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Predictions graded

Hassania Agadir1UTS Rabat0

HT 0–0Sun 21 Jun 2026, 14:00 Predictions graded

Predictions4–357%

Edges1–325%

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 19 Jun 2026, 17:08 · Europe/Bucharest

A relegation-threatened UTS Rabat, on a short turnaround, visit a goal-shy Hassania Agadir in a match likely to be low-scoring and cagey.

The best betting value is on under 0.5 first-half goals (60% estimated probability vs. 36.4% implied), with additional edges on the draw and over 4.5 cards. Avoid backing a home win or Hassania Agadir to lead at half-time given their poor records.

Context

UTS's official homepage lists their previous match against CODM on 17-06-2026 and this fixture as the next.
- A four-day gap is below the typical recovery window, especially with travel.
- Fatigue may lead to more tactical fouls, aligning with UTS's high card average (3.7 yellows per match).
UTS's team page lists Mimoun Mokhtari as head coach, with the 2025-26 season page noting his appointment on 13 March 2026 after Abdelouahed Zamrat was sacked.
- The coaching change is recent, and the team has had limited time to adapt.
- UTS's form under Mokhtari has been mixed (W3 D2 L2 in last 7 league matches), suggesting ongoing adjustment.
UTS's official table shows them 13th with 24 points after 25 matches, with OC Safi and Olympique Dcheira on 19 points and US Yacoub El-Mansour on 17.
- Hassania Agadir are 11th on 30 points, giving them a 6-point cushion over UTS.
- Head-to-head record is the first tiebreaker, making this direct clash even more critical for UTS.
Hassania Agadir's home record: 11 goals in 12 matches (0.92 per game).
- They failed to score in 3 of their last 5 home matches (vs FUS Rabat, CODM Meknès, Raja Casablanca).
- UTS Rabat have kept 4 clean sheets in their last 15 matches, including away wins at CR Khemis Zemamra and Olympique Dcheïra.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result1 of 3 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Both teams show high draw tendencies in their recent form and H2H history, with UTS Rabat's survival pressure likely leading to a cautious approach, making a stalemate the most probable outcome.
- Hassania Agadir have drawn 3 of their last 5 home matches (vs FUS Rabat, Ittihad Tanger, CODM Meknès).
- UTS Rabat have drawn 12 of 25 league matches this season, including 5 of 12 away matches.
- Last 5 H2H meetings: 2 draws, 2 home wins, 1 away win; 3 of 5 had both teams scoring.
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostDrawEstimated chance38%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Hassania Agadir's poor home record and UTS Rabat's strong recent away form, combined with the visitors' relegation motivation, make a home win unlikely.
- Hassania Agadir have lost 5 of 12 home matches this season, winning only 4.
- UTS Rabat have lost only 4 of 12 away matches, with 3 wins and 5 draws.
- UTS Rabat are unbeaten in their last 5 away matches (W3 D2) across all competitions.
BetBugs · Double ChancelostDraw or UTS RabatEstimated chance65%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
The high draw rate at half-time for both teams, combined with their low first-half scoring, makes a level score at the break the most likely scenario.
- Hassania Agadir were drawing at half-time in 8 of their last 15 matches.
- UTS Rabat were drawing at half-time in 9 of their last 15 matches.
- Hassania Agadir led at half-time in only 13% of recent matches, UTS Rabat in 20%.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerwonDrawEstimated chance65%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
While second-half goals are expected, neither team shows a clear edge to win the half, with draws being the most frequent single outcome, though confidence is low due to variability.
- Hassania Agadir drew the second half in 6 of their last 15 matches.
- UTS Rabat drew the second half in 7 of their last 15 matches.
- Both teams have negative second-half goal differences in recent form.
BetBugs · Second Half Winnernot gradableDrawEstimated chance40%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
The combination of slow starts and overall draw tendencies makes Draw/Draw a plausible HT/FT outcome, though the specific sequence is inherently low-probability.
- Hassania Agadir had 4 half-time draws that ended in full-time draws in their last 15 matches.
- UTS Rabat had 5 half-time draws that ended in full-time draws in their last 15 matches.
- The last H2H meeting at a neutral venue ended 0-0 at half-time and full-time.
BetBugs · Ht Ft Doublenot gradableDraw/DrawEstimated chance25%

Goals3 of 4 landed

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have low-scoring profiles, with Hassania Agadir particularly goal-shy at home, and the intelligence report suggests a cautious game script due to UTS Rabat's short turnaround and survival stakes.
- Hassania Agadir average 0.9 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match over the last 15; 8 of those 15 matches had under 2.5 goals.
- UTS Rabat average 1.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match over the last 15; 9 of those 15 matches had under 2.5 goals.
- Hassania Agadir's home matches this season average 2.08 total goals (25 goals in 12 matches).
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderwonUnder 2.5Estimated chance70%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Hassania Agadir's home scoring struggles and UTS Rabat's decent defensive record on the road, coupled with the expected cautious approach, point to at least one team failing to score.
- Hassania Agadir failed to score in 5 of their last 15 matches, including 3 of the last 5 at home.
- UTS Rabat failed to score in 4 of their last 15 matches, but kept 4 clean sheets in that period.
- Hassania Agadir have scored only 11 goals in 12 home matches this season (0.92 per game).
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorewonNoEstimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams tend to start slowly, with a high frequency of goalless first halves in their recent matches and H2H history, supporting a low-scoring opening period.
- Hassania Agadir average 0.4 first-half goals scored and 0.6 conceded over the last 15 matches; 7 of 15 had 0-0 at half-time.
- UTS Rabat average 0.5 first-half goals scored and 0.5 conceded over the last 15 matches; 8 of 15 had 0-0 at half-time.
- In the last 5 H2H meetings, 3 were goalless at half-time.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalslostUnder 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Matches tend to open up after the break, and both teams have a strong trend of second-half goals, likely as fatigue and tactical adjustments take effect.
- Hassania Agadir's last 15 matches: 11 had at least one second-half goal.
- UTS Rabat's last 15 matches: 12 had at least one second-half goal.
- Hassania Agadir concede 0.8 goals per second half on average, UTS Rabat score 0.7 per second half.
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalfwonOver 0.5Estimated chance70%

Match stats0 of 0 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
UTS Rabat's high disciplinary count, likely exacerbated by relegation pressure and a short turnaround, combined with Hassania Agadir's steady card accumulation, points to a card-heavy match.
- Hassania Agadir average 2.4 yellow cards per match over the last 15, with 0.2 red cards.
- UTS Rabat average 3.7 yellow cards per match over the last 15, with 0.1 red cards.
- UTS Rabat received 4+ yellow cards in 6 of their last 10 matches with card data.
BetBugs · Cards Over/Undernot gradableOver 4.5Estimated chance60%

Markets to Avoid

High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.

Pre-match flagged 6 avoid-market areas; caution remains warranted in high-variance spots.

Head-to-Head

3W · 1D · 1W

W0-2UTS RabatvHassania AgadirFeb 7, 2026BOT

L2-1UTS RabatvHassania AgadirFeb 23, 2025BOT

W2-1Hassania AgadirvUTS RabatOct 22, 2024BOT

D3-3UTS RabatvHassania AgadirJun 14, 2024BOT

W3-2Hassania AgadirvUTS RabatJan 7, 2024BOT

3.8 goals/game avg

League Table

Botola Pro 2025/2026

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
12	Hassania Agadir	25	7	6	12	24-35	27	LWWDL
13	UTS Rabat Relegation Playoffs	25	4	12	9	26-34	24	WDWDW

3pt gap between teamsUTS Rabat in relegation zone

Recent Form

Hassania Agadir

L1-2Yacoub El MansourJun 18BOT

W1-0Renaissance BerkaneJun 14BOT

W1-0Olympique DcheïraJun 8BOT

D0-0FUS RabatJun 4BOT

L2-3Wydad ACMay 23BOT

L2-3FAR RabatMay 10BOT

D2-2Difaa EL JadidaMay 7BOT

W2-1Olympique SafiMay 4BOT

L0-4Maghreb FèsApr 29BOT

D1-1Ittihad TangerApr 25BOT

L1-2Kawkab MarrakechMar 7BOT

L1-2Renaissance BerkaneMar 4BOT

L0-1Raja CasablancaMar 1BOT

D0-0CR Khemis ZemamraFeb 22BOT

D0-0CODM MeknèsFeb 15BOT

UTS Rabat

W2-0CODM MeknèsJun 17BOT

D1-1Raja CasablancaJun 14BOT

W1-0CR Khemis ZemamraJun 9BOT

D0-0Kawkab MarrakechJun 1BOT

W2-1Yacoub El MansourMay 23BOT

W1-0Fath NadorMay 16CUP

L0-1Maghreb FèsMay 10BOT

L3-4Renaissance BerkaneMay 7BOT

L0-2FUS RabatMay 3BOT

W2-1Olympique DcheïraApr 30BOT

D1-1Olympique SafiApr 25BOT

L3-4Wydad ACMar 8BOT

D1-1Ittihad TangerFeb 28BOT

D1-1FAR RabatFeb 21BOT

L0-1Difaa EL JadidaFeb 14BOT

Squad & Injuries

Hassania Agadir

34 available

Attackers7

Midfielders12

Defenders11

Goalkeeper4

UTS Rabat

39 available

Attackers11

Midfielders12

Defenders12

Goalkeeper4

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Draw

Draw or UTS Rabat

Draw

Under 2.5

Under 0.5

Over 4.5

Result1 of 3 landed

Goals3 of 4 landed

Match stats0 of 0 landed

Markets to Avoid

Hassania Agadir

No

Under 4.5

Head-to-Head

League Table

Recent Form

Hassania Agadir

UTS Rabat

Squad & Injuries

Hassania Agadir

UTS Rabat