average 1.4 goals scored and 1.3 conceded, but only 1 clean sheet in that span.
- H2H: FK IMT won 2-0 in 2021 and drew 0-0 in 2020, with Zemun failing to score in both.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonFK IMTEstimated chance45%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
FK IMT's strong defensive form and low loss rate make them unlikely to lose, while Zemun's inconsistent results suggest a draw is a real possibility, supporting FK IMT or Draw.
- FK IMT have lost only 3 of their last 15 matches (all friendlies), with 7 wins and 5 draws.
- Zemun have won only 5 of their last 15 matches, with 5 draws and 5 losses.
- FK IMT have kept 8 clean sheets in their last 15 matches.
- The match is at a neutral venue, reducing FK IMT's home advantage but also Zemun's away disadvantage.
BetBugs · Double ChancewonFK IMT or DrawEstimated chance75%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have a high frequency of drawing at half-time, and their recent first-half performances suggest a balanced start, favoring a draw at the break.
- FK IMT led at half-time in only 33% of their last 15 matches, with 40% draws at half-time.
- Zemun led at half-time in 29% of their last 15 matches, with 57% draws at half-time.
- FK IMT's last 5 matches: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses at half-time.
- Zemun's last 5 matches: 1 win, 3 draws, 1 loss at half-time.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerlostDrawEstimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
If the first half is a draw, FK IMT's superior second-half record and Zemun's tendency to concede late could lead to a narrow FK IMT win, though the probability is low due to the specific sequence required.
- FK IMT have won 4 of their last 15 matches after drawing at half-time.
- Zemun have lost 3 of their last 15 matches after drawing at half-time.
- FK IMT's second-half performance is stronger: they scored 0.5 goals per second half vs 0.3 in first half over last 15.
- Zemun conceded 0.7 goals per second half vs 0.6 in first half over last 15.
BetBugs · Ht Ft Doublenot gradableDraw/FK IMTEstimated chance25%

Goals2 of 4 landed

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
FK IMT's matches are consistently low-scoring due to their strong defense, and the H2H history shows a clear under 2.5 goals pattern, making this a high-confidence under pick.
- FK IMT's last 15 matches averaged 1.3 total goals (0.8 scored, 0.5 conceded).
- Zemun's last 15 matches averaged 2.7 total goals, but 7 of their last 10 had under 2.5 goals.
- H2H: Both meetings ended under 2.5 goals (2-0 and 0-0).
- FK IMT have seen under 2.5 goals in 12 of their last 15 matches.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderlostUnder 2.5Estimated chance70%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
FK IMT's defensive solidity and Zemun's historical struggles to score against them suggest at least one team will fail to score, likely Zemun.
- FK IMT have kept 8 clean sheets in their last 15 matches.
- Zemun failed to score in both H2H meetings against FK IMT.
- FK IMT conceded only 0.5 goals per game over the last 15 matches.
- Zemun scored in 12 of their last 15 matches, but against weaker opposition mostly.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorewonNoEstimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
FK IMT's defensive record and Zemun's H2H scoring drought point to a likely clean sheet for FK IMT, though the neutral venue slightly reduces the home clean sheet probability.
- FK IMT have kept 8 clean sheets in their last 15 matches overall.
- In their last 5 home matches (including friendlies), FK IMT kept 3 clean sheets.
- Zemun have failed to score in 3 of their last 15 matches, but those were against stronger defenses.
- H2H: FK IMT kept clean sheets in both meetings against Zemun.
BetBugs · Team to ScorewonFK Zemun not to scoreEstimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams tend to start slowly, with FK IMT's first halves being particularly low-scoring, making a goalless first half likely.
- FK IMT average 0.3 first-half goals scored and 0.3 conceded over the last 15 matches.
- Zemun average 0.6 first-half goals scored and 0.6 conceded over the last 15 matches.
- In FK IMT's last 10 matches, 7 had 0 or 1 first-half goal.
- H2H: The last meeting was 0-0 at half-time.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalslostUnder 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance65%

Match stats0 of 2 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
FK IMT's matches tend to be low-event, and with limited attacking intent from both sides, total corners are likely to stay under 9.5.
- FK IMT average 4.0 corners per game over the last 15 matches, with opponents averaging 3.5.
- Zemun's only available corner data this season: 0 corners vs Partizan, opponent 5 corners.
- In FK IMT's last 10 league matches, total corners averaged 7.5.
- H2H corner data unavailable, but low-scoring matches typically have fewer corners.
BetBugs · Corners Over/UnderlostUnder 9.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
FK IMT's disciplinary record and Zemun's high card count in their opener suggest a slightly above-average card total, though confidence is low due to limited data.
- FK IMT average 2.6 yellow cards per game over the last 15 matches, opponents 2.1.
- Zemun average 4.0 yellow cards in their only league match this season.
- FK IMT's last 5 league matches: total cards averaged 5.2.
- Referee Nikola Radaković's card data unavailable, but Serbian Super Liga averages around 4.5 cards per game.
BetBugs · Cards Over/UnderlostOver 4.5Estimated chance55%

Markets to Avoid

High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.

Pre-match flagged 7 avoid-market areas; caution remains warranted in high-variance spots.

Head-to-Head

0W · 1D · 1W

L2-0IMT Novi BeogradvZemunApr 7, 2021PRV

D0-0ZemunvIMT Novi BeogradOct 2, 2020PRV

FK Zemun: 2 clean sheets1 goals/game avg

League Table

Super Liga 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
5	FK IMT Promotion - Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group)	1	1	0	0	1-0	3	W
6	FK Zemun Promotion - Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group)	1	0	1	0	2-2	1	D

2pt gap between teamsFK IMT leads the league

Recent Form

FK IMT

W1-0CukarickiJul 19SUP

L0-1AkhmatJul 11FRI

L0-1Radnicki 1923Jul 11FRI

W1-0Maccabi Tel AvivJul 3FRI

L0-1Mladost LucaniJul 1FRI

D1-1Borac Banja LukaJun 26FRI

D1-1TSC Backa TopolaMay 24SUP

W1-0FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRVMay 16SUP

D0-0Radnicki 1923May 10SUP

D0-0JavorMay 3SUP

W2-0Radnicki NISApr 27SUP

W1-0NapredakApr 23SUP

D1-1Mladost LucaniApr 19SUP

W3-1TSC Backa TopolaApr 8SUP

D0-0VojvodinaApr 4SUP

FK Zemun

D2-2FK PartizanJul 18SUP

W1-0Radnik BijeljinaJul 8FRI

L1-2MornarJul 1FRI

D3-3Železničar PančevoJun 24FRI

D1-1MacvaJun 20FRI

W3-1Jedinstvo UbMay 9PRV

L1-2LoznicaMay 3PRV

L0-3FK VozdovacApr 27PRV

W2-0MacvaApr 22PRV

D1-1OFK VršacApr 18PRV

W2-1FAPApr 5PRV

W1-0Dinamo JugMar 28PRV

W1-0Semendrija 1924Mar 22PRV

L0-1FK VozdovacMar 14PRV

L2-3OFK VršacMar 8PRV

Squad & Injuries

FK IMT

27 available

Attackers9

Midfielders7

Defenders8

Goalkeeper3

FK Zemun

28 available

Attackers6

Midfielders10

Defenders9

Goalkeeper3

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Draw

Under 2.5

No

Under 0.5

FK IMT or Draw

Result2 of 3 landed

Goals2 of 4 landed

Match stats0 of 2 landed

Markets to Avoid

FK IMT

Over 1.5

Under 9.5

Head-to-Head

League Table

Recent Form

FK IMT

FK Zemun

Squad & Injuries

FK IMT

FK Zemun