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Predictions graded

Bonaire2Grenada3

HT 2–0Sat 3 Oct 2026, 00:00 Predictions graded

Predictions10–567%

Edges3–260%

PossPossession 44%–56%ShotsShots 12–17On targetOn target 6–6CornersCorners 6–9

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 2 Oct 2026, 08:03 · Europe/Bucharest

Grenada have lost four straight without scoring, Bonaire have won one of their last six, and both concede regularly, so this looks like a game for goals.

Grenada are the slightly more likely winners, though 1.7 is no price for that. Four quoted prices offer something: Over 2.5 at 1.95, Bonaire to win or draw at 2.05, a Bonaire win at 4.33 and over 0.5 first-half goals at 1.35.

Context

Grenada's federation confirmed the switch on 16 September and named the Hasely Crawford Stadium in Port of Spain for the 2 and 5 October Group C doubleheaders, so this fixture is not being played on Grenada soil. The practical effect is that the pitch and surroundings are equally unfamiliar to both squads, and whatever home-crowd or pitch-familiarity edge Grenada would normally hold in St George's is gone. Bonaire's own leg of the pair is also being staged in Trinidad, so neither side gets a true home fixture across the four-day series. The available reporting does not say whether either squad can train at the stadium before the first match.
- The Grenada Football Association relocated its 2026/27 Concacaf Nations League home fixtures to Trinidad and Tobago because of ongoing concerns about the playing surface at the Kirani James Athletics Stadium.
- Grenada will host two League B, Group C doubleheaders at the Hasely Crawford Stadium in Port of Spain on October 2 and 5, 2026.
- The Bonaire Football Federation confirmed Bonaire face Grenada twice, on October 2 and 5, in Trinidad & Tobago.
ConfirmedSources checked 2 Oct 2026, 08:00 · Europe/Bucharest
Grenada's record splits between two June 2025 wins and four scoreless defeats, which is the shape of their season going into this fixture.
Grenada went down 0-4 at Rwanda on 27 March 2026, 0-3 to Kenya on 30 March, 0-3 to Cuba on 25 September and 0-3 at St Kitts and Nevis on 29 September, so their recent threat rests on the June 2025 wins rather than anything since. Bonaire have kept one clean sheet in 13 competitive matches and concede 1.92 goals a game, the kind of defence that can end a drought. Six matches is a thin sample, and the two wins are 15 months old.
- Grenada's six matches on record (4 June 2025 to 29 September 2026) contain nine goals scored and 15 conceded, with a 2W-0D-4L record.
- Their four most recent matches: 0-4 at Rwanda (27 March 2026), 0-3 v Kenya (30 March 2026), 0-3 v Cuba (25 September 2026), 0-3 at St Kitts and Nevis (29 September 2026).
- The nine goals came in a 6-0 win over Bahamas (4 June 2025) and a 3-2 win at St Kitts and Nevis (10 June 2025).
Bonaire's numbers describe a side doing far more defending than attacking.
Bonaire's two September games show the pattern: 11 shots to 17 against St Kitts and Nevis, then 8 to 26 against Cuba. Grenada averaged 15.0 shots in their four tracked matches, so the pressure is likely to keep coming. Bonaire did score in four of their last six competitive matches, which is why the shot numbers alone do not settle this one.
- Across 13 competitive matches (21 November 2023 to 28 September 2026) Bonaire are 2W-1D-10L, scoring 0.85 and conceding 1.92 goals per game, with one clean sheet.
- Across the nine matches with shot data they average 9.2 shots for and 15.2 against, 3.3 on target for and 5.2 against.
His club announced on 22 September that Harrack, a defender, was released to join Grenada for a Nations League run the club described as including home and away games against Bonaire. That confirms a UK-based defender in camp for the trip to Trinidad, relevant for a squad that conceded three goals in each of its two September group matches. The club statement does not say whether he starts or where he fits in the back line, and no sourced report describes his role for this window.
- Dagenham & Redbridge announced on 22 September 2026 that Kayden Harrack had been called up to represent Grenada and was travelling to join the squad that week.
- The club said the call-up covered Grenada's Concacaf Nations League fixtures against Cuba, St Kitts and Nevis and Bonaire, with home and away games against Bonaire.
ConfirmedSources checked 2 Oct 2026, 08:00 · Europe/Bucharest

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result2 of 5 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Grenada create far more shots than Bonaire and scored nine goals across their last six competitive games.
- Grenada average 15.0 shots and 6.5 on target in their four tracked matches
- Grenada's wins in this window were 6-0 and 3-2
- Grenada away split 1W-2L, 1.0 scored and 3.0 conceded per game
- Bonaire have won 2 of 13 competitive matches
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonGrenadaEstimated chance39%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
First halves involving both teams are low-scoring, and Grenada have yet to score before the break away from home.
- Bonaire average 0.38 first-half goals scored and 1.08 conceded
- Grenada average 0.33 first-half goals scored and 1.17 conceded
- Grenada have scored no first-half goals in three away matches
BetBugs · First Half WinnerlostDrawEstimated chance43%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Second halves in these teams' matches have often been close, with neither side pulling away.
- Bonaire's last six competitive matches produced second-half totals of 1, 1, 2, 2, 1, 2
- Grenada's last six produced second-half totals of 1, 2, 1, 2, 4, 4
- Bonaire average 0.46 second-half goals and Grenada 0.67
BetBugs · Second Half WinnerlostDrawEstimated chance46%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Bonaire's results against the group's other teams have been closer than Grenada's, and Grenada arrive on four straight defeats. Grenada create far more shots than Bonaire and scored nine goals across their last six competitive games.
- Bonaire competitive record 2W-1D-10L in 13 matches, 0.85 scored and 1.92 conceded per game
- Bonaire home split 1W-1D-5L with 0.71 scored and 1.86 conceded per game
- Grenada average 15.0 shots and 6.5 on target in their four tracked matches
- Grenada's wins in this window were 6-0 and 3-2
BetBugs · Double ChancewonBonaire or GrenadaEstimated chance73%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
First halves involving both teams are low-scoring, and Grenada have yet to score before the break away from home. Grenada carry the stronger overall attack and Bonaire have been conceding before the break.
- Bonaire average 0.38 first-half goals scored and 1.08 conceded
- Grenada average 0.33 first-half goals scored and 1.17 conceded
- Grenada's first-half goals in the window came in the 6-0 win over Bahamas
- Bonaire concede 1.08 first-half goals per game
BetBugs · Double Chance First HalflostDraw or GrenadaEstimated chance72%

Goals5 of 6 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.95
The read
Both defences give up goals regularly and every recent Grenada match has gone past two and a half.
- Grenada's last six competitive matches all produced three or more goals (0-3, 0-3, 0-3, 0-4, 3-2, 6-0)
- Bonaire's last five competitive matches produced three or more goals
- Bonaire concede 1.92 goals per game and Grenada 2.5
- None of Bonaire's last six matches finished with fewer than two goals
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderwonOver 2.5Estimated chance64%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 1.91
The read
Grenada's defence has been conceding three goals regularly, and Bonaire have found the net in most recent games.
- Bonaire scored in 4 of their last 6 competitive matches
- Grenada scored nine goals across their last six competitive matches
- Grenada conceded 3, 3, 3 and 4 in their last four
- Bonaire have kept one clean sheet in 13 competitive matches
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorewonYesEstimated chance54%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Bonaire's home scoring rate sits well below two goals per game.
- Bonaire average 0.71 goals per home match across seven games
- Bonaire have scored eight goals in 13 competitive matches
- Bonaire scored once in their last two competitive matches
BetBugs · Home Goals TotallostBonaire under 1.5Estimated chance73%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Bonaire have kept a single clean sheet in 13 competitive games and face a side averaging 15 shots.
- Bonaire have one clean sheet in 13 competitive matches
- Bonaire concede 1.92 goals per game and 1.86 at home
- Grenada average 15.0 shots per match in their four tracked games
BetBugs · Team to ScorewonGrenada to scoreEstimated chance86%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.35
The read
Every recent match for both teams has produced at least one goal before half time.
- All six of Grenada's tracked matches included a first-half goal
- All six of Bonaire's recent competitive matches included a first-half goal
- Bonaire concede 1.08 first-half goals per game and Grenada 1.17
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalswonOver 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance77%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Second-half scoring rates for both teams sit close to the line, with Grenada's recent games doing most of the work.
- Bonaire's last six competitive matches produced second-half totals of 1, 1, 2, 2, 1, 2
- Grenada's last six produced second-half totals of 1, 2, 1, 2, 4, 4
- Bonaire average 0.46 second-half goals and Grenada 0.67; both concede 0.83-0.85
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalfwonOver 1.5Estimated chance52%

Match stats3 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams' recent matches have produced corner counts around or above eight.
- Bonaire's tracked matches average 8.3 corners (2.3 for, 6.0 against)
- Grenada's tracked matches average 10.0 corners (5.5 for, 4.5 against)
- Recent corner totals: Bonaire 12 and 9; Grenada 7 and 12
BetBugs · Corners Over/UnderwonOver 7.5Estimated chance63%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Shot volumes in these teams' matches sit close to the line, with three of the last four above it.
- Bonaire's tracked matches average 24.4 total shots (9.2 for, 15.2 against)
- Grenada's tracked matches average 29.3 total shots (15.0 for, 14.3 against)
- Recent totals: Bonaire 34 and 28; Grenada 18 and 31
BetBugs · Shots Over/UnderwonOver 24.5Estimated chance57%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Each of the last four tracked matches reached double figures for shots on target.
- Bonaire's tracked matches average 8.6 shots on target (3.3 for, 5.2 against)
- Grenada's tracked matches average 12.5 (6.5 for, 6.0 against)
- Recent on-target totals: 10, 10, 11 and 10
BetBugs · Shots on Target Over/UnderwonOver 9.5Estimated chance57%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Grenada's matches have been card-heavy and Bonaire picked up a red card in their last home fixture.
- Bonaire's tracked matches average 4.3 cards (2.7 for, 1.7 against)
- Grenada's tracked matches average 6.3 (3.8 for, 2.5 against)
- Recent card totals: Bonaire 5 and 3 (one red card); Grenada 5 and 5
BetBugs · Cards Over/UnderlostOver 4.5Estimated chance56%

Recent Form

Bonaire

L0-2CubaSep 28CON

L1-2St. Kitts and NevisSep 26CON

L0-2British Virgin IslandsJun 6FRI

L0-3Saint MartinMar 30CON

W3-1St. Vincent / GrenadinesMar 27CON

L1-2GuyanaNov 15CON

L2-3BarbadosNov 12CON

L1-3St. Vincent / GrenadinesNov 17CON

L0-1El SalvadorNov 15CON

W1-0MontserratOct 13CON

L0-1MontserratOct 10CON

L1-2El SalvadorSep 9CON

D1-1St. Vincent / GrenadinesSep 6CON

D1-1El SalvadorMar 20FRI

L0-4Saint MartinNov 21CON

Grenada

L0-3St. Kitts and NevisSep 29CON

L0-3CubaSep 25CON

L0-5Rep. Of IrelandMay 16FRI

L0-3KenyaMar 30FIF

L0-4RwandaMar 27FIF

L0-1JamaicaJan 18FRI

W4-1US Virgin IslandsNov 15FRI

W2-0CubaOct 11FRI

W4-1British Virgin IslandsOct 8FRI

W3-2St. Kitts and NevisJun 10WOR

W6-0BahamasJun 4WOR

W2-0AnguillaMay 31FRI

L0-5RussiaMar 19FRI

D1-1St. Vincent / GrenadinesMar 9FRI

D1-1St. Vincent / GrenadinesMar 6FRI

Squad & Injuries

Bonaire

20 available

Attackers7

Midfielders6

Defenders5

Goalkeeper2

Grenada

33 available

Attackers10

Midfielders9

Defenders10

Goalkeeper4

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Over 2.5

Bonaire or Draw

Bonaire

Over 0.5 goals in 1st half

Yes

Result2 of 5 landed

Goals5 of 6 landed

Match stats3 of 4 landed

Recent Form

Bonaire

Grenada

Squad & Injuries

Bonaire

Grenada