IK Kongahalla3Lindome GIF2

HT 0–0Thu 24 Sept 2026, 18:15 Predictions graded

Predictions10–471%

Edges0–20%

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 23 Sep 2026, 09:41 · Europe/Bucharest

Kongahälla arrive on three straight league wins with goals flowing, but Lindome sit ten points clear and away form is the best part of their season.

Lindome are the likelier winners, though their own three-match losing run is a real risk. Lindome at 2.5 and Under 2.5 at 3.1 both offer slight value; Kongahälla at 2.25, the draw at 3.6 and Over 2.5 at 1.3 do not.

Context

Kongahälla have 6 wins, 6 draws and 10 defeats in the league, with a home record of 3W-3D-5L.
The winning run is what makes the home side more awkward than 12th place suggests, though the home split shows how often they have dropped points at this ground earlier in the season.
- Standings fetched 22 September 2026: Kongahälla 12th, 24 points, 6W-6D-10L, 32 goals for and 41 against in 22 league games
- Kongahälla home record in 11 league games: 3W-3D-5L, 16 scored, 17 conceded
- Kongahälla league form over the last five matches: WWWLL
Lindome have 10 league wins to Kongahälla's 6, and the away split is where much of that strength has been built.
That away form makes them a live threat here, but the same standings show three straight defeats in their most recent league outings, so the season picture and the current one pull in opposite directions.
- Standings fetched 22 September 2026: Lindome 5th, 34 points, 10W-4D-8L, 40 goals for and 34 against in 22 league games
- Lindome away record in 11 league games: 6W-2D-3L, 23 scored, 14 conceded
- Lindome league form over the last five matches: LLLWW
Both teams scored in that June fixture, and neither side managed to hold a winning position.
A single head-to-head is a thin guide to Thursday's game, but it does show these two can trade goals for long spells without either pulling away, which fits two teams who have conceded regularly this season.
- Tracked head-to-head record contains one meeting: Lindome 2-2 Kongahälla, 5 June 2026, Division 2 Västra Götaland

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result3 of 5 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Market price 2.50
The read
Lindome are the stronger side over the season and their away form is the best part of their campaign, with a clear scoring advantage.
- Lindome have 34 points to Kongahälla's 24 from 22 matches
- Away record 11 games: 6W-2D-3L, 23 scored, 14 conceded
- Lindome average 2.07 goals per game across the tracked window against Kongahälla's 1.6
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostLindome GIFEstimated chance42%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
First halves in these matches are usually less open than the second, making a level score at the break the single most likely half-time state.
- Kongahälla home first halves average 2.0 goals combined
- Lindome away first halves average 1.38 goals combined
- Kongahälla were level at half-time in two of their last six matches
BetBugs · First Half WinnerwonDrawEstimated chance37%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Lindome do most of their scoring after the break and their away second-half numbers are the strongest of the four splits.
- Lindome away second halves: 1.375 goals for, 0.625 against per game
- Kongahälla home second halves: 0.57 conceded per game
- Lindome scored seven of their ten recent goals after half-time
BetBugs · Second Half WinnerlostLindome GIFEstimated chance40%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Kongahälla have home advantage and arrive on a three-match winning run in which they scored heavily, which offsets a modest home record. Lindome are the stronger side over the season and their away form is the best part of their campaign, with a clear scoring advantage.
- League: Kongahälla 12th, 6W-6D-10L, 32-41; home 3W-3D-5L, 16-17
- Lindome 5th, 10W-4D-8L, 40-34; away 6W-2D-3L, 23-14
- Lindome have 34 points to Kongahälla's 24 from 22 matches
- Away record 11 games: 6W-2D-3L, 23 scored, 14 conceded
BetBugs · Double ChancewonIK Kongahalla or Lindome GIFEstimated chance75%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
First halves in these matches are usually less open than the second, making a level score at the break the single most likely half-time state. Kongahälla have conceded before half-time regularly, and Lindome are the tighter side in opening periods, so an away half-time lead is slightly more likely than a home one.
- Kongahälla home first halves average 2.0 goals combined
- Lindome away first halves average 1.38 goals combined
- Kongahälla concede 1.0 first-half goals per game across the tracked window
- Kongahälla home first halves: 1.14 conceded per game
BetBugs · Double Chance First HalfwonDraw or Lindome GIFEstimated chance73%

Goals7 of 9 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams' matches have produced goals at a rate comfortably above three per game, and Kongahälla's recent games have been especially open.
- Kongahälla's tracked matches average 3.6 goals combined (1.6 for, 2.0 against)
- Lindome's tracked matches average 3.33 goals combined (2.07 for, 1.27 against)
- Kongahälla have scored 17 goals in their last six matches
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderwonOver 2.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Neither defence has been reliable enough to expect a shutout, and both attacks have scored regularly in recent matches.
- Both teams scored in 9 of Kongahälla's 15 tracked matches
- Both teams scored in 10 of Lindome's 15 tracked matches
- Both teams scored in 4 of each side's last six games
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorewonYesEstimated chance62%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Kongahälla's home scoring rate sits below two per game, and Lindome concede relatively few away from home.
- Kongahälla home split: 1.71 goals per game in 7 tracked home matches
- Lindome away split: 1.25 goals conceded per game
- Kongahälla were held to one goal or fewer in three of their last six games
BetBugs · Home Goals TotallostIK Kongahalla under 1.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Lindome score consistently and Kongahälla concede regularly, so the home side being kept off the scoresheet is unlikely.
- Lindome scored 14 goals in their tracked 15-match window
- Lindome failed to score in only one of their last six matches
- Kongahälla kept 2 clean sheets in 15 tracked matches
BetBugs · Team to ScorewonLindome GIF to scoreEstimated chance83%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Kongahälla are scoring heavily right now, which makes it unlikely Lindome leave with a shutout.
- Kongahälla scored 17 goals across their last six matches
- Lindome kept 4 clean sheets in 15 tracked matches
- Kongahälla both scored in 9 of 15 tracked matches
BetBugs · Team to ScorewonIK Kongahalla to scoreEstimated chance80%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Kongahälla score in the large majority of their games, so a Lindome win without conceding is the less likely path.
- Kongahälla scored in five of their last six matches
- Lindome have 4 clean sheets in 15 tracked matches
- Kongahälla average 1.6 goals per game
BetBugs · Away Win to NilwonNoEstimated chance88%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Kongahälla's home first halves have produced goals at both ends, and only a small minority of their games go to the break goalless.
- Kongahälla home first-half goals: 0.86 for and 1.14 against per game
- Lindome away first-half goals: 0.75 for and 0.63 against per game
- Kongahälla conceded a first-half goal in four of their last six matches
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalslostOver 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance75%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
First-half goals from both sides is the less likely scenario given how few goals each team has scored before the break recently.
- Kongahälla scored first-half goals in only two of their last six matches
- Lindome scored first-half goals in only two of their last six matches
- Kongahälla concede before half-time reasonably often, but Lindome's first-half output is low
BetBugs · Both Teams Score First HalfwonNoEstimated chance72%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Recent matches for both teams have been busy after the break, putting the second half close to a coin flip on clearing 1.5 goals.
- Kongahälla's last six matches produced 16 second-half goals
- Lindome's last six matches produced 13 second-half goals
- Combined second-half split averages suggest about 1.7-1.8 goals per second half
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalfwonOver 1.5Estimated chance53%

Prediction history

IK Kongahalla: 3/5 recent goals projections matched

3 of 5 comparable goals projections involving IK Kongahalla matched the recorded result. This is a limited recent sample, not a guarantee for this match.

Recent evidence for IK Kongahalla5 matches

Date / competitionMatch resultPredictedActualResult

31 Jul·Division 2 - Västra Götaland