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Predictions graded

Viborg FF0Lyngby2

HT 0–1Fri 4 Sept 2026, 17:00 Predictions graded

Predictions2–820%

Edges1–420%

PossPossession 60%–40%ShotsShots 18–6On targetOn target 3–2CornersCorners 7–5

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 31 Aug 2026, 11:50 · Europe/Bucharest

Back Viborg FF to win at 1.88 (model edge +9 points) and consider the double chance Viborg or Draw at 1.30 (+11 points).

Avoid Over 2.5 goals and Both Teams to Score, as the market overprices those outcomes relative to our model.

Context

Viborg are second in the Superliga with 13 points from six matches.
Their home form is strong: three wins from three, with seven goals scored and only one conceded. This suggests they are comfortable at home and likely to control the match against a struggling Lyngby side.
- Viborg home record: 3 wins, 0 draws, 0 losses, 7 goals for, 1 goal against.
- Recent home wins: 4-0 vs FC Copenhagen (2026-08-23), 2-1 vs Aarhus (2026-08-14), 1-0 vs Odense (2026-07-24).
Viborg midfielder T. Jørgensen has left the club, with his transfer to Toulouse taking effect on 19 August. He started 3 of the 5 recent team fixtures with available lineups.
His confirmed departure removes a senior midfield option for this match. Viborg's squad for the 28 August league match at AC Horsens already did not include him, so the team will continue with a post-transfer central selection. The available evidence does not specify which player replaces him, leaving the exact midfield adjustment uncertain.
- Viborg announced that T. Jørgensen’s transfer to Toulouse took effect immediately on 19 August.
- Viborg’s published squad for the 28 August league match at AC Horsens did not include T. Jørgensen.
- T. Jørgensen started 3 of the 5 recent team fixtures with available lineups.
ConfirmedSources checked 31 Aug 2026, 11:48 · Europe/BucharestViborg FF confirms T. Jørgensen transferwww.vff.dk · 19 Aug 2026Viborg FF squad at AC Horsenswww.vff.dk · 28 Aug 2026
Lyngby are 11th in the Superliga with only three points from six matches.
Their away record is poor: three losses, three goals scored, seven conceded. This suggests they struggle on the road and may find it difficult to get a result against a strong Viborg side.
- Lyngby away record: 0 wins, 0 draws, 3 losses, 3 goals for, 7 goals against.
- Recent away losses: 1-2 vs AC Horsens (2026-08-23), 0-2 vs Randers FC (2026-08-09), 2-3 vs FC Copenhagen (2026-07-26).
Viborg and Lyngby have met five times in the Superliga since May 2024.
The last three encounters were draws: 0-0 on 2025-05-04, 1-1 on 2025-04-21, and 0-0 on 2024-10-20. This suggests that matches between these teams can be close, even when one side is in better form.
- 2025-05-04: Lyngby 0-0 Viborg
- 2025-04-21: Viborg 1-1 Lyngby
- 2024-10-20: Lyngby 0-0 Viborg

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 2

Other edges · 3

The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.

Goals Over/UnderlostUncertainty band: Lean

Over 2.5

1.53fair 1.72

BetBugs 58% · Market 65.4%

0.0ppshort

Both teams have been involved in relatively high-scoring games, and Lyngby's away defensive struggles push the total goals expectation above 2.5.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result0 of 4 landed

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Viborg's perfect home record and strong league position contrast sharply with Lyngby's winless away form, making a home win the most likely outcome.
- Viborg home record: 3 wins, 0 draws, 0 losses, 7 goals for, 1 against in 3 Superliga home matches.
- Lyngby away record: 0 wins, 0 draws, 3 losses, 3 goals for, 7 against in 3 Superliga away matches.
- Viborg overall form: 4W-1D-1L, 13 points, 2nd place; Lyngby overall: 0W-3D-3L, 3 points, 11th place.
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostViborg FFEstimated chance62%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Combining Viborg's unbeaten home form with Lyngby's winless away record and the draw-heavy H2H makes Viborg or Draw a very safe double chance.
- Viborg have not lost at home this season (3W-0D-0L).
- Lyngby have not won away this season (0W-0D-3L).
- H2H last 5: 2 Viborg wins, 3 draws, 0 Lyngby wins.
BetBugs · Double ChancelostViborg FF or DrawEstimated chance88%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Despite similar first-half scoring stats, Viborg's home advantage and stronger overall form give them a slight edge to lead at the break, but the probability remains modest.
- Viborg led at half-time in 21% of matches; Lyngby led in 36%.
- Viborg average 0.9 first-half goals for and 0.6 against.
- Lyngby average 0.9 first-half goals for and 0.6 against.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerlostViborg FFEstimated chance40%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Viborg's strong home starts and Lyngby's poor away first halves support a home HT/FT double, but the low base rate for such outcomes keeps confidence low.
- Viborg have won 3 of 3 home matches, with 2 of those wins coming after leading at half-time.
- Lyngby have lost all 3 away matches, with 2 of those losses after trailing at half-time.
- Viborg's home goal difference is +6; Lyngby's away goal difference is -4.
BetBugs · Ht Ft DoublelostViborg FF/Viborg FFEstimated chance35%

Goals1 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have been involved in relatively high-scoring games, and Lyngby's away defensive struggles push the total goals expectation above 2.5.
- Viborg average 1.5 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match overall.
- Lyngby average 1.9 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match overall.
- Lyngby away matches average 3.33 total goals (3 scored, 7 conceded in 3 games).
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderlostOver 2.5Estimated chance58%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams show consistent scoring ability, and Lyngby's leaky away defence increases the chance that both sides find the net.
- Viborg have scored in 5 of their last 6 Superliga matches.
- Lyngby have scored in 5 of their last 6 Superliga matches.
- Lyngby have conceded in all 3 away matches this season.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorelostYesEstimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have a solid first-half scoring rate, making it likely that at least one goal is scored before the break.
- Viborg average 0.9 first-half goals per match.
- Lyngby average 0.9 first-half goals per match.
- Combined first-half goal average is 1.8 per match.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalswonOver 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance65%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
The combined second-half scoring average slightly exceeds 1.5, but the margin is thin, so confidence is low.
- Viborg average 0.6 second-half goals per match (total 1.5 minus 0.9 first-half).
- Lyngby average 1.0 second-half goals per match (total 1.9 minus 0.9 first-half).
- Combined second-half average is 1.6 goals per match.
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalflostOver 1.5Estimated chance52%

Match stats1 of 2 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
The combined corner average sits right at the 9.5 line, making this a coin-flip market with no strong edge.
- Viborg average 4.3 corners per match; Lyngby average 5.7 corners per match.
- Combined average corners per match is 10.0.
- Viborg's home matches average 5.3 corners for them; Lyngby's away matches average 5.7 corners for them.
BetBugs · Corners Over/UnderwonOver 9.5Estimated chance50%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Lyngby's high card count pushes the combined total near the 3.5 line, but the overall average is just below, so confidence is low.
- Viborg average 1.1 yellow cards per match; Lyngby average 2.3 yellow cards per match.
- Combined average yellow cards per match is 3.4.
- Lyngby have received 2+ yellow cards in 5 of their last 6 Superliga matches.
BetBugs · Cards Over/UnderlostOver 3.5Estimated chance55%

Head-to-Head

0W · 3D · 2W

D0-0LyngbyvViborgMay 4, 2025SUP

D1-1ViborgvLyngbyApr 21, 2025SUP

D0-0LyngbyvViborgOct 20, 2024SUP

L1-0ViborgvLyngbyAug 26, 2024SUP

L3-1LyngbyvViborgMay 20, 2024SUP

Lyngby unbeaten in 5 meetingsViborg FF: 2 clean sheetsLyngby: 3 clean sheets1.4 goals/game avg

League Table

Superliga 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
2	Viborg FF Play-offs	6	4	1	1	10-4	13	WWWDL
11	Lyngby Relegation Playoffs	6	0	3	3	7-11	3	DLDLD

10pt gap between teamsViborg FF leads the leagueLyngby in relegation zone

Recent Form

Viborg FF

W3-2AC HorsensAug 28SUP

W4-0FC CopenhagenAug 23SUP

W2-1AarhusAug 14SUP

D0-0SonderjyskeAug 7SUP

L0-1BrondbyAug 2SUP

W1-0OdenseJul 24SUP

W1-0Aarhus FremadJul 17FRI

L1-2FC CopenhagenJul 16FRI

W2-0Notts CountyJul 11FRI

L1-3AalborgJul 3FRI

D1-1AarhusJun 27FRI

L2-6AarhusMay 17SUP

L0-1SonderjyskeMay 8SUP

D3-3FC MidtjyllandMay 4SUP

W1-0FC NordsjaellandApr 26SUP

Lyngby

D1-1OdenseAug 30SUP

L1-2AC HorsensAug 23SUP

D1-1FC MidtjyllandAug 16SUP

L0-2Randers FCAug 9SUP

D2-2AarhusAug 1SUP

L2-3FC CopenhagenJul 26SUP

W1-0HillerødJul 18FRI

W3-0Osters IFJul 10FRI

W6-3B 93Jul 4FRI

L1-2EsbjergMay 311.

L0-2AC HorsensMay 251.

W3-1Kolding IFMay 151.

W2-0HvidovreMay 91.

L1-2HillerødMay 31.

W5-0EsbjergApr 241.

Squad & Injuries

Viborg FF

28 available

Attackers7

Midfielders9

Defenders10

Goalkeeper2

Lyngby

26 available

Attackers5

Midfielders9

Defenders8

Goalkeeper4

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Viborg FF

Viborg FF or Draw

Over 2.5

Yes

Over 0.5

Result0 of 4 landed

Goals1 of 4 landed

Match stats1 of 2 landed

Head-to-Head

League Table

Recent Form

Viborg FF

Lyngby

Squad & Injuries

Viborg FF

Lyngby