2 de Mayo or Draw
Market 67.6% · BetBugs 78%
2 de Mayo are unbeaten at home in their last 5 across all competitions (4W, 1D) while Guarani have won only 1 of their last 5 away matches.
División Profesional - ClausuraFull time
Predictions gradedPre-match view
2 de Mayo's perfect home record and recent H2H dominance make them strong favourites, but the best value is in the double chance market (2 de Mayo or Draw) at 1.48, with a +10 point edge.
Expect a low-scoring game, but avoid the heavily juiced Under 2.5 and Under 1.5 first-half goals lines.
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
Positive edges · 2
Market 67.6% · BetBugs 78%
2 de Mayo are unbeaten at home in their last 5 across all competitions (4W, 1D) while Guarani have won only 1 of their last 5 away matches.
2 de MayoMarket 36.4% · BetBugs 45%
2 de Mayo's perfect home record in Clausura (3 wins from 3) and recent H2H dominance give them a clear edge, but the market underestimates them.
Other edges · 3
The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.
BetBugs 60% · Market 66.7%
Both teams have low-scoring trends in their respective home/away splits, and recent H2H matches have been tight.
How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.
High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.
Implied 51% leaves no cushion vs our 50% estimate; the price already reflects the draw bias and offers no value.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF-GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 de MayoPromotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage) | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 7-3 | 13 |
| 5 | Guarani Asuncion | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6-6 | 7 |

