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Predictions graded

Woking0Harrogate Town1

HT 0–1Sat 10 Oct 2026, 14:00 Predictions graded

Predictions5–838%

Edges3–260%

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 9 Oct 2026, 00:52 · Europe/Bucharest

Harrogate, second in the National League, travel to a Woking side that scores freely at home but sits 15th.

Harrogate are the likelier winners, though a reshuffled defence missing Tom Lees gives Woking a real route into the game. Both teams to score at 1.65 and Over 2.5 goals at 1.70 both offer something; Harrogate at 2.50 is fair rather than generous.

Context

Lees was hurt in training rather than in a match, and the diagnosis rules him out for a considerable spell, so Harrogate cannot treat this as a one-week problem. That matters for the trip to Kingfield because the centre of defence has to be rebuilt for a game against a home side that has already scored five in a league match this season. No return date and no direct replacement were named, so how much it costs Harrogate depends on the option the manager chooses.
- Tom Lees is out for a considerable amount of time with a hamstring injury.
- The defender was injured in training.
- T. Lees started 0 of the 5 recent team fixtures with available lineups.
ConfirmedSources checked 9 Oct 2026, 00:50 · Europe/Bucharest
Woking added Reyes on loan from Norwich until January, putting a new goalkeeper in the building days before the Harrogate fixture. Because the deal is short but covers this game, it creates a real selection question at Kingfield instead of being cover for later in the season. The club has not set out how it will use him and there is nothing yet on who starts, so this is a change of available options rather than a confirmed change of the XI.
- Woking have signed goalkeeper Vicente Reyes on loan from Norwich City.
- The loan runs until January.
ConfirmedSources checked 9 Oct 2026, 00:50 · Europe/Bucharest
Harrogate's away form underpins their strong start: three wins and two defeats from five league games on the road, with no draw among them.
Harrogate have not drawn an away league game this season, winning three and losing two, so the trip to Kingfield is likelier to end decisively than level. Both ends have been busy on the road, with 16 goals across those five away matches. Woking have drawn two of six home league games, which is the counterweight to Harrogate's no-draw away pattern.
- Harrogate's 2026-27 away league record covers five matches from 15 August to 29 September 2026: 3 wins, 0 draws, 2 defeats, 8 goals scored and 8 conceded.
- Across that five-game away sample Harrogate average 1.6 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per match.
The remarks came after a 3-0 home win over Hornchurch and cast the Woking trip as a test of repeating standards rather than a shift in plan. For a Harrogate side travelling south it is general framing about application, not information about selection or shape. Nothing in the interview points to a change in how they will set up at Kingfield, so it reads as mood around the camp rather than a tactical signal.
- Simon Weaver is the Harrogate Town manager.
- Harrogate's training week was organised around consistency in everything the squad does.
- The Harrogate players are hungry for more going into the Woking game.
ConfirmedSources checked 9 Oct 2026, 00:50 · Europe/Bucharest

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 3

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result3 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Market price 2.50
The read
Harrogate have the stronger league record and score consistently away from home, so they are the more likely winner.
- Harrogate are second in the National League with 25 points from 12 games.
- Harrogate have won three of five away league games.
- Harrogate average 2.33 goals per game overall.
- Harrogate have scored in all five away league games.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonHarrogate TownEstimated chance41%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Both teams' first-half scoring rates are low, making a level first half the most likely single outcome.
- Woking average 0.86 first-half goals for and 1.14 against at home.
- Harrogate average 0.60 first-half goals for and 1.20 against away.
- Woking's last six first halves included three draws.
- Harrogate's last six first halves included two draws.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerlostDrawEstimated chance40%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.30
The read
Woking are at home, score regularly at Kingfield and face a Harrogate defence missing a regular centre-back, so they have a fair chance of winning. Harrogate have the stronger league record and score consistently away from home, so they are the more likely winner.
- Woking have 15 points from 12 league games and a home record of 2W 2D 2L.
- Woking average 2.14 goals per home match.
- Harrogate are second in the National League with 25 points from 12 games.
- Harrogate have won three of five away league games.
BetBugs · Double ChancewonWoking or Harrogate TownEstimated chance74%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams' first-half scoring rates are low, making a level first half the most likely single outcome. Harrogate have led at half-time often recently and Woking concede before the break at home, so an away half-time lead is possible.
- Woking average 0.86 first-half goals for and 1.14 against at home.
- Harrogate average 0.60 first-half goals for and 1.20 against away.
- Harrogate average 0.60 first-half goals away.
- Woking concede 1.14 first-half goals at home.
BetBugs · Double Chance First HalfwonDraw or Harrogate TownEstimated chance71%

Goals2 of 9 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.70
The read
Both teams score and concede at rates that point to a high-scoring game.
- Woking home games average 2.14 goals for and 1.71 against.
- Harrogate overall average 2.33 goals for and 1.42 against.
- Woking's last six league games produced 25 goals.
- Harrogate's last six league games produced 21 goals.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderlostOver 2.5Estimated chance64%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.65
The read
Harrogate score regularly away and Woking score regularly at home, so both teams finding the net is the more likely outcome.
- Woking have both scored and conceded in 8 of 13 league games.
- Harrogate have both scored and conceded in 9 of 12 league games.
- Harrogate have scored in all five away league games.
- Woking average 2.14 goals per home game.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorelostYesEstimated chance66%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Woking score regularly at home and Harrogate concede away, so Woking are likely to score at least twice.
- Woking average 2.14 goals per home match.
- Woking have scored in five of seven home matches.
- Harrogate concede 1.6 goals per away match.
- Harrogate have conceded in three of five away league games.
BetBugs · Home Goals TotallostWoking over 1.5Estimated chance63%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Harrogate score in every away game and Woking concede regularly at home, so Harrogate are more likely than not to score at least twice.
- Harrogate average 1.6 goals per away match.
- Harrogate have scored in all five away league games.
- Woking concede 1.71 goals per home match.
- Harrogate have scored more than one goal in three of their last six league games.
BetBugs · Away Goals TotallostHarrogate Town over 1.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Harrogate's away scoring record makes it likely they will score at Woking.
- Woking have one clean sheet in seven home matches.
- Harrogate have scored in all five away league games.
- Harrogate average 1.6 goals per away match.
- Woking concede 1.71 goals per home match.
BetBugs · Team to ScorewonHarrogate Town to scoreEstimated chance86%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Woking's home scoring makes it more likely than not that Harrogate will concede.
- Woking score 2.14 goals per home match.
- Woking have scored in five of seven home matches.
- Harrogate have conceded in three of five away league games.
- Harrogate are missing defender Tom Lees.
BetBugs · Team to ScorelostWoking to scoreEstimated chance73%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.25
The read
First-half goals have been common in both teams' recent matches, so at least one goal before half-time is likely.
- Woking's home first halves average 2.0 total goals.
- Harrogate's away first halves average 1.8 total goals.
- Woking have seen a first-half goal in five of their last six league games.
- Harrogate have seen a first-half goal in four of their last six league games.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalswonOver 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance71%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams concede before half-time and have had first-half goals at both ends recently, so both scoring is a slight possibility.
- Woking both scored and conceded in the first half in four of their last six league games.
- Harrogate both scored and conceded in the first half in three of their last six league games.
- Woking concede 1.14 first-half goals at home.
- Harrogate concede 1.20 first-half goals away.
BetBugs · Both Teams Score First HalflostYesEstimated chance53%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams score more after half-time, so at least two second-half goals is the more likely outcome.
- Woking's home second halves average 1.86 total goals.
- Harrogate's away second halves average 1.40 total goals.
- Woking's last six second halves had over 1.5 goals in three of six.
- Harrogate's last six second halves had over 1.5 goals in four of six.
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalflostOver 1.5Estimated chance58%

Head-to-Head

1W · 1D · 0W

D0-0Harrogate TownvWokingApr 4, 2020NAT

W1-0WokingvHarrogate TownAug 10, 2019NAT

Woking: 2 clean sheets0.5 goals/game avg

League Table

National League 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
15	Woking	12	4	3	5	20-19	15	WLWDD
2	Harrogate Town Promotion - National League (Play Offs: Semi-finals)	12	8	1	3	28-17	25	WWWLL

10pt gap between teams

Recent Form

Woking

W3-1EastleighOct 3NAT

L2-4Solihull MoorsSep 29NAT

W5-2CarlisleSep 26NAT

D0-0Kidderminster HarriersSep 19NAT

D1-1Boston UnitedSep 15NAT

W5-1AltrinchamSep 12NAT

W4-1Southampton U21Sep 8NAT

L0-1HartlepoolSep 5NAT

D1-1SouthendAug 31NAT

L0-1AFC HornchurchAug 28NAT

W3-2AFC FyldeAug 22NAT

L0-2GatesheadAug 15NAT

L0-3Sutton UtdAug 8NAT

L0-2ReadingJul 25FRI

L0-1BraintreeJul 21FRI

Harrogate Town

W3-0AFC HornchurchOct 3NAT

W1-0HartlepoolSep 29NAT

W4-1EastleighSep 26NAT

L1-4Boreham WoodSep 19NAT

L1-2AFC FyldeSep 15NAT

W3-1TamworthSep 12NAT

W2-0ScunthorpeSep 5NAT

W2-1GatesheadAug 31NAT

L1-3Aldershot TownAug 28NAT

D2-2BarrowAug 22NAT

W3-1WealdstoneAug 15NAT

W5-2Solihull MoorsAug 8NAT

W2-1Scarborough AthleticAug 1FRI

D2-2DoncasterJul 25FRI

W2-1South ShieldsJul 21FRI

Squad & Injuries

Woking

25 available

Attackers7

Midfielders7

Defenders8

Goalkeeper3

Harrogate Town

28 available

Attackers5

Midfielders12

Defenders8

Goalkeeper3

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Yes

Over 2.5

Harrogate Town

Woking or Harrogate Town

Over 0.5 goals in 1st half

Result3 of 4 landed

Goals2 of 9 landed

Head-to-Head

League Table

Recent Form

Woking

Harrogate Town

Squad & Injuries

Woking

Harrogate Town