CD Suchitepequez1Deportivo San Pedro1

HT 1–1Fri 16 Oct 2026, 01:00 Predictions graded

Predictions10–471%

Edges1–0100%

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 13 Oct 2026, 06:25 · Europe/Bucharest

Bottom side Suchitepéquez, without a win in seven, host a San Pedro team that sits fourth but has neither won away nor scored more than one away goal.

Four home draws for the hosts and a visiting attack that rarely travels point to a tight, low-scoring game that could finish level. The draw at 3.3 is the one quoted price worth taking; the home win at 2.05 is not.

Context

Zalazar's authority bears directly on how Suchitepéquez prepare for this fixture. He had reportedly decided to leave after the 3-3 draw with Mixco, citing working conditions and squad attitude, then reversed course after the board met into the early hours of 12 October and attended training with his staff. Continuity removes the immediate risk of a caretaker touchline, but the same reporting describes unresolved friction with directors and dressing-room discontent around defender Víctor Torres, so a truce is not a settled camp. The arrangement is reported rather than club-confirmed, which keeps a late reversal possible.
- LocoxelFutbol reported on 12 October that the Suchitepéquez board convinced Omar Zalazar to continue after the Argentine coach had decided to leave following the 3-3 draw with Mixco.
- GuateFutbol posted 'Se queda — Omar Zalazar seguirá al mando de Suchitepéquez' on 12 October.
- LocoxelFutbol said Zalazar attended training on the morning of 12 October with his backroom staff after the board meeting ran late into the night.
ReportedSources checked 13 Oct 2026, 06:21 · Europe/Bucharest
Playing conditions are the concrete variable. Suchitepéquez's previous home match was halted in the 14th minute on 10 October when rain overwhelmed the Carlos Salazar Hijo pitch, then completed the next day, and flooding in Mazatenango was still being reported on 12 October; nationally the rainy season had produced 2,152 emergencies, with Suchitepéquez among the worst-hit departments. A heavy surface tends to compress play and unsettle passing sides, and it can force a late inspection or postponement. The caveat is timing: this is a different match day and the forecast may improve, so waterlogging is a live risk rather than a certainty.
- Suchitepéquez's Jornada 13 match against Mixco was stopped in the 14th minute on 10 October when rain flooded the pitch and was completed the next day, finishing 3-3.
- VAR502GT reported the referee halted play, waited 30 minutes and then abandoned the game for the day because the surface did not recover.
- Nuestro Diario reported on 13 October that the rainy season had produced 2,152 emergencies nationally, listing Suchitepéquez among the departments with the most incidents, and said Mazatenango streets were flooded.
ConfirmedSources checked 13 Oct 2026, 06:21 · Europe/Bucharest
Their home record is built on stalemates rather than victories, with only one win in seven at their own ground, which is a large part of why a level result looks likely. Both teams found the net in six of those seven home matches, so this is not a side that grinds out 0-0 at home. Seven matches is a small sample, and the flooded pitch could change how open the game is.
- Suchitepéquez home split, 7 matches: 1 win, 4 draws, 2 defeats, both teams scoring in 6 (matchBrief.home.home).
The visitors' fourth place has been built at home, and their away record is the main reason a bottom side can still be fancied to avoid defeat here. One goal in six away matches is the strongest argument for a low-scoring game and for San Pedro failing to score. Six matches is a small sample, and San Pedro arrive off a 2-1 home win over Comunicaciones on 11 October.
- San Pedro away split, 6 matches: 0 wins, 2 draws, 4 defeats, 1 goal scored, 2 clean sheets (matchBrief.away.away).

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result4 of 5 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
The hosts are difficult to beat at home while San Pedro have neither won nor scored regularly on their travels.
- Suchitepéquez home record: 1W 4D 2L in 7 home matches
- San Pedro away record: 0W 2D 4L in 6 away matches, one goal scored
- Suchitepéquez scored in 6 of 7 home games
- San Pedro sit 4th on 21 points against Suchitepéquez's 7
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostCD SuchitepequezEstimated chance37%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
San Pedro rarely score or concede early away, keeping the half-time score level in many cases.
- San Pedro away first-half goals for: 0.00 in 6
- San Pedro away first-half goals against: 0.33 per game
- Suchitepéquez home first-half goals for: 1.17 per game
- Suchitepéquez home first-half goals against: 1.00 per game
BetBugs · First Half WinnerwonDrawEstimated chance46%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Low expected second-half scoring from both sides makes a level half the most likely outcome.
- Suchitepéquez home second-half goals for: 0.50 per game
- San Pedro away second-half goals for: 0.17 per game
- Suchitepéquez home second-half goals against: 0.67 per game
- San Pedro away second-half goals against: 0.83 per game
BetBugs · Second Half WinnerwonDrawEstimated chance47%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
The hosts are difficult to beat at home while San Pedro have neither won nor scored regularly on their travels. Both teams draw often in these venue splits and neither attack has been reliable.
- Suchitepéquez home record: 1W 4D 2L in 7 home matches
- San Pedro away record: 0W 2D 4L in 6 away matches, one goal scored
- Suchitepéquez: 5 draws in 15 overall, 4 in 7 at home
- San Pedro: 3 draws in 13 overall, 2 in 6 away
BetBugs · Double ChancewonCD Suchitepequez or DrawEstimated chance71%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
The hosts score in first halves at home while San Pedro have yet to score before the break away. San Pedro rarely score or concede early away, keeping the half-time score level in many cases.
- Suchitepéquez home first-half goals for: 1.17 per game
- San Pedro away first-half goals for: 0.00 in 6 matches
- San Pedro away first-half goals for: 0.00 in 6
- San Pedro away first-half goals against: 0.33 per game
BetBugs · Double Chance First HalfwonCD Suchitepequez or DrawEstimated chance82%

Goals6 of 9 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
San Pedro's away matches rarely produce many goals, balancing the hosts' leaky home defence.
- San Pedro away: 0.17 goals scored per game
- Suchitepéquez home: 1.57 scored and 1.71 conceded per game
- San Pedro conceded in 4 of 6 away matches
- Suchitepéquez's last six matches averaged 3.83 total goals
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderwonUnder 2.5Estimated chance53%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
San Pedro's inability to score on the road makes one team finishing blank the more likely outcome.
- San Pedro failed to score in 5 of 6 away games
- San Pedro away: 0.17 goals per game
- Suchitepéquez scored in 6 of 7 home games
- Suchitepéquez conceded in 6 of 7 home games
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorelostNoEstimated chance66%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
The hosts score at home but rarely in volume against a defence that concedes little away.
- San Pedro away: 1.17 conceded per game
- Suchitepéquez home: 1.57 goals per game
- Suchitepéquez have one win in seven home matches
- San Pedro's keeper is the league's least conceded
BetBugs · Home Goals TotalwonCD Suchitepequez under 1.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
San Pedro's away scoring has been so limited that one or no goals is the strong expectation.
- San Pedro scored once in six away matches
- San Pedro failed to score in 5 of 6 away games
- San Pedro away: 0.17 goals per game
- San Pedro scored in 8 of 13 matches overall
BetBugs · Away Goals TotalwonDeportivo San Pedro under 1.5Estimated chance91%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
The visitors' away scoring drought makes a home clean sheet more likely than not.
- San Pedro scored in 1 of 6 away matches
- San Pedro away: 0.17 goals per game
- Suchitepéquez kept 1 clean sheet in 7 home games
- San Pedro failed to score in 5 of 6 away games
BetBugs · Team to ScorelostDeportivo San Pedro not to scoreEstimated chance56%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
The hosts score in most home matches, making it more likely San Pedro concede.
- Suchitepéquez scored in 6 of 7 home games
- Suchitepéquez home: 1.57 goals per game
- San Pedro kept 2 clean sheets in 6 away games
- San Pedro conceded in 4 of 6 away matches
BetBugs · Team to ScorewonCD Suchitepequez to scoreEstimated chance74%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
The hosts' home first-half scoring points to at least one goal before the break.
- Suchitepéquez home first-half goals for: 1.17 per game
- San Pedro away first-half goals against: 0.33 per game
- Suchitepéquez overall first-half goals against: 1.08 per game
- San Pedro away first-half goals for: 0.00 in 6
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalswonOver 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance66%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
San Pedro's blank first-half away record makes both teams scoring before the break unlikely.
- San Pedro away first-half goals for: 0.00 in 6 matches
- San Pedro away first-half goals against: 0.33 per game
- Suchitepéquez home first-half goals for: 1.17 per game
- San Pedro overall first-half goals for: 0.69 per game
BetBugs · Both Teams Score First HalflostNoEstimated chance84%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Combined second-half scoring expectations point to one goal or fewer.
- Suchitepéquez home second-half goals for: 0.50 per game
- San Pedro away second-half goals for: 0.17 per game
- San Pedro away second-half goals against: 0.83 per game
- Suchitepéquez home second-half goals against: 0.67 per game
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalfwonUnder 1.5Estimated chance69%