Lyngby0Silkeborg IF4

HT 0–1Fri 18 Sept 2026, 17:00 Predictions graded

Predictions4–833%

Edges2–250%

PossPossession 46%–54%ShotsShots 7–13On targetOn target 2–6CornersCorners 7–1

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 14 Sep 2026, 04:22 · Europe/Bucharest

Lyngby vs Silkeborg is likely to be an open, competitive match with goals and a strong chance of a home win or draw, but the betting markets offer no value.

The Over 2.5, BTTS Yes, and Lyngby or Draw lines are all priced below the model's fair odds, so the top actionable takeaway is to avoid these markets and wait for better opportunities.

Context

Lyngby sit 8th in the Superliga with 6 points from 7 matches, placing them in the relegation playoff zone.
At home, Lyngby have drawn all three league games: 1-1 with Sonderjyske on 13 September, 1-1 with Odense on 30 August, and 1-1 with FC Midtjylland on 16 August. They have not lost at home, but they have also not won, and their home goal difference is zero. This pattern suggests they are difficult to beat at home but struggle to turn draws into wins, which could lead to another close match against Silkeborg.
- Lyngby's home record: 0 wins, 3 draws, 0 losses, 4 goals for, 4 goals against.
- Recent home results: 1-1 vs Sonderjyske (13 Sep), 1-1 vs Odense (30 Aug), 1-1 vs FC Midtjylland (16 Aug).
Silkeborg defender Pedro Ganchas was named in the 20-man squad for the 13 September match against Viborg after being out of recent selection.
His return gives the coach an additional defensive option for the short turnaround to Lyngby. The club confirmed he was back in the squad, so he is available for selection unless a new issue arises.
- Silkeborg’s official 13 September squad announcement named Pedro Ganchas among the 20 players selected for Viborg.
- The club stated that Ganchas was back in the squad after being out of the picture recently.
ConfirmedSources checked 14 Sep 2026, 04:21 · Europe/BucharestSilkeborg IF: Truppen klar til dagens lokalopgør mod Viborg FFwww.silkeborgif.com · 13 Sep 2026
Silkeborg are 9th in the Superliga with 6 points from 7 matches, also in the relegation playoff zone.
Silkeborg's away record is 0 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with 4 goals scored and 7 conceded. Their away draws came against Aarhus (2-2 on 5 September) and Randers FC (1-1 on 27 July), while they lost to Brondby (1-3 on 24 August) and FC Nordsjaelland (0-1 on 16 August). This away form suggests they may struggle to secure a win at Lyngby, though they have been competitive in some matches.
- Silkeborg's away record: 0 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses, 4 goals for, 7 goals against.
- Recent away results: 2-2 vs Aarhus (5 Sep), 1-3 vs Brondby (24 Aug), 0-1 vs FC Nordsjaelland (16 Aug), 1-1 vs Randers FC (27 Jul).
The teams have met five times in the Superliga since December 2023, with Lyngby winning three and Silkeborg winning one.
In the most recent meeting at Lyngby's home ground, Lyngby beat Silkeborg 2-0 on 27 April 2025. They also won 2-0 at home on 3 December 2023. However, Silkeborg won the last meeting between the sides, 1-0 at home on 9 March 2025. This head-to-head record suggests Lyngby have been strong at home against Silkeborg, but the overall pattern is mixed.
- Lyngby 2-0 Silkeborg on 27 Apr 2025 (home).
- Lyngby 2-0 Silkeborg on 3 Dec 2023 (home).
- Silkeborg 1-0 Lyngby on 9 Mar 2025 (away).

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Other edges · 4

The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.

Goals Over/UnderwonUncertainty band: Lean

Over 2.5

1.44fair 1.72

BetBugs 58% · Market 69.4%

0.0ppshort

Both teams' recent scoring and conceding averages support over 2.5, but the odds offer no value relative to our estimate.

Both Teams To ScorelostUncertainty band: Lean

Yes

1.50fair 1.61

BetBugs 62% · Market 66.7%

0.0ppshort

Both teams regularly score but the odds are slightly below our estimated probability, offering no value.

1 St Half Goals Over/UnderwonUncertainty band: Strong lean

Over 0.5

1.22fair 1.43

BetBugs 70% · Market 82%

0.0ppshort

Both teams tend to score in the first half, but the odds are far too low to offer value.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result0 of 5 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Both teams are evenly matched in the relegation zone and have a tendency to draw, especially in home/away splits.
- Lyngby have drawn 3 of their last 5 home matches.
- Silkeborg have drawn 3 of their last 5 away matches.
- The last H2H meeting at Lyngby ended in a 2-2 draw.
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostDrawEstimated chance32%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Lyngby's strong home form and Silkeborg's poor away record make a home win or draw the most likely outcome.
- Lyngby are unbeaten at home this season (3 draws in 3 matches).
- Silkeborg have not won away this season (2 draws, 2 losses).
- Lyngby have won 2 of the last 3 home H2H meetings.
BetBugs · Double ChancelostLyngby or DrawEstimated chance68%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Both teams have similar first-half profiles and often go into the break level, making a first-half draw plausible.
- Lyngby led at half-time in 50% of their matches, trailed in 29%, and drew in 21%.
- Silkeborg led at half-time in 47% of their matches, trailed in 33%, and drew in 20%.
- In the last 5 H2H meetings, 2 were level at half-time.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerlostDrawEstimated chance40%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Lyngby's home advantage and Silkeborg's away defensive struggles could see the hosts edge the second half.
- Lyngby have scored more second-half goals at home in recent matches.
- Silkeborg have conceded 7 goals in 4 away matches this season.
- Lyngby's home crowd support often lifts them in the second half.
BetBugs · Second Half WinnerlostLyngbyEstimated chance35%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
A draw at both half-time and full-time is a plausible outcome given both teams' tendency to share points.
- Lyngby have drawn 3 of their last 5 home matches.
- Silkeborg have drawn 3 of their last 5 away matches.
- The last H2H meeting at Lyngby ended 2-2.
BetBugs · Ht Ft DoublelostDraw/DrawEstimated chance18%

Goals3 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have combined goal averages above 2.5 and recent H2H meetings have often been high-scoring, driven by attacking intent and defensive vulnerabilities.
- Lyngby's last 15 matches average 1.7 goals for and 1.3 goals against, totaling 3.0 goals per game.
- Silkeborg's last 15 matches average 1.8 goals for and 1.6 goals against, totaling 3.4 goals per game.
- In the last 5 H2H meetings, 3 of 5 matches had over 2.5 goals.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderwonOver 2.5Estimated chance58%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams regularly find the net and have shown defensive weaknesses, making it likely that each side scores.
- Lyngby scored in 12 of their last 15 matches (80%).
- Silkeborg scored in 11 of their last 15 matches (73%).
- Both teams scored in 3 of the last 5 H2H meetings.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorelostYesEstimated chance62%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams tend to score in the first half, and recent H2H matches have seen early goals.
- Lyngby average 0.8 first-half goals per match.
- Silkeborg average 1.2 first-half goals per match.
- In the last 5 H2H meetings, 4 had at least one first-half goal.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalswonOver 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance70%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
The second half often sees more goals as teams push for results, and both sides have conceded regularly after the break.
- Lyngby's matches average 1.9 second-half goals (total goals minus first-half goals).
- Silkeborg's matches average 1.7 second-half goals.
- Both teams have shown defensive lapses late in games.
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalfwonOver 1.5Estimated chance55%

Match stats1 of 3 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams generate a moderate number of corners, and their combined averages suggest a total above 9.5 is slightly more likely.
- Lyngby average 5.6 corners per match and concede 5.3 opponent corners.
- Silkeborg average 4.6 corners per match and concede 6.1 opponent corners.
- Combined average corners in their matches is around 10.2.
BetBugs · Corners Over/UnderlostOver 9.5Estimated chance52%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams produce a decent number of shots on target, and the total is likely to exceed 8.5 given their attacking intent.
- Lyngby average 4.3 shots on target per match and concede 4.1 opponent shots on target.
- Silkeborg average 4.1 shots on target per match and concede 4.5 opponent shots on target.
- Combined average shots on target in their matches is around 8.4.
BetBugs · Shots on Target Over/UnderlostOver 8.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
The match is likely to be competitive with a moderate number of cards, and the combined average is close to the line.
- Lyngby average 2.0 yellow cards per match and their opponents average 2.1.
- Silkeborg average 1.3 yellow cards per match and their opponents average 1.9.
- Combined average cards in their matches is around 3.7.
BetBugs · Cards Over/UnderwonOver 3.5Estimated chance50%