División Profesional - ClausuraFull time

Predictions graded

Sportivo Trinidense02 de Mayo1

HT 0–0Sat 29 Aug 2026, 19:00 Predictions graded

Predictions5–550%

Edges1–325%

PossPossession 50%–50%ShotsShots 20–6On targetOn target 5–2CornersCorners 8–5

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 27 Aug 2026, 04:38 · Europe/Bucharest

The top actionable takeaway is the double chance on Draw or 2 de Mayo at 1.80, offering a +6.4 point edge based on 2 de Mayo's unbeaten Clausura run and Trinidense's draw tendency.

Goals markets also show value: Over 2.5 goals (+8.5 points) and Both Teams to Score (+6.7 points). Avoid first-half goals over 0.5 due to heavy negative value.

Context

2 de Mayo are second in the Clausura with 13 points from five matches, trailing leaders Libertad Asuncion by two points.
Their recent league form shows four wins and a draw, including a 1-0 home win over Olimpia on 8 August and a 2-1 away win at Deportivo Recoleta on 14 August. This run suggests they are difficult to beat and can score on the road, which matters against a Sportivo Trinidense side that has drawn its last two league games.
- 2 de Mayo are unbeaten in the Clausura with 4 wins and 1 draw from 5 matches.
- They beat Olimpia 1-0 at home on 8 August 2026.
- They won 2-1 away at Deportivo Recoleta on 14 August 2026.
Sportivo Trinidense are third with 11 points from six matches, four points behind leaders Libertad Asuncion.
They drew 0-0 away at Rubio NU on 21 August and 1-1 at home to Nacional Asuncion on 15 August. Those results followed a 2-1 loss at Libertad Asuncion, so they have not won in three league games. Facing an in-form 2 de Mayo, they may struggle to create clear chances if their recent scoring dip continues.
- Sportivo Trinidense drew 0-0 at Rubio NU on 21 August 2026.
- They drew 1-1 at home to Nacional Asuncion on 15 August 2026.
- They lost 2-1 at Libertad Asuncion on 10 August 2026.
Sportivo Trinidense return to league play after a competitive cup tie.
They were eliminated by Sol de América on 25 August, leaving only four days before this match. The short recovery window may force rotation or reduce physical freshness, though the squad's depth and recovery protocols are not detailed.
- The APF recorded Sol de América's 2-1 third-phase Copa Paraguay win over Sportivo Trinidense on 25 August.
- The official match sheet records Trinidense's competitive cup fixture before this seventh-round league match.
- ABC Color reported that the defeat ended Trinidense's Copa Paraguay campaign.
ConfirmedSources checked 29 Aug 2026, 10:36 · Europe/BucharestAPF: Sol de América advances to the last 16www.apf.org.py · 25 Aug 2026ABC Color: Sol de América eliminate Trinidensewww.abc.com.py · 26 Aug 2026
The teams have met five times since 2025, with each side winning twice and one draw.
In their last meeting on 1 May 2026, 2 de Mayo won 2-1 at Sportivo Trinidense. That result shows they can win away in this matchup, though the overall head-to-head is balanced. Sportivo Trinidense won the previous home meeting 2-1 in October 2025, so home advantage has not been decisive.
- 2 de Mayo won 2-1 away at Sportivo Trinidense on 1 May 2026.
- Sportivo Trinidense won 2-1 at home against 2 de Mayo on 25 October 2025.
- The last five meetings: 2 wins each and 1 draw.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 3

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result4 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
2 de Mayo's strong current form and recent H2H dominance give them a slight edge, though away from home the match is competitive.
- 2 de Mayo are unbeaten in Clausura with 4 wins and 1 draw in 5 matches.
- 2 de Mayo won both 2026 Apertura meetings against Sportivo Trinidense (2-1 away, 1-0 home).
- Sportivo Trinidense have 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss in Clausura, but lost their last home H2H 1-2.
BetBugs · Match Winnerwon2 de MayoEstimated chance38%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Combining 2 de Mayo's unbeaten run with the draw possibility covers the most likely outcomes given Trinidense's resilience at home.
- 2 de Mayo have not lost in Clausura (4W1D).
- Sportivo Trinidense have drawn 2 of their last 5 Clausura matches.
- H2H last 5: 2 de Mayo won 2, Sportivo Trinidense won 2, 1 draw.
BetBugs · Double ChancewonDraw or 2 de MayoEstimated chance62%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Both teams have shown a tendency to be level at the break, and the H2H supports a balanced first half.
- Sportivo Trinidense led at half-time in 33% of recent matches and trailed in 13%.
- 2 de Mayo led at half-time in 47% and trailed in 27%.
- In the last 5 H2H, 2 matches were level at half-time.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerwonDrawEstimated chance40%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
A draw at half-time followed by a 2 de Mayo win is plausible given their second-half strength, but the exact sequence is low probability.
- 2 de Mayo have been strong in second halves, winning 4 of 5 Clausura matches.
- Sportivo Trinidense have drawn 2 of their last 5 Clausura matches.
- H2H last meeting: 2 de Mayo won after a 1-1 first half.
BetBugs · Ht Ft DoublewonDraw / 2 de MayoEstimated chance15%

Goals0 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have shown ability to score, and Trinidense's home matches tend to be open, supporting over 2.5 goals.
- Sportivo Trinidense average 1.9 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per match in recent form.
- 2 de Mayo average 1.3 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match.
- Last 5 H2H meetings produced 3, 1, 3, 2, 3 total goals (avg 2.4).
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderlostOver 2.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both attacks are in decent form and the H2H history shows frequent goals at both ends.
- Sportivo Trinidense scored in 5 of their last 6 Clausura matches.
- 2 de Mayo scored in 4 of their 5 Clausura matches.
- In the last 5 H2H, both teams scored in 3 matches.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorelostYesEstimated chance58%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams tend to be involved in first-half action, making over 0.5 first-half goals likely.
- Sportivo Trinidense average 0.8 first-half goals scored and 0.5 conceded.
- 2 de Mayo average 0.6 first-half goals scored and 0.4 conceded.
- In 3 of the last 5 H2H meetings, there was at least one first-half goal.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalslostOver 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance60%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Second halves have been productive for both teams, but the probability is moderate due to variance.
- Sportivo Trinidense score 1.1 goals per second half on average (derived from total minus first half).
- 2 de Mayo concede 0.9 goals per second half on average.
- Recent matches show second-half goals in most games.
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalflostOver 1.5Estimated chance45%

Match stats1 of 2 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
The corner counts suggest a total around 8.5, making over 8.5 a coin-flip proposition.
- Sportivo Trinidense average 4.1 corners per match and concede 3.9 opponent corners.
- 2 de Mayo average 2.8 corners per match and concede 5.2 opponent corners.
- Combined average corners in matches involving these teams is around 8-9.
BetBugs · Corners Over/UnderwonOver 8.5Estimated chance50%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
The card averages are close to the 4.5 line, making this a near 50/50 call.
- Sportivo Trinidense average 2.5 yellow cards per match and 13.4 fouls.
- 2 de Mayo average 1.5 yellow cards per match and 10.6 fouls.
- Combined average cards in recent matches is around 4.0.
BetBugs · Cards Over/UnderlostOver 4.5Estimated chance50%

Markets to Avoid

High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.

Implied 28% vs our 38% estimate suggests value, but the away win is a single-outcome bet with high variance and the market may be pricing Trinidense's home strength correctly.

Head-to-Head

3W · 0D · 2W

L1-2Sportivo Trinidensev2 de MayoMay 1, 2026DIV

L1-02 de MayovSportivo TrinidenseFeb 28, 2026DIV

W2-1Sportivo Trinidensev2 de MayoOct 25, 2025DIV

W0-22 de MayovSportivo TrinidenseAug 8, 2025DIV

W2-1Sportivo Trinidensev2 de MayoMay 9, 2025DIV

2.4 goals/game avg

League Table

Division Profesional - Clausura 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
3	Sportivo Trinidense	6	3	2	1	11-5	11	DDLWW
2	2 de Mayo	5	4	1	0	7-3	13	WWDWW

2pt gap between teams

Recent Form

Sportivo Trinidense

D0-0Rubio NUAug 21DIV

D1-1Nacional AsuncionAug 15DIV

L1-2Libertad AsuncionAug 10DIV

W3-0Club Sp. San LorenzoAug 3DIV

W4-1Sportivo LuquenoJul 29DIV

W2-1Cerro PortenoJul 24DIV

W2-1Sportivo AmelianoMay 24DIV

W3-1Cerro PortenoMay 15DIV

L1-2Nacional AsuncionMay 9DIV

L1-22 de MayoMay 1DIV

L1-2Sportivo LuquenoApr 25DIV

W2-1Club Sp. San LorenzoApr 17DIV

D1-1Libertad AsuncionApr 12DIV

W4-0Rubio NUApr 6DIV

W2-1OlimpiaApr 1DIV

2 de Mayo

W4-1HumaitáAug 20COP

W2-1Deportivo RecoletaAug 14DIV

W1-0OlimpiaAug 8DIV

D1-1Sportivo AmelianoAug 1DIV

W2-1Cerro PortenoJul 28DIV

W1-0Rubio NUJul 24DIV

L0-1Club Sp. San LorenzoMay 22DIV

D0-0Libertad AsuncionMay 14DIV

W2-0Rubio NUMay 9DIV

W2-1Sportivo TrinidenseMay 1DIV

D2-2Club GuaraniApr 26DIV

L0-5Deportivo RecoletaApr 18DIV

L1-2Sportivo AmelianoApr 10DIV

L0-3Cerro PortenoApr 4DIV

D1-1Nacional AsuncionMar 31DIV

Squad & Injuries

Sportivo Trinidense

34 available

Attackers9

Midfielders12

Defenders10

Goalkeeper3

2 de Mayo

34 available

Attackers11

Midfielders12

Defenders7

Goalkeeper4

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Draw or 2 de Mayo

Over 2.5

Yes

Over 0.5

Result4 of 4 landed

Goals0 of 4 landed

Match stats1 of 2 landed

Markets to Avoid

Over 0.5

Head-to-Head

League Table

Recent Form

Sportivo Trinidense

2 de Mayo

Squad & Injuries

Sportivo Trinidense

2 de Mayo