RCA Zemamra2Hassania Agadir5

HT 2–3Thu 8 Oct 2026, 18:00 Predictions graded

Predictions4–931%

Edges3–443%

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 7 Oct 2026, 22:27 · Europe/Bucharest

Zemamra open their home league season still without a point after two away defeats, against an Agadir side that has already won 3-2 on the road.

Expect a tight game in which Zemamra are the likeliest single winner and a draw a live result, but the 2.30 on a home win asks too much. Two quoted prices offer something: both teams to score at 2.05 and over 2.5 goals at 2.40.

Context

Hassania Agadir have not staged a league match in their own city this season: their 3 October fixture as nominal hosts against Maghreb Fes was played at the Stade El Bachir in Mohammedia, which CSPORT called a relocation, and the club's ticket notice for it barred travelling away supporters under league rules. In late September, construction of a 15,000-seat stadium in Agadir was reported to be advancing, with the ground due to host Hassania matches this season. Thursday's trip to Zemamra is therefore a third consecutive outing away from Agadir, after Kawkab Marrakech and Mohammedia, which is the practical context for reading a side with one win and one defeat so far. Neither the club nor the league has publicly explained the relocation, so it is unclear how long the arrangement will run.
- Hassania Agadir's 3 October fixture as hosts against Maghreb Fes kicked off at 16:00 at the Stade El Bachir in Mohammedia, not in Agadir.
- The ticket announcement for that match listed Mohammedia as the venue, prices from 30 dirhams, and a league-imposed ban on travelling away supporters.
- CSPORT described the game as relocated to Mohammedia in its full-time post on the same evening.
- On 25 September, works on a 15,000-seat stadium in Agadir were reported to be progressing, with the venue due to host Hassania's matches this season.
ConfirmedSources checked 7 Oct 2026, 22:26 · Europe/Bucharest
Agadir's three visits to Zemamra in the record produced a 3-0 home win, a 2-0 home win and a goalless draw, and the two most recent meetings home and away both ended level. Zemamra's own home form is ordinary - two wins, three draws and two defeats in seven tracked home league games - so the head-to-head edge is a lean rather than a reliable pattern.
- Hassania Agadir 1-1 CR Khemis Zemamra, Botola Pro, 28 June 2026.
- CR Khemis Zemamra 0-0 Hassania Agadir, Botola Pro, 22 February 2026.
- CR Khemis Zemamra 2-0 Hassania Agadir, Botola Pro, 12 January 2025; Hassania Agadir 0-1 CR Khemis Zemamra, Botola Pro, 21 September 2024.
- CR Khemis Zemamra 3-0 Hassania Agadir, Botola Pro, 2 March 2024.
That away line is the main reason a narrow Zemamra edge exists in a fixture the hosts have not lost at home since 2024. It also cuts the other way: Agadir scored three times in their most recent trip, a 3-2 win at Kawkab Marrakech on 27 September, so a comfortable home clean sheet is not the obvious route.
- Hassania Agadir's seven tracked away league matches span 7 May to 27 September 2026 and produced 2 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats.
- Across that seven-match away sample they average 1.29 goals scored and 1.57 conceded per game.
- Their most recent away fixture was a 3-2 win at Kawkab Marrakech on 27 September 2026.
Zemamra opened 2026-27 with two away league fixtures, a 2-1 loss at Maghreb Fes and a 1-0 defeat to Raja Casablanca at the Complexe Mohammed V, so Thursday's visit of Hassania is their first home outing of the campaign. The club put tickets on sale at the Chahid Ahmed Choukri stadium in Zemamra on 7 October at 20 to 30 dirhams, which confirms both the ground and a local, low-priced gate. That matters because a side chasing its first point of the season has built its record entirely on the road, and this is the clearest condition that changes for it. It also flips the arrangement Hassania have lived with, after their own designated home fixture last round was played in Mohammedia.
- Chouf TV reported on 7 October that RCA Zemamra started selling tickets for the Hassania Agadir match at the windows of the Chahid Ahmed Choukri stadium in Zemamra, priced between 20 and 30 dirhams.
- Zemamra's two league fixtures of the 2026-27 season so far were both away: a 2-1 defeat at Maghreb Fes on 27 September and a 1-0 loss at Raja Casablanca on 3 October.
ReportedSources checked 7 Oct 2026, 22:26 · Europe/Bucharest

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 2

Other edges · 5

The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.

Both Teams Score First HalflostUncertainty band: Strong lean

No

1.14fair 1.25

BetBugs 80% · Market 87.7%

−7.7ppshort

With first-half scoring this low on both sides, at least one team going without a first-half goal is much the more likely outcome.

Double ChancelostUncertainty band: Strong lean

RCA Zemamra or Draw

1.33fair 1.43

BetBugs 70% · Market 75.2%

−5.2ppshort

A first home fixture of the season plus a strong recent home record in this fixture gives Zemamra the narrowest of edges over an Agadir side that gives up chances on the road. Neither side scores freely and both have drawn frequently in this window, so a level score is a strong possibility.

First Half WinnerlostUncertainty band: Near coin-flip

Draw

1.91fair 2.17

BetBugs 46% · Market 52.4%

−6.4ppshort

Both sides score little before the break, so the first half is more likely to end level than to produce a leader.

Match WinnerlostUncertainty band: Near coin-flip

RCA Zemamra

2.30fair 2.63

BetBugs 38% · Market 43.5%

−5.5ppshort

A first home fixture of the season plus a strong recent home record in this fixture gives Zemamra the narrowest of edges over an Agadir side that gives up chances on the road.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result0 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Market price 2.30
The read
A first home fixture of the season plus a strong recent home record in this fixture gives Zemamra the narrowest of edges over an Agadir side that gives up chances on the road.
- Zemamra home league split over the tracked window: 2 wins, 3 draws, 2 losses, 1.14 goals for and against per game
- Agadir have conceded 1.57 goals per away game across 7 tracked away matches
- Zemamra are unbeaten in the last three home league meetings with Agadir (2-0, 3-0, 0-0)
- Zemamra have 0 points and one goal from their two league games this season
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostRCA ZemamraEstimated chance38%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Market price 1.91
The read
Both sides score little before the break, so the first half is more likely to end level than to produce a leader.
- Zemamra's first halves at home produce 0.57 goals for and 0.71 against
- Agadir's first halves away produce 0.57 goals for and 0.43 against
- Three of Zemamra's last six first halves ended goalless
BetBugs · First Half WinnerlostDrawEstimated chance46%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Second-half scoring is slightly higher but still sparse, keeping a level second half the single most likely result.
- Zemamra's home second halves: 0.57 goals for, 0.43 against per game
- Agadir's away second halves: 0.71 goals for, 1.14 against per game
- Zemamra's last six second halves included three goalless
- Three of Agadir's last six second halves were level
BetBugs · Second Half WinnerlostDrawEstimated chance43%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.33
The read
A first home fixture of the season plus a strong recent home record in this fixture gives Zemamra the narrowest of edges over an Agadir side that gives up chances on the road. Neither side scores freely and both have drawn frequently in this window, so a level score is a strong possibility.
- Zemamra home league split over the tracked window: 2 wins, 3 draws, 2 losses, 1.14 goals for and against per game
- Agadir have conceded 1.57 goals per away game across 7 tracked away matches
- Four of Zemamra's last six league matches ended level
- Both of the most recent head-to-head meetings finished 1-1 and 0-0
BetBugs · Double ChancelostRCA Zemamra or DrawEstimated chance70%

Goals4 of 9 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Two low-scoring sides meet, and the recent head-to-head matches produced 2, 0, 2, 1 and 3 goals in total.
- Zemamra's home matches average 2.29 total goals
- Agadir's away matches average 2.86 total goals
- Zemamra have scored 0.93 and conceded 1.07 per game over 15 matches
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderlostUnder 2.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 2.05
The read
Both defences concede regularly, and neither attack is so blunt that a clean sheet is likely on current evidence.
- Both teams scored in 8 of Zemamra's 15 tracked matches and 9 of Agadir's 15
- Zemamra's home split shows both teams scoring in 4 of 7 matches
- Agadir scored in their last away match and conceded in each of their last five
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorewonYesEstimated chance53%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Zemamra have struggled to score, managing a single league goal so far, so two or more goals from them looks unlikely.
- Zemamra average 1.14 goals per home match
- Zemamra have scored one goal in their two league games this season
- Zemamra's last six matches produced 4 goals in total
BetBugs · Home Goals TotallostRCA Zemamra under 1.5Estimated chance67%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Agadir score at roughly one goal per away game, making a single goal or fewer the more likely return.
- Agadir average 1.29 goals per away match
- Agadir scored in their most recent away win (3-2 at Kawkab Marrakech)
- Zemamra concede 1.14 goals per home match
BetBugs · Away Goals TotallostHassania Agadir under 1.5Estimated chance66%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Agadir find the net in the majority of their matches, so Zemamra keeping them out is the less likely outcome.
- Zemamra kept only 2 clean sheets in 7 home matches
- Agadir scored 12 goals across 15 tracked matches
- Both teams scored in 9 of Agadir's 15 matches
BetBugs · Team to ScorewonHassania Agadir to scoreEstimated chance72%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Zemamra create enough at home to suggest Agadir will struggle to keep a clean sheet.
- Zemamra average 1.14 goals per home match
- Zemamra attempted 18 shots and 5 on target in their last home match
- Agadir kept only 2 clean sheets in 7 away matches
BetBugs · Team to ScorewonRCA Zemamra to scoreEstimated chance73%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.50
The read
Roughly one first-half goal is expected, which makes at least one goal before the break slightly more likely than none.
- Zemamra's home first halves total 1.28 goals per game; Agadir's away first halves total 1.0
- Three of Zemamra's last six first halves and two of Agadir's last six were goalless
- Combined first-half rate across the tracked windows is around one goal per game
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalswonOver 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance58%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.14
The read
With first-half scoring this low on both sides, at least one team going without a first-half goal is much the more likely outcome.
- Only three of the last twelve combined first halves saw both teams score
- Zemamra score 0.57 first-half goals at home; Agadir 0.57 away
- Agadir have been involved in two goalless first halves in their last six
BetBugs · Both Teams Score First HalflostNoEstimated chance80%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Neither side produces many second-half goals, so two or more after the break is the less likely outcome.
- Zemamra's home second halves total 1.0 goal per game; Agadir's away second halves total 1.86
- Only four of the last twelve combined second halves produced two or more goals
- Both teams average under 0.75 second-half goals scored
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalflostUnder 1.5Estimated chance66%

Match stats0 of 0 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
The two teams' card totals sit just above the line, with both picking up and drawing cards at similar rates.
- Zemamra's home matches average 2.33 yellow cards for and 2.67 against
- Agadir's away matches average 2.25 yellow cards for and 2.5 against
- Combined tracked average sits at roughly 4.7 cards per match
BetBugs · Cards Over/Undernot gradableOver 4.5Estimated chance53%

Prediction history

RCA Zemamra: 5/7 recent goals projections matched

5 of 7 comparable goals projections involving RCA Zemamra matched the recorded result. This is a limited recent sample, not a guarantee for this match.

Recent evidence for RCA Zemamra7 matches

Date / competitionMatch resultPredictedActualResult

5 Jul·Botola Pro