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Predictions graded

St Kitts and Nevis3Grenada0

HT 2–0Tue 29 Sept 2026, 00:00 Predictions graded

Predictions10–567%

Edges2–0100%

PossPossession 56%–44%ShotsShots 8–8On targetOn target 7–4CornersCorners 3–4

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 27 Sep 2026, 18:07 · Europe/Bucharest

St Kitts and Nevis beat Bonaire 2-1 on 25 September; Grenada lost 0-3 at home to Cuba the same day, yet Grenada have won four of the last five meetings between them.

Goals look likelier than not, with 11 of the last 12 matches involving either side clearing three. Over 2.5 at 1.53 is the one reviewed price worth taking; fewer than three goals at 2.40 and no first-half goal at 3.50 are avoids.

Context

St Kitts and Nevis opened their League B campaign with a 2-1 win at Bonaire, and T. Williams supplied both goals, including the 89th-minute decider. He is their most recent goalscorer heading into the second match of the window against a Grenada side that lost its opener. The scorer detail comes from a single starting-XI summary account rather than an official St Kitts and Nevis statement, and Bonaire finished the match with ten men.
- St Kitts and Nevis won 2-1 away to Bonaire in their Concacaf Nations League opener on 25 September 2026.
- T. Williams scored both St Kitts and Nevis goals, in the 36th and 89th minutes.
ReportedSources checked 27 Sep 2026, 18:04 · Europe/Bucharest
Grenada carry this fixture's recent history, and that June 2025 trip to St Kitts and Nevis is the clearest example of it.
The last meeting turned on a second half in which Grenada scored three times, and their wider record in this fixture - four wins and one draw in five - is the part of the evidence leaning against St Kitts and Nevis. A single result, or even a five-match series, does not decide the next game: St Kitts and Nevis have just won their group opener 2-1 at Bonaire, while Grenada lost 0-3 at home to Cuba, so the history arrives alongside a form line pointing the other way.
- St Kitts and Nevis led 1-0 at half-time of the World Cup qualifier on 10 June 2025 and Grenada scored three second-half goals to win 3-2 (one match).
- The head-to-head record lists five meetings, four of them Grenada wins (2010, 2017, 2019, 2025) and a 0-0 draw in November 2019 the exception.
Grenada conceded three unanswered goals at home to Cuba in their opening group fixture, and their own association publicly framed the following match as a reset. That pitches them into the St Kitts and Nevis game, in the same group, needing a response against opponents who won their first outing. It is one competitive result at the start of a new campaign rather than an established trend.
- Grenada lost 0-3 at home to Cuba in their Concacaf Nations League opener on 25 September 2026.
- The Grenada FA posted after the match that the team would 'regroup and go ahead next game'.
ConfirmedSources checked 27 Sep 2026, 18:04 · Europe/Bucharest
Grenada's national association said the senior team's opening two Nations League fixtures are both at home, with St Kitts and Nevis visiting on 28 September at 8:00 PM local time. Staging the game in Grenada keeps the hosts in familiar conditions and forces St Kitts and Nevis to travel after winning at Bonaire. The association did not name the stadium, so the exact venue remains unconfirmed.
- The Grenada FA announced that the senior men host St Kitts and Nevis on 28 September 2026 at 8:00 PM.
- The same association listed the Cuba fixture on 25 September 2026 as the team's opening home match.
ConfirmedSources checked 27 Sep 2026, 18:04 · Europe/Bucharest

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result4 of 5 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
St Kitts have the better recent attacking form, scoring in four of their last six matches.
- Won last two matches, scoring 2 and 4 goals
- Scored in 6 of 9 competitive matches
- Conceded in 8 of 9 competitive matches
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonSt Kitts and NevisEstimated chance38%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
St Kitts have started matches better recently, while Grenada often trail at the break.
- St Kitts led at half-time in two of last six
- Grenada trailed at half-time in five of last six
- St Kitts scored first-half goals in four of last six
BetBugs · First Half WinnerwonSt Kitts and NevisEstimated chance42%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Grenada have shown they can score after the break, especially against St Kitts.
- Grenada won second half in two of last six
- Grenada scored three second-half goals in last head-to-head
- St Kitts average 1.67 second-half goals against
BetBugs · Second Half WinnerlostGrenadaEstimated chance35%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
St Kitts have the better recent attacking form, scoring in four of their last six matches. Grenada have the stronger historical record in this fixture and may benefit from hosting.
- Won last two matches, scoring 2 and 4 goals
- Scored in 6 of 9 competitive matches
- Won the last head-to-head 3-2 away to St Kitts in June 2025
- Won four of the last five meetings
BetBugs · Double ChancewonSt Kitts and Nevis or GrenadaEstimated chance74%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
St Kitts have started matches better recently, while Grenada often trail at the break. Neither team dominates first halves consistently, so a level half-time score is plausible.
- St Kitts led at half-time in two of last six
- Grenada trailed at half-time in five of last six
- St Kitts drew first half in two of last six
- Grenada drew first half once in last six
BetBugs · Double Chance First HalfwonSt Kitts and Nevis or DrawEstimated chance77%

Goals4 of 6 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.53
The read
Both teams concede heavily and their recent matches have consistently produced three or more goals.
- St Kitts matches average 4.6 total goals
- Grenada matches average 4.0 total goals
- 11 of the last 12 matches involving either team had over 2.5 goals
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderwonOver 2.5Estimated chance68%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
St Kitts usually score, and Grenada found the net three times in the last meeting.
- St Kitts scored in 4 of last 6
- Grenada scored in 2 of last 6
- Last head-to-head saw both score
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorelostYesEstimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
St Kitts have scored at least twice in four of their last six matches.
- St Kitts scored 2+ in 4 of last 6
- Grenada concede 2.5 goals per match in last 6
- St Kitts scored twice in the last head-to-head
BetBugs · Home Goals TotalwonSt Kitts and Nevis over 1.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Grenada's recent scoring drought points to a low away goal total.
- Grenada scored 0 goals in three straight
- Grenada scored 1.5 goals per match overall but 0.75 in last four
- St Kitts conceded in 8 of 9 competitive matches
BetBugs · Away Goals TotalwonGrenada under 1.5Estimated chance62%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.22
The read
Almost every recent match for both teams has produced at least one first-half goal.
- 11 of last 12 matches involving either team had a first-half goal
- St Kitts average 0.78 first-half goals for and 1.33 against
- Grenada average 0.33 first-half goals for and 1.17 against
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalswonOver 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance82%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Second halves have been high-scoring for both teams recently.
- 9 of last 12 matches involving either team had over 1.5 second-half goals
- St Kitts average 1.67 second-half goals against
- Grenada average 1.33 second-half goals against
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalflostOver 1.5Estimated chance68%

Match stats2 of 4 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
St Kitts' lower corner counts could keep the total under 10.5.
- St Kitts' last two corner totals were 9 and 10
- St Kitts average 8.0 total corners per match
- Grenada's last three corner totals were 12, 11 and 15
BetBugs · Corners Over/UnderwonUnder 10.5Estimated chance52%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams' average shot totals are close to the 28.5 line.
- St Kitts average 12.6 shots for and 17.0 against
- Grenada average 16.0 shots for and 14.5 against
- Last head-to-head had 40 total shots
BetBugs · Shots Over/UnderlostOver 28.5Estimated chance52%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Recent shot-on-target totals have often been below 12.5.
- St Kitts' last match had 10 shots on target
- Grenada's last match had 10 shots on target
- Grenada's match vs Bahamas had 15 shots on target
BetBugs · Shots on Target Over/UnderwonUnder 12.5Estimated chance52%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams' recent matches have generally produced fewer than four cards.
- St Kitts' last match had three total cards
- St Kitts vs Grenada had two total cards
- Grenada's last six matches average under 3.5 cards
BetBugs · Cards Over/UnderlostUnder 3.5Estimated chance60%

Head-to-Head

2W · 1D · 2W

W2-3St. Kitts and NevisvGrenadaJun 10, 2025WOR

D0-0St. Kitts and NevisvGrenadaNov 14, 2019CON

L2-1GrenadavSt. Kitts and NevisSep 6, 2019CON

W1-9St. Kitts and NevisvGrenadaDec 3, 2017FRI

L2-0GrenadavSt. Kitts and NevisOct 24, 2010CAR

Grenada: 2 clean sheets4 goals/game avg

Recent Form

St Kitts and Nevis

W2-1BonaireSep 26CON

W4-2Solomon IslandsMar 30FIF

L0-4IndonesiaMar 27FIF

L2-6BelizeNov 18CON

D0-0Sint MaartenNov 12CON

W2-1Saint MartinOct 5FRI

W5-0Saint MartinOct 4FRI

L2-3GrenadaJun 10WOR

L2-6Trinidad and TobagoJun 6WOR

L1-4Saint MartinMay 25FRI

L0-3St. Vincent / GrenadinesMay 25FRI

W4-2AnguillaMay 24FRI

L1-3St. Vincent / GrenadinesMay 20FRI

L0-4CubaNov 18CON

W2-1CubaNov 14CON

Grenada

L0-3CubaSep 25CON

L0-5Rep. Of IrelandMay 16FRI

L0-3KenyaMar 30FIF

L0-4RwandaMar 27FIF

L0-1JamaicaJan 18FRI

W4-1US Virgin IslandsNov 15FRI

W2-0CubaOct 11FRI

W4-1British Virgin IslandsOct 8FRI

W3-2St. Kitts and NevisJun 10WOR

W6-0BahamasJun 4WOR

W2-0AnguillaMay 31FRI

L0-5RussiaMar 19FRI

D1-1St. Vincent / GrenadinesMar 9FRI

D1-1St. Vincent / GrenadinesMar 6FRI

L0-3Saint MartinNov 18CON

Squad & Injuries

St Kitts and Nevis

19 available

Attackers1

Midfielders11

Defenders5

Goalkeeper2

Grenada

26 available

Attackers7

Midfielders8

Defenders8

Goalkeeper3

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Over 2.5

Over 0.5 goals in 1st half

Result4 of 5 landed

Goals4 of 6 landed

Match stats2 of 4 landed

Head-to-Head

Recent Form

St Kitts and Nevis

Grenada

Squad & Injuries

St Kitts and Nevis

Grenada