Division 2 - Västra GötalandFull time

Qviding FIF1Dalstorps IF2

HT 1–0Sat 19 Sept 2026, 10:00

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 17 Sep 2026, 16:27 · Europe/Bucharest

Dalstorp's promotion incentive, stronger defensive profile and 4-1 head-to-head win make the draw-or-away Double Chance at 1.53 the standout value play (74% vs 65% implied), with the away win at 2.38 a secondary edge.

Avoid Over 2.5 goals at 1.38 and the home win at 2.25, and treat Qviding's makeshift number nine as a watch item rather than a confirmed factor.

Context

Dalstorp can move into the promotion-qualifier position with a result, while Qviding's latest selection used Max Eriksson as a makeshift number nine.

Dalstorps IF are third in Division 2 Västra Götaland with 39 points from 21 games, 8 points behind leaders Landvetter IS. Qviding FIF are eighth on 31 points, 16 points off first.
The gap to the top gives Dalstorps a clear reason to push for a win, while Qviding's mid-table position means they are not under the same table pressure. That difference can shape how each side approaches the game, especially late on if the scores are level. The standings alone do not guarantee a result, but they set the motivation level for both teams.
- Dalstorps are 3rd with 39 points from 21 games, 8 points behind leaders Landvetter IS.
- Qviding are 8th with 31 points from 21 games, 16 points behind the leader.
- Dalstorps' record is 11 wins, 6 draws and 4 losses; Qviding's is 9 wins, 4 draws and 8 losses.
Dalstorps have conceded 23 goals in 21 league games, while Qviding have conceded 40. Both teams have scored 41 goals.
Dalstorps' lower goals-conceded average of 1.1 per game compared with Qviding's 1.9 suggests they are better at limiting opponents. Qviding's home record shows 23 goals scored and 17 conceded in 10 home games, so they can score but also give chances away. The defensive gap is the clearest statistical difference between the sides.
- Dalstorps have conceded 23 goals in 21 league games; Qviding have conceded 40.
- Dalstorps average 1.1 goals conceded per game; Qviding average 1.9.
- Both teams have scored 41 league goals this season.
Dalstorps IF sit third in Division 2 Västra Götaland on 39 points after 21 matches, one point behind Hestrafors IF in second. Hestrafors kick off at 15:00 on 19 September, after this 12:00 match, and each Division 2 runners-up enters the promotion qualifier.
Dalstorp's result at Qviding can immediately change the race for second place, so the visitors have a direct late-season incentive tied to the table. The timing matters because Dalstorp play before Hestrafors, meaning a win would briefly lift them into the promotion-qualifier position and add pressure on the later kick-off.
- The current Division 2 Västra Götaland table lists Dalstorps IF third on 39 points after 21 matches and Hestrafors IF second on 40.
- Hestrafors kick off against IK Kongahälla at 15:00 on 19 September, after Qviding-Dalstorp starts at 12:00.
- SvFF’s 2026 qualification format sends each Division 2 runners-up into the promotion qualifier.
ConfirmedSources checked 17 Sep 2026, 16:26 · Europe/BucharestDivision 2 Västra Götaland table and fixturestabellen.se · 17 Sep 2026SvFF 2026 qualification formatwww.svenskfotboll.se · 16 Apr 2026
Dalstorps have led at half-time in 53% of their matches and trailed in just 7%. Qviding have led at half-time in 33% and trailed in 27%.
Dalstorps' habit of taking a half-time lead means Qviding could be chasing the game after the break. Qviding have scored 0.8 first-half goals per game on average and conceded 0.9, so they are not especially fast starters. If Dalstorps score first, the pattern of this season suggests they are comfortable protecting a lead.
- Dalstorps have led at half-time in 53% of matches and trailed in 7%.
- Qviding have led at half-time in 33% of matches and trailed in 27%.
- Dalstorps average 0.9 first-half goals scored and 0.3 conceded; Qviding average 0.8 scored and 0.9 conceded.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 3

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result0 of 0 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Dalstorp's superior goal difference, stronger defensive record (1.1 conceded vs 1.9) and the recent 4-1 H2H win give them the edge, amplified by the confirmed promotion-playoff incentive (Core 5: motivation/stakes, H2H psychology).
- Dalstorp sit 3rd on 39 pts (11W-6D-4L, 41 GF / 23 GA) vs Qviding 8th on 31 pts (41 GF / 40 GA) after 21 rounds
- Dalstorp away record 4W-3D-3L with 15 GF / 12 GA in 10 away games; Qviding home 5W-2D-3L with 23 GF / 17 GA
- Last 5 form: Dalstorp WLWDW with 2.1 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per game; Qviding WWLWL conceding 1.9 per game
- H2H 11 Apr 2026: Dalstorp 4-1 Qviding, a three-goal margin
BetBugs · Match WinnerDalstorps IFEstimated chance48%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Dalstorp's low loss rate and solid away profile make a draw-or-away outcome the dominant scenario, supported by the confirmed promotion incentive driving their intent (Core 5: motivation/stakes, structural away edge).
- Dalstorp have lost only 4 of 21 league games (11W-6D) and are unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 (WLWDW)
- Dalstorp away: 4W-3D-3L, only 3 away defeats in 10; Qviding home: 5W-2D-3L
- Qviding have conceded 1.9 goals per game across the last 15 and shipped 5 goals twice in that span
- Dalstorp lead at half-time in 53% of matches and trail in only 7%
BetBugs · Double ChanceDraw or Dalstorps IFEstimated chance74%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Dalstorp's strong half-time leading rate and minimal first-half concessions make them the most likely interval leader (Core 5: tactical matchup, motivation/stakes).
- Dalstorp lead at half-time in 53% of matches and trail in only 7%
- Dalstorp concede just 0.3 first-half goals per game over the last 15
- Qviding trail at half-time in 27% of matches and concede 0.9 first-half goals per game
- Dalstorp's last 5 half-time results: W, D, W, L, D
BetBugs · First Half WinnerDalstorps IFEstimated chance40%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Dalstorp's superior overall scoring rate and Qviding's tendency to concede heavily in the second half favour the visitors after the break (Core 5: tactical matchup, structural away edge).
- Dalstorp score 2.1 per game overall with a strong second-half scoring pattern implied by 53% half-time leads
- Qviding concede 1.9 per game and have shipped 5 goals in two recent matches
- Dalstorp away record: 15 goals in 10 away games
- Qviding's last 5 second-half performances include two heavy defeats
BetBugs · Second Half WinnerDalstorps IFEstimated chance38%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Dalstorp's very low half-time trailing rate and strong first-half defence make a draw-or-away interval outcome the safest half-market play (Core 5: tactical matchup, motivation/stakes).
- Dalstorp trail at half-time in only 7% of matches
- Dalstorp concede 0.3 first-half goals per game over the last 15
- Qviding have trailed at half-time in 27% of matches
- Dalstorp's last 5 half-time results: W, D, W, L, D
BetBugs · Double Chance First HalfDraw or Dalstorps IFEstimated chance72%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Dalstorp's high half-time leading rate combined with their overall win rate makes a half-time/full-time double a plausible but lower-probability route (Core 5: motivation/stakes, tactical matchup).
- Dalstorp lead at half-time in 53% of matches
- Dalstorp have won 11 of 21 league games and are 3rd on 39 points
- Qviding have lost 8 of 21 and concede 1.9 per game
- Dalstorp's last 5 half-time results: W, D, W, L, D
BetBugs · Ht Ft DoubleDalstorps IF / Dalstorps IFEstimated chance26%

Goals0 of 0 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams carry high combined goal averages and Qviding's leaky defence (1.9 conceded) meets a Dalstorp side averaging 2.1 scored, making Over 2.5 the central goals scenario (Core 5: tactical matchup, H2H psychology).
- Qviding average 1.7 scored and 1.9 conceded per game over the last 15, a combined 3.6 goal environment
- Dalstorp average 2.1 scored and 1.1 conceded, a combined 3.2 per game
- Qviding's last 5 produced totals of 3, 1, 5, 5 and 3 goals; Dalstorp's last 5 produced 3, 3, 2, 4 and 4
- H2H on 11 Apr 2026 finished 4-1, five goals
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderOver 2.5Estimated chance62%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both attacks are productive while Qviding's defence concedes regularly, so both teams finding the net is the most likely single outcome (Core 5: tactical matchup, structural home edge).
- Qviding scored in 12 of their last 15 matches and average 1.7 goals per game
- Dalstorp scored in 13 of their last 15 and average 2.1 goals per game
- Qviding have kept few clean sheets, conceding 1.9 per game over the last 15
- Dalstorp away record shows 15 goals scored in 10 away games
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScoreYesEstimated chance63%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both sides score early at meaningful rates and Qviding's first-half defensive record is poor, making at least one first-half goal highly probable (Core 5: tactical matchup, motivation/stakes).
- Qviding average 0.8 first-half goals scored and 0.9 conceded over the last 15
- Dalstorp average 0.9 first-half goals scored and only 0.3 conceded
- Dalstorp led at half-time in 53% of matches; Qviding trailed at half-time in 27%
- Qviding's last 5 first-half scores: 1-0, 0-0, 0-4, 3-0, 1-1
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalsOver 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance76%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Dalstorp's scoring rate and Qviding's leaky defence make the visitors likely to score at least twice (Core 5: tactical matchup, H2H psychology).
- Dalstorp average 2.1 goals per game over the last 15
- Dalstorp away record: 15 goals in 10 away games (1.5 per game)
- Qviding concede 1.9 per game and shipped 5 goals twice in the last 15
- H2H 11 Apr 2026: Dalstorp scored 4
BetBugs · Away Goals TotalDalstorps IF over 1.5Estimated chance58%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Qviding's strong home scoring rate (2.3 per game) makes a Dalstorp clean sheet unlikely (Core 5: structural home edge, tactical matchup).
- Qviding scored in 12 of their last 15 matches, averaging 1.7 goals per game
- Qviding home record: 23 goals in 10 home games (2.3 per game)
- Dalstorp away record: 12 goals conceded in 10 away games
- Qviding scored in the 11 Apr 2026 H2H
BetBugs · Team to ScoreQviding FIF to scoreEstimated chance62%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Qviding's consistent home scoring makes a Dalstorp win without conceding improbable (Core 5: structural home edge, tactical matchup).
- Qviding average 1.7 goals per game and 2.3 at home
- Dalstorp have kept clean sheets in only a minority of away games (12 conceded in 10)
- Qviding scored in 12 of their last 15 matches
- Qviding scored in the 11 Apr 2026 H2H
BetBugs · Away Win to NilNoEstimated chance80%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams' scoring and conceding patterns point to a productive second half, especially with Qviding's late-game defensive vulnerability (Core 5: tactical matchup, structural home edge).
- Qviding concede 1.9 goals per game with heavy second-half concessions in recent 5-goal defeats
- Dalstorp average 2.1 goals per game overall
- Qviding's last 5 matches produced second-half totals of 2, 1, 1, 4 and 2
- Dalstorp's last 5 matches produced second-half totals of 2, 2, 1, 3 and 3
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalfOver 1.5Estimated chance55%