Rubio Nu22 de Mayo2

HT 1–1Sat 26 Sept 2026, 19:30 Predictions graded

Predictions6–843%

Edges2–340%

PossPossession 55%–45%ShotsShots 14–9On targetOn target 4–3CornersCorners 3–2

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 26 Sep 2026, 22:52 · Europe/Bucharest

2 de Mayo have won all five listed meetings with Rubio Nu and own the better away record, yet both sides arrive on three straight defeats, with 2 de Mayo scoring none in that run.

The visitors to win at 2.6 and the first half to end level at 2.0 are the two prices that rate as value. Under 2.5 goals at 1.62 and both teams to score "No" at 1.8 do not pay enough.

Context

2 de Mayo have had the better of this fixture and needed only one goal to take it again in July.
The most recent meeting produced one goal, and 2 de Mayo have had the better of the fixture lately. Rubio Nu's home form, one win in seven, makes another narrow scoreline realistic, though the visitors' three-match scoring drought cuts the other way.
- 24 July 2026, Division Profesional Clausura: 2 de Mayo 1-0 Rubio Nu (most recent listed head-to-head).
- Rubio Nu did not score in that meeting.
Only one of Rubio Nu's seven home matches has ended in a win, with four finishing level, so the home side has been more likely to take a point than all three. Their two home clean sheets also point to tight games, though nine defeats in 15 matches overall show how often that solidity has been undone.
- Rubio Nu home record, 7 tracked matches, 2 May to 13 September 2026: 1W-4D-2L.
- 2 clean sheets and 4 matches with both teams scoring across those 7 home matches.
This is the strongest argument for the visitors, whose road form sits in sharp contrast to Rubio Nu's single home win. It is why a low-scoring away performance remains a plausible route to the result here. The counterweight is their most recent outing, a 0-4 home defeat to Sol de América in the Copa Paraguay on 22 September.
- 2 de Mayo away record, 7 tracked matches, 14 May to 18 September 2026: 4W-2D-1L.
- 2 clean sheets across those 7 away matches.
It is the heaviest defeat in the tracked window for the visitors and it came four days before kick-off, so they arrive on a poor result rather than a narrow one. Rubio Nu have their own troubles, with one win in seven at home, but a defence that shipped four four days earlier gives the home side its clearest opening.
- 22 September 2026, Copa Paraguay: 2 de Mayo 0-4 Sol de América.
- Half-time 0-2; the other two goals came in the second half.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 2

Other edges · 3

The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.

1st Half GoalswonUncertainty band: Strong lean

Over 0.5 goals in 1st half

1.43fair 1.47

BetBugs 68% · Market 69.9%

−1.9ppshort

Both teams' recent matches have usually produced a first-half goal even though their season first-half rates are low.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result3 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Market price 2.60
The read
The away side has the better season and away record and has won every recent meeting, although their current three-game slump is a real drag.
- 2 de Mayo: 7W-4D-4L overall and 4W-2D-1L away, scoring 1.43 per away game
- Rubio Nu: 2W-4D-9L overall and 1W-4D-2L at home
- 2 de Mayo won all five listed head-to-heads, including 1-0 at Rubio Nu in March
- 2 de Mayo have lost their last three, scoring none and conceding nine
BetBugs · Match Winnerlost2 de MayoEstimated chance44%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 2.00
The read
Both teams score rarely before half-time and Rubio Nu's home first halves are especially quiet.
- Rubio Nu home first halves average 0.71 goals combined; 2 de Mayo away first halves 1.28
- Rubio Nu average 0.27 first-half goals per game and 2 de Mayo 0.4
- Four of Rubio Nu's last six matches had at most one first-half goal
BetBugs · First Half WinnerwonDrawEstimated chance52%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Rubio Nu's home games routinely finish level and both teams arrive on three-game losing runs. The away side has the better season and away record and has won every recent meeting, although their current three-game slump is a real drag.
- Four of Rubio Nu's seven home matches this season ended level
- Rubio Nu have 4 draws and 2 de Mayo 4 draws from 15 games each
- 2 de Mayo: 7W-4D-4L overall and 4W-2D-1L away, scoring 1.43 per away game
- Rubio Nu: 2W-4D-9L overall and 1W-4D-2L at home
BetBugs · Double ChancewonDraw or 2 de MayoEstimated chance73%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams score rarely before half-time and Rubio Nu's home first halves are especially quiet. The first half is 2 de Mayo's strongest scoring phase on the road, though it has produced almost nothing recently.
- Rubio Nu home first halves average 0.71 goals combined; 2 de Mayo away first halves 1.28
- Rubio Nu average 0.27 first-half goals per game and 2 de Mayo 0.4
- 2 de Mayo average 0.71 first-half goals in away matches
- Rubio Nu concede 0.43 first-half goals per home game
BetBugs · Double Chance First HalfwonDraw or 2 de MayoEstimated chance79%

Goals3 of 8 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 1.62
The read
Both attacks have low scoring rates and the recent meetings between these clubs have been tight, low-scoring games.
- Rubio Nu home games average 1.86 total goals and their overall games 2.53
- 2 de Mayo overall games average 2.2 total goals
- The last five meetings produced 1, 2, 1, 2 and 4 goals
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderlostUnder 2.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 1.80
The read
Neither attack is reliable right now and 2 de Mayo concede only one goal per away match.
- 2 de Mayo kept 5 clean sheets in 15 matches; Rubio Nu kept 2 in 15
- Rubio Nu failed to score in three of their last six matches
- 2 de Mayo have not scored in any of their last three
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorelostNoEstimated chance54%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Rubio Nu have managed more than one goal in a match only once in their last six.
- Rubio Nu have scored 4 goals in 7 home matches
- Rubio Nu scored one goal or none in four of their last six matches
- 2 de Mayo kept 5 clean sheets in 15 games
BetBugs · Home Goals TotallostRubio Nu under 1.5Estimated chance74%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
2 de Mayo's scoring has stopped over the last three games and Rubio Nu concede only one per home match.
- 2 de Mayo scored 0 goals in their last three matches
- Rubio Nu kept 2 clean sheets in 7 home matches
- 2 de Mayo average 1.07 goals per game overall
BetBugs · Away Goals Totallost2 de Mayo under 1.5Estimated chance66%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Rubio Nu have kept few clean sheets and their season-long defensive record is the weaker side of their game.
- Rubio Nu have kept 2 clean sheets in 15 matches overall
- 2 de Mayo average 1.07 goals per game
- Rubio Nu's overall defensive average is 1.73 goals conceded per game
BetBugs · Team to Scorewon2 de Mayo to scoreEstimated chance69%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Rubio Nu usually find at least one goal at home and 2 de Mayo have been conceding regularly.
- Rubio Nu scored in 4 of their last 6 matches
- 2 de Mayo have conceded 12 goals in their last six
- Rubio Nu average 0.86 goals at home
BetBugs · Team to ScorewonRubio Nu to scoreEstimated chance64%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.43
The read
Both teams' recent matches have usually produced a first-half goal even though their season first-half rates are low.
- Four of Rubio Nu's last six matches had a first-half goal
- Five of 2 de Mayo's last six matches had a first-half goal
- Rubio Nu home first halves average 0.71 goals combined; 2 de Mayo away first halves 1.28
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalswonOver 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance68%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Neither side produces many second-half goals across the season, even if the recent matches have been busier.
- Rubio Nu home second halves average 1.14 goals combined
- 2 de Mayo second-half scoring averages 0.67 per game overall
- Rubio Nu's overall second-half scoring rate is 0.53 per game
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalflostUnder 1.5Estimated chance60%

Match stats0 of 2 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams' corner counts sit around or above the line, with 2 de Mayo's recent matches reaching double figures.
- Rubio Nu average 9.3 corners per game, 10.0 in home matches
- 2 de Mayo average 8.8 corners in away matches from 6 tracked games
- Rubio Nu's last six averaged 9.5 corners; 2 de Mayo's five tracked recent games averaged 11.4
BetBugs · Corners Over/UnderlostOver 8.5Estimated chance58%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams pick up around five cards a match between them, and recent games have added red cards on top.
- Rubio Nu average 4.07 cards per match and 4.86 in home matches
- 2 de Mayo's away matches average 4.33 cards
- Rubio Nu's last six averaged 5.0 yellows, 2 de Mayo's 5.2, with reds on top
BetBugs · Cards Over/UnderlostOver 4.5Estimated chance64%